The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Puebla v Pumas

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 03:00 UTC

Final: Puebla 1–2 Pumas

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Puebla (Local)

Prediction 25.82%3.87fair odd
EV +0.681%
Edge +0.175%
Kelly +0.235%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.00%25.82%25.86%29.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.443.453.9033.90%29.04%28.99%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pumas (Visit)

Prediction 48.19%2.07fair odd
EV +3.62%
Edge +1.68%
Kelly +3.15%
Growth +0.114%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.32%48.13%48.16%50.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.951.942.1555.56%51.23%51.68%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.99%3.85fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -0.819%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.33%26.04%25.99%27.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.503.503.7330.77%28.59%28.57%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Puebla (Local): 25.82%; Pumas (Visit): 48.19%; Draw: 25.99%. For Pumas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.62%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -13.52%E -4.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.99%EV +3.62%E +1.68%K +3.15%G +0.114%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-31 02:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -13.52%E -4.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.99%EV +3.62%E +1.68%K +3.15%G +0.114%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-31 02:05
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -18.68%E -5.93%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -0.720%E -0.349%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 02:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -18.68%E -5.93%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -0.720%E -0.349%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 02:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -18.68%E -5.93%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -0.720%E -0.349%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 02:05
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -18.68%E -5.93%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -0.720%E -0.349%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 02:05
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -18.68%E -5.93%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -0.720%E -0.349%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 02:05
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -18.68%E -5.93%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -0.720%E -0.349%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 02:05
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -18.68%E -5.93%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -0.720%E -0.349%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 02:05
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.70%EV -1.68%E -0.825%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -7.73%E -2.18%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-30 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -21.26%E -6.97%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.32%EV -2.65%E -1.31%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -11.63%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-31 02:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -21.26%E -6.97%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.32%EV -2.65%E -1.31%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -11.63%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-31 02:05
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -21.26%E -6.97%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.32%EV -2.65%E -1.31%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -11.63%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-31 02:05
GTbets🎯3.57I 28.01%NM 26.44%EV -7.84%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -3.61%E -1.81%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.37%EV -6.96%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-30 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -21.26%E -6.97%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.39%EV -3.61%E -1.81%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -12.93%E -3.86%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-31 02:00
Pinnacle🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.84%EV +0.681%E +0.175%K +0.235%G +0.002%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.18%EV -5.06%E -2.57%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.98%EV -3.06%E -0.819%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-31 02:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV +0.681%E +0.175%K +0.235%G +0.002%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.27%EV -5.54%E -2.83%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.96%EV -3.32%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-31 02:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV +0.681%E +0.175%K +0.235%G +0.002%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.27%EV -5.54%E -2.83%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.96%EV -3.32%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-31 02:45
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.48%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.02%E -3.09%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 02:30
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -6.02%E -3.09%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 01:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.02%E -3.09%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-30 23:10
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.02%E -3.09%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 00:15
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.48%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.11%EV -6.50%E -3.35%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 02:30
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -6.50%E -3.35%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.73%E -2.18%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-30 23:25
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.99%E -3.62%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 02:43
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.99%E -3.62%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 02:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.10%EV -23.84%E -8.08%K -12.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 44.48%EV -6.99%E -3.62%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -15.53%E -4.78%K -6.90%G +0.000%16.5%2026-10-31 02:05
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -7.47%E -3.89%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.73%E -2.18%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 02:40
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.48%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -7.47%E -3.89%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.33%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 02:15
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.48%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -7.47%E -3.89%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.33%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 02:15
LeoVegas🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -7.47%E -3.89%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 02:00
BetUS🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -5.77%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -7.95%E -4.16%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 02:45
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.95%E -4.16%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 02:31
Fliff🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.95%E -4.16%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-31 02:39
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -7.95%E -4.16%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.23%E -4.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-31 02:15
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -7.95%E -4.16%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.63%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-30 23:25
1xBet🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 25.55%EV -6.29%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.82%EV -8.43%E -4.44%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.62%EV -5.92%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 02:40
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -8.43%E -4.44%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.63%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-31 02:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -8.43%E -4.44%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.63%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-31 02:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 25.47%EV -6.55%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -9.39%E -5.00%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.47%EV -5.92%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 02:30
NetBet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -13.52%E -4.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.52%EV -10.84%E -5.86%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -12.93%E -3.86%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-31 02:43
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.75%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.32%EV -10.84%E -5.86%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -15.53%E -4.78%K -6.90%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-31 02:30
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.75%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.32%EV -10.84%E -5.86%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -15.53%E -4.78%K -6.90%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-31 02:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.75%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.32%EV -10.84%E -5.86%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -15.53%E -4.78%K -6.90%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-31 02:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.75%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.32%EV -10.84%E -5.86%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -15.53%E -4.78%K -6.90%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-31 02:30
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.80%E -6.45%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-31 02:39
Betclic (FR)🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 26.03%EV -13.00%E -3.86%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.94%EV -11.80%E -6.45%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.03%EV -12.41%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-31 02:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -1.90%E -0.500%K -0.679%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -13.25%E -7.36%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 02:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-10-31 02:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-10-31 02:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-10-31 02:40
Matchbook◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-10-31 02:45
Smarkets◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.38%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-10-31 02:31
Kalshi◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-10-31 02:45

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