Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Querétaro v Cruz Azul

2026-10-26 01:00 UTC — Liga MX

Frente a frente

30 casas de apostas (8 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Querétaro (Local)

Previsão 28.64%3.49odd justa
EV +3.09%
Vantagem +0.857%
Kelly +1.19%
Crescimento +0.037%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.90%28.56%28.68%30.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.253.273.6034.48%30.80%30.53%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cruz Azul (Visitante)

Previsão 45.61%2.19odd justa
EV -4.22%
Vantagem -2.01%
Kelly -3.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.18%45.66%45.61%47.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.811.971.982.1055.25%50.74%50.38%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.76%3.88odd justa
EV -0.840%
Vantagem -0.218%
Kelly -0.295%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.71%25.77%25.72%27.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.533.563.8530.77%28.31%28.09%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Querétaro (Local): 28.64%; Cruz Azul (Visitante): 45.61%; Empate: 25.76%. Para Querétaro (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.49. 2 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.60, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +3.09%.

Odds das casas de apostas (30 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV +3.09%E +0.857%K +1.19%G +0.037%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -7.87%E -3.90%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.15%EV -0.840%E -0.218%K -0.295%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-19 12:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV +3.09%E +0.857%K +1.19%G +0.037%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -7.87%E -3.90%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.15%EV -0.840%E -0.218%K -0.295%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-19 12:29
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -2.64%E -0.777%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -11.52%E -5.94%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.28%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-19 12:29
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -2.64%E -0.777%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -11.97%E -6.20%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.28%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-19 12:30
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -2.64%E -0.777%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -11.97%E -6.20%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.28%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-19 12:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -2.64%E -0.777%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -11.97%E -6.20%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.28%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-19 12:30
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -2.64%E -0.777%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -11.97%E -6.20%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.28%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-19 12:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -2.64%E -0.777%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -11.97%E -6.20%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.28%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-19 12:30
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -2.64%E -0.777%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -11.97%E -6.20%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.28%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-19 12:30
1xBet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.08%EV -8.33%E -4.14%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.02%EV -8.31%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-19 15:35
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -2.13%E -0.560%K -0.760%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-19 14:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.25%EV -9.24%E -4.64%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 25.85%EV -8.31%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-19 14:54
LiveScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -13.34%E -7.02%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -9.85%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-19 12:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -13.34%E -7.02%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -9.85%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-19 12:30
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.33%EV -13.80%E -7.30%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.85%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-19 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -14.25%E -7.58%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-19 12:30
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-19 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.85%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-19 13:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 28.41%EV -9.23%E -2.91%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.49%EV -9.69%E -4.90%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-19 13:20
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -5.13%E -2.47%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-19 17:00
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -7.87%E -3.90%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.85%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-19 13:19
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.17%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 47.28%EV -17.45%E -9.64%K -21.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.55%EV -13.72%E -4.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-19 12:30
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.29%E -5.01%K -7.24%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-19 14:20
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.29%E -5.01%K -7.24%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-19 14:18
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.29%E -5.01%K -7.24%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-19 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.29%E -5.01%K -7.24%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-19 14:20
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.28%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-19 16:59
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.85%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-19 16:59
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.06%E -5.67%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -7.28%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-19 14:35
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.71%EV -16.96%E -5.85%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.18%EV -11.06%E -5.67%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.11%EV -15.01%E -4.55%K -6.52%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-19 17:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 28.41%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.99%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%9.0%2026-10-19 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-19 16:15