The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Pumas v Tigres

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 03:10 UTC

Final: Pumas 1–1 Tigres

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pumas (Local)

Prediction 45.96%2.18fair odd
EV +8.00%
Edge +3.40%
Kelly +5.92%
Growth +0.473%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.96%45.43%45.88%47.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.001.982.3554.64%49.97%50.51%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tigres (Visit)

Prediction 27.57%3.63fair odd
EV +3.38%
Edge +0.900%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.041%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.28%28.02%27.45%33.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.353.403.7537.04%29.83%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.48%3.78fair odd
EV -0.708%
Edge -0.189%
Kelly -0.258%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.54%26.56%26.66%27.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.453.423.7531.75%29.00%29.24%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pumas (Local): 45.96%; Tigres (Visit): 27.57%; Draw: 26.48%. For Pumas (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV +8.00%E +3.40%K +5.92%G +0.473%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -24.19%E -8.80%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.62%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 02:55
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.84%EV +4.32%E +1.90%K +3.40%G +0.147%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 03:00
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV +3.40%E +1.51%K +2.72%G +0.092%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -25.57%E -9.47%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -15.27%E -4.77%K -6.94%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-25 02:40
GTbets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -2.57%E -1.21%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.08%EV -7.38%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.42%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 02:55
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.49%E -1.66%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 03:00
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.13%EV -4.41%E -2.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.57%EV -4.07%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -3.36%E -0.919%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-25 03:00
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.73%EV -4.87%E -2.35%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.40%EV -2.69%E -0.762%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.86%EV -0.973%E -0.260%K -0.355%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-25 03:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.26%EV -5.79%E -2.83%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83%EV +3.38%E +0.900%K +1.23%G +0.041%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.91%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-25 03:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.26%EV -5.79%E -2.83%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83%EV +3.38%E +0.900%K +1.23%G +0.041%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.91%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-25 03:00
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -5.79%E -2.83%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.37%EV -8.20%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -2.03%E -0.549%K -0.753%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 02:55
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.01%EV -5.79%E -2.83%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -3.36%E -0.919%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 02:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.79%E -2.83%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 03:00
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.79%E -2.83%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.03%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-25 02:55
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -5.79%E -2.83%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -20.06%E -6.92%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -12.62%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-25 03:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.38%EV -6.25%E -3.06%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -0.759%E -0.211%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -0.708%E -0.189%K -0.258%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-25 03:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.38%EV -6.25%E -3.06%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -0.759%E -0.211%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -0.708%E -0.189%K -0.258%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-25 03:00
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.17%E -3.55%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-25 03:00
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -8.09%E -4.04%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.52%E -1.00%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -2.03%E -0.549%K -0.753%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 03:00
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.09%E -4.04%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 03:04
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.09%E -4.04%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 03:05
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.09%E -4.04%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-25 03:00
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.09%E -4.04%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.00%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-25 03:00
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.09%E -4.04%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.62%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-25 02:55
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.09%E -4.04%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 03:00
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -9.01%E -4.55%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -4.89%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 03:04
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -9.01%E -4.55%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -4.89%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 03:00
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -9.01%E -4.55%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -4.89%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 03:00
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -9.93%E -5.07%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -3.52%E -1.00%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-25 03:00
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -10.39%E -5.33%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.52%E -1.00%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 03:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -10.39%E -5.33%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -3.52%E -1.00%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 03:00
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -10.39%E -5.33%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -3.52%E -1.00%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 03:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -10.39%E -5.33%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -3.52%E -1.00%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 03:00
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -10.39%E -5.33%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -3.52%E -1.00%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 03:00
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -10.39%E -5.33%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -3.52%E -1.00%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 03:00
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -10.39%E -5.33%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 03:05
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.39%E -5.33%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -12.62%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-25 03:00
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.39%E -5.33%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -12.62%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-25 02:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.39%E -5.33%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -12.62%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-25 03:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.39%E -5.33%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -12.62%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-25 03:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.06%EV -10.39%E -5.33%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -13.16%E -4.18%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -13.95%E -4.29%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-25 03:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -11.31%E -5.86%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -0.759%E -0.211%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -12.62%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-25 03:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.96%EV -11.31%E -5.86%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.14%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-25 03:05
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -11.77%E -6.13%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -12.62%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-25 03:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -11.77%E -6.13%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -12.62%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-25 03:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -11.77%E -6.13%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -12.62%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-25 03:00
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -12.23%E -6.40%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.03%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-25 03:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -12.23%E -6.40%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.03%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-25 03:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.89%EV -12.23%E -6.40%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.72%EV -13.15%E -4.01%K -5.77%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-25 02:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.60%EV -13.14%E -6.95%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.29%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -13.95%E -4.29%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-25 03:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.64%EV -15.90%E -8.69%K -19.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.26%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.10%EV -16.59%E -5.27%K -7.72%G +0.000%17.2%2026-10-25 03:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.90%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88%0.4%2026-10-25 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.83%1.9%2026-10-25 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.83%1.9%2026-10-25 03:05
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-10-25 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.74%2.3%2026-10-25 03:05
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.96%2.7%2026-10-25 03:05