La escuela de los momios

Santos Laguna v Monterrey

Inicio: 2026-04-26 23:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Santos Laguna (Local)

Predicción 24.72%4.05momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -0.659%
Kelly -0.884%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.94

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.14%24.77%24.71%25.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.673.703.9429.85%27.26%27.03%25.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Monterrey (Visitante)

Predicción 51.82%1.93momio equitativo
EV -4.14%
Ventaja -2.24%
Kelly -4.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.92%51.77%51.89%52.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.771.781.8560.61%56.38%56.18%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.46%4.26momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -0.348%
Kelly -0.456%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.33%23.46%23.41%25.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.853.854.2029.41%25.96%25.97%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.94I 25.38%NM 24.14%EV -2.60%E -0.659%K -0.884%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.55%EV -6.21%E -3.43%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -4.28%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 06:40
BetOnline.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -3.59%E -0.920%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.34%EV -5.69%E -3.13%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -3.81%E -0.928%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:55
LowVig.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -3.59%E -0.920%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.34%EV -5.69%E -3.13%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -3.81%E -0.928%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:55
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.82%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.46%EV -5.69%E -3.13%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -1.46%E -0.348%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 18:54
DraftKings3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -4.82%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.84%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 23:05
GTbets3.84I 26.04%NM 24.57%EV -5.07%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.70%EV -7.25%E -4.05%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.73%EV -2.63%E -0.635%K -0.836%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 01:20
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.15%EV -4.14%E -2.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.33%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 15:25
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.15%EV -4.14%E -2.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.33%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 15:24
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -8.28%E -4.68%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -1.46%E -0.348%K -0.456%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 01:29
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 23:04
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.98%EV -9.32%E -5.33%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -3.81%E -0.928%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 01:30
Marathon Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.34%EV -8.28%E -4.68%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.28%EV -6.62%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:34
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 01:39
Bovada3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -8.80%E -5.00%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -7.33%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 07:59
BetUS3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -8.80%E -5.00%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -7.33%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 13:05
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.32%E -5.33%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:31
1xBet3.79I 26.39%NM 24.57%EV -6.31%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.03%EV -7.25%E -4.05%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.40%EV -6.62%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 11:34
PlayUp3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -8.28%E -4.68%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 06:29
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -5.69%E -3.13%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.33%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 01:19
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -5.69%E -3.13%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.33%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 01:20
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 02:19
Unibet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -5.69%E -3.13%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 15:25
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -5.69%E -3.13%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 15:25
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -5.69%E -3.13%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 15:24
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -5.69%E -3.13%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 15:25
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -5.69%E -3.13%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 15:24
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -5.69%E -3.13%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 15:24
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -6.21%E -3.43%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 15:25
Paddy Power3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.32%E -5.33%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 01:30
Bet Right3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -7.77%E -4.36%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -7.33%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 18:55
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.84%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 15:25
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -7.77%E -4.36%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -7.77%E -4.36%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 15:25
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 06:30
betfred_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.02%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 11:44
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.07%EV -8.80%E -5.00%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -12.02%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 15:25
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.93%EV -11.91%E -7.01%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.54%EV -12.02%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 13:38
Betclic (FR)3.58I 27.93%NM 24.55%EV -11.50%E -3.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.70%EV -11.91%E -7.01%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.75%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 03:07
Unibet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.33%EV -12.24%E -3.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 52.34%EV -14.50%E -8.79%K -22.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.34%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 01:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 02:19
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 02:20
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.59%EV -10.87%E -6.32%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.05%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 02:14
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -10.36%E -5.99%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 23:04
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -9.32%E -5.33%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-23 20:34
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -9.32%E -5.33%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-23 20:38
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -9.32%E -5.33%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-23 20:34
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -9.32%E -5.33%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-23 20:35
LeoVegas3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.95%EV -10.87%E -6.32%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.01%EV -14.36%E -3.94%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-21 15:24
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.95%EV -10.87%E -6.32%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.01%EV -14.36%E -3.94%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-21 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.68%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.92%EV -10.36%E -5.99%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -20.23%E -5.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 23:04
NetBet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 51.99%EV -14.50%E -8.79%K -22.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.50%EV -14.36%E -3.94%K -5.42%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-23 19:40
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -15.95%E -4.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.35%EV -11.91%E -7.01%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.97%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-24 03:00
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 25.33%EV -17.18%E -5.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 51.11%EV -13.98%E -8.42%K -21.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-23 02:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.38%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.86%4.9%2026-04-24 03:50
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%6.8%2026-04-23 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.94%14.4%2026-04-23 23:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.94%14.4%2026-04-23 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.87%14.8%2026-04-23 23:05
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 25.19%1.69I 59.17%NM 50.68%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.13%16.8%2026-04-23 01:40