Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Santos Laguna v Pachuca

2026-09-27 01:00 UTC — Liga MX

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Santos Laguna (Local)

Prediction 26.60%3.76fair odd
EV -5.57%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.27%26.60%26.60%26.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.423.453.5531.25%29.26%28.99%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pachuca (Visit)

Prediction 47.55%2.10fair odd
EV -7.28%
Edge -3.73%
Kelly -7.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.30%47.55%47.55%47.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.911.931.9555.25%52.34%51.81%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.85%3.87fair odd
EV -6.94%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -2.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.85%25.85%25.85%26.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.513.553.6030.30%28.51%28.17%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Santos Laguna (Local): 26.60%; Pachuca (Visit): 47.55%; Draw: 25.85%. For Santos Laguna (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.55, with an expected value of -5.57%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.57%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.94%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 01:49
ATG (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.57%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.94%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 01:49
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.23%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.23%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 01:44
BetRivers🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.23%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.23%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 01:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.23%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.23%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 01:44
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.23%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.23%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 01:49
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.23%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.23%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 01:50
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.23%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.23%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 01:44
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.23%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.23%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 01:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -10.89%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.35%EV -10.13%E -5.36%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -10.82%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 01:44
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -10.89%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.35%EV -10.13%E -5.36%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -10.82%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 01:49
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -10.89%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -10.61%E -5.64%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -10.82%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 01:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -10.89%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.43%EV -11.08%E -5.93%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.11%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 01:49
PMU (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -14.88%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 47.30%EV -13.94%E -7.70%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.94%EV -14.69%E -4.45%K -6.39%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-20 01:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 26.78%1.67I 59.88%NM 41.04%2.13I 46.95%NM 32.18%45.9%2026-09-20 07:19