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Santos Laguna v Querétaro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Santos Laguna (Local)
Prediction 42.79%2.34fair odd
EV +1.42%
Edge +0.599%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 2.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.54%42.80%42.74%44.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.142.132.3751.81%46.79%47.06%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Querétaro (Visit)
Prediction 31.07%3.22fair odd
EV +0.992%
Edge +0.305%
Kelly +0.441%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.65%31.05%31.22%33.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.983.003.2536.36%33.53%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.13%3.83fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.534%
Kelly -0.728%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.13%26.15%26.04%27.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.503.503.7530.77%28.60%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Santos Laguna (Local): 42.79%; Querétaro (Visit): 31.07%; Draw: 26.13%. For Santos Laguna (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.37, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.54%EV +1.42%E +0.599%K +1.04%G +0.015% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.13%EV -9.88%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-17 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.82%EV -2.86%E -1.26%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.33%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 22:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.27%EV -2.86%E -1.26%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.65%EV -8.02%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.08%EV -9.58%E -2.77%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 22:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.03%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.16%EV -0.251%E -0.078%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.82%EV -5.66%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-17 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.13%EV -4.14%E -1.85%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.10%EV -0.251%E -0.078%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -5.66%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-17 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.13%EV -4.14%E -1.85%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.10%EV -0.251%E -0.078%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -5.66%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-17 22:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -5.00%E -2.25%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -8.33%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -11.15%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 22:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -5.00%E -2.25%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -8.33%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -11.15%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.22%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -7.23%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 22:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 22:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 22:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.33%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.15%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-17 22:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -11.44%E -4.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.23%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -6.71%E -3.08%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -9.88%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-17 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.63%EV -7.57%E -3.50%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.66%EV +0.992%E +0.305%K +0.441%G +0.004% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.71%EV -2.00%E -0.534%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-17 22:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.63%EV -7.57%E -3.50%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.66%EV +0.992%E +0.305%K +0.441%G +0.004% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.71%EV -2.00%E -0.534%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-17 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -3.67%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -3.67%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.33%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -3.31%E -0.894%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-17 22:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -14.55%E -5.29%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.88%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.15%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-17 22:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.15%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-17 22:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.33%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.84%E -2.85%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.15%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-17 22:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.88%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -15.07%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-17 22:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.88%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -15.07%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-17 22:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.88%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -15.07%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-17 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.36%EV -10.56%E -5.05%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.04%EV -9.26%E -3.17%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 25.60%EV -7.49%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -10.99%E -5.28%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -5.22%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -7.23%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -10.99%E -5.28%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -5.22%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -7.23%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -10.99%E -5.28%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -5.22%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -7.23%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 22:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -10.99%E -5.28%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -5.22%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -7.23%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 22:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -10.99%E -5.28%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -5.22%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -7.23%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -10.99%E -5.28%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -5.22%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -7.23%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 22:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -10.99%E -5.28%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -5.22%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -7.23%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 22:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-17 22:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.99%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.71%EV -10.82%E -3.77%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -12.45%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-17 22:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -14.55%E -5.29%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-17 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -12.45%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-17 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.03%EV -12.70%E -6.23%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -9.84%E -2.85%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-17 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.03%EV -12.70%E -6.23%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -9.84%E -2.85%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-17 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.03%EV -12.70%E -6.23%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -9.84%E -2.85%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-17 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.88%EV -13.56%E -6.71%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -8.33%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -11.15%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-17 22:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 44.21%EV -17.41%E -9.02%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.94%EV -11.44%E -4.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-10-17 22:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.53% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.68% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.08% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43% | 0.9% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56% | 1.8% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.44% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.14% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.42% | 3.7% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |