Language:English
Pumas v Cruz Azul
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pumas (Local)
Prediction 31.65%3.16fair odd
EV +1.29%
Edge +0.404%
Kelly +0.588%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.71%31.52%31.58%33.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.952.953.2037.04%33.91%33.90%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cruz Azul (Visit)
Prediction 41.67%2.40fair odd
EV -0.400%
Edge -0.167%
Kelly -0.288%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.07%41.78%41.76%44.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.172.202.3951.81%46.07%45.56%41.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.67%3.75fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -0.725%
Kelly -0.999%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.58%26.70%26.66%28.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.453.503.6532.26%28.96%28.57%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pumas (Local): 31.65%; Cruz Azul (Visit): 41.67%; Draw: 26.67%. For Pumas (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.16. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV +1.29%E +0.404%K +0.588%G +0.008% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.45%EV -8.73%E -3.99%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 01:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -0.289%E -0.092%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -12.49%E -5.95%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.65%E -0.725%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-12 01:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -0.289%E -0.092%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -12.49%E -5.95%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.65%E -0.725%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-12 00:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -1.87%E -0.604%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.88%EV -9.98%E -4.62%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-12 00:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -1.87%E -0.604%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.71%EV -14.15%E -6.87%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-12 00:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -1.87%E -0.604%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.71%EV -14.15%E -6.87%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-12 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -1.87%E -0.604%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.71%EV -14.15%E -6.87%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-12 01:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -1.87%E -0.604%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.71%EV -14.15%E -6.87%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-12 00:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -1.87%E -0.604%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.71%EV -14.15%E -6.87%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-12 01:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -1.87%E -0.604%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.71%EV -14.15%E -6.87%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-12 01:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -1.87%E -0.604%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.71%EV -14.15%E -6.87%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-12 01:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.80%EV -2.19%E -0.708%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.06%EV -7.90%E -3.58%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.14%EV -2.91%E -0.800%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.89%EV -2.51%E -0.813%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.03%EV -10.82%E -5.06%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-12 00:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.61%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.52%EV -2.90%E -1.24%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.87%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-12 01:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.04%E -1.68%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.65%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-12 01:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.04%E -1.68%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.65%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-12 00:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -5.04%E -1.68%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.27%EV -15.82%E -7.83%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.92%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-12 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -5.04%E -1.68%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.27%EV -15.82%E -7.83%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.92%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-12 00:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -5.04%E -1.68%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.27%EV -15.82%E -7.83%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.92%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-12 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -6.62%E -2.24%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.65%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-12 00:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.62%E -2.24%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-12 01:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -6.62%E -2.24%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-12 00:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.62%E -2.24%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-12 01:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.62%E -2.24%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-12 01:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.62%E -2.24%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -10.40%E -4.84%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.65%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-12 00:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -6.62%E -2.24%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -10.40%E -4.84%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-12 01:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.03%EV -6.62%E -2.24%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -16.65%E -8.33%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-12 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.05%EV -7.57%E -2.59%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.37%EV -0.400%E -0.167%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.58%EV -3.18%E -0.876%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-12 00:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.05%EV -7.57%E -2.59%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.37%EV -0.400%E -0.167%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.58%EV -3.18%E -0.876%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-12 00:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.20%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 00:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.20%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 00:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.20%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.65%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-12 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.20%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.65%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-12 01:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.20%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-12 01:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.20%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-12 00:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.20%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.40%E -4.84%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-12 00:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.72%EV -8.84%E -3.07%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 44.35%EV -19.57%E -10.14%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.94%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-10-12 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -9.79%E -3.43%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.65%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-12 00:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -11.37%E -4.06%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-12 01:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.37%E -4.06%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.40%E -4.84%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.65%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-12 01:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.37%E -4.06%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-12 00:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.37%E -4.06%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-12 01:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -11.37%E -4.06%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -10.40%E -4.84%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-12 01:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.37%E -4.06%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -17.32%E -5.59%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-12 01:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.37%E -4.06%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -17.32%E -5.59%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-12 01:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.37%E -4.06%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -17.32%E -5.59%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-12 01:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.37%E -4.06%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -17.32%E -5.59%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-12 01:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -11.37%E -4.06%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -12.49%E -5.95%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-12 01:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -12.95%E -4.71%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -12.49%E -5.95%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-12 00:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -14.53%E -5.38%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -10.40%E -4.84%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-12 01:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 1.0% | 2026-10-12 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 1.0% | 2026-10-12 00:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 1.0% | 2026-10-12 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 1.5% | 2026-10-12 01:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48% | 2.0% | 2026-10-12 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.08% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.11% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.81% | 2.2% | 2026-10-12 01:05 |