Language:English
Santos Laguna v Pachuca
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Santos Laguna (Local)
Prediction 38.47%2.60fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.55%38.41%38.51%39.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.392.382.5144.84%41.91%42.02%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pachuca (Visit)
Prediction 33.99%2.94fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.489%
Kelly -0.747%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.10%34.08%33.94%35.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.692.672.9040.32%37.17%37.38%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.54%3.63fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -0.867%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.63%27.50%27.54%28.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.343.403.5232.26%29.91%29.41%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Santos Laguna (Local): 38.47%; Pachuca (Visit): 33.99%; Draw: 27.54%. For Pachuca (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -1.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.24%EV -3.45%E -1.38%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.10%EV -1.42%E -0.489%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%EV -7.74%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 02:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.69%EV -3.84%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.59%EV -2.10%E -0.729%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.72%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-27 02:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -3.84%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.90%EV -3.12%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.05%E -0.867%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-27 02:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -3.84%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.90%EV -3.12%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.05%E -0.867%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-27 02:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -3.84%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -4.82%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 02:42 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 02:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.82%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-27 02:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.93%EV -5.50%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.58%EV -5.81%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 02:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-27 02:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.82%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-27 02:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-27 02:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-27 02:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -6.53%E -2.69%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-27 02:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -6.53%E -2.69%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-27 02:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.44%EV -6.91%E -2.86%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.20%EV -7.54%E -2.77%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-27 03:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.91%E -2.86%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-27 03:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.68%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.82%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-27 02:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.68%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-27 02:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.68%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.82%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-27 02:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.68%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-27 03:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -7.68%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-27 03:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.55%EV -8.07%E -3.38%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.87%EV -7.54%E -2.77%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.58%EV -8.01%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-27 03:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -8.45%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-27 02:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -8.45%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-27 02:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -8.45%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-27 02:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -8.45%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-27 02:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -8.45%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-27 02:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -8.45%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-27 02:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -8.45%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-27 02:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -8.45%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-27 02:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -8.45%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-27 02:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -8.45%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.87%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-27 02:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.45%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-27 02:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -9.61%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.74%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-27 02:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -9.61%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-27 02:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.43%EV -10.38%E -4.45%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.44%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-27 02:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.43%EV -10.38%E -4.45%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.44%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-27 02:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.43%EV -10.38%E -4.45%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.44%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-27 02:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.94%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-27 02:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.56%EV -13.32%E -5.22%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-27 02:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-27 03:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-27 02:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -10.94%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-27 02:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -10.94%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-27 02:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -10.94%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-27 02:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -10.94%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-27 02:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.45%EV -12.30%E -5.39%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.72%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-27 02:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 38.36%EV -14.22%E -6.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 34.49%EV -15.70%E -6.33%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.15%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-09-27 02:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 1.2% | 2026-09-27 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 1.2% | 2026-09-27 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 1.2% | 2026-09-27 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 1.2% | 2026-09-27 02:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 1.2% | 2026-09-27 03:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.0% | 2026-09-27 03:00 |