Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.16
assuming max odds 3.61
assuming max odds 3.63
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Querétaro (Local): 44.23%; Atlante FC (Visit): 27.92%; Draw: 27.86%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.59. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.12%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.72%EV -7.13%E -3.39%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.83%EV -3.69%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.45%EV +1.12%E +0.310%K +0.428%G +0.005% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.13%E -3.39%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +0.289%E +0.080%K +0.111%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 22:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.13%E -3.39%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +0.289%E +0.080%K +0.111%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 22:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.25%EV -4.91%E -2.29%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.57%EV -7.04%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -2.50%E -0.713%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 22:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.27%EV -8.45%E -4.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -5.08%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -3.89%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-10 22:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.27%EV -8.45%E -4.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -5.08%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -3.89%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-10 22:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.81%EV -4.47%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.89%EV +0.498%E +0.138%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.30%EV -4.73%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.77%EV -4.47%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.79%EV +0.778%E +0.215%K +0.298%G +0.002% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.77%EV -4.47%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.79%EV +0.778%E +0.215%K +0.298%G +0.002% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -4.91%E -2.29%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 22:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.13%E -3.39%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -12.88%E -6.54%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -2.29%E -0.655%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -6.24%E -2.94%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-10 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -4.91%E -2.29%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.29%E -0.655%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -4.91%E -2.29%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.08%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-10 22:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.09%EV -9.78%E -4.79%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-10 22:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.09%EV -9.78%E -4.79%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-10 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.09%EV -9.78%E -4.79%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-10 22:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.09%EV -9.78%E -4.79%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-10 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.09%EV -9.78%E -4.79%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-10 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.09%EV -9.78%E -4.79%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-10 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.09%EV -9.78%E -4.79%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-10 22:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -7.13%E -3.39%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.06%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.91%E -2.29%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.08%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-10 22:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.13%E -3.39%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -2.29%E -0.655%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.13%E -3.39%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -6.24%E -2.94%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -6.24%E -2.94%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -6.24%E -2.94%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.34%E -4.55%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-10 22:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -11.55%E -5.77%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.25%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -11.55%E -5.77%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.25%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -6.24%E -2.94%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.29%E -0.655%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-10 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -11.55%E -5.77%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-10 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -11.55%E -5.77%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-10 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -11.55%E -5.77%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-10 22:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.34%E -4.55%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.13%E -3.39%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -2.29%E -0.655%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 22:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.55%E -5.77%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-10 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -9.34%E -4.55%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -16.25%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -11.55%E -5.77%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94%EV -13.32%E -6.79%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-10 22:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.39%EV -10.66%E -5.28%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.22%EV -16.25%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-10 22:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -11.55%E -5.77%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -12.25%E -3.89%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-10 22:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.34%E -4.55%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -5.08%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-10 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.34%E -4.55%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -5.08%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-10 22:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.34%E -4.55%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-10 22:33 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-10-10 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-10-10 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-10-10 22:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.60% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.0% | 2026-10-10 22:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 22:50 |