La escuela de los momiosPuebla v FC Juárez
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Puebla (Local)
Predicción 37.79%2.65momio equitativo
EV +2.03%
Ventaja +0.753%
Kelly +1.20%
Crecimiento +0.024%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.82%37.58%37.81%38.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.282.492.502.7043.86%40.20%40.00%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Juárez (Visitante)
Predicción 34.94%2.86momio equitativo
EV -3.22%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -1.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.98%35.13%34.92%37.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.562.552.7742.02%39.01%39.22%36.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.27%3.67momio equitativo
EV -0.460%
Ventaja -0.126%
Kelly -0.174%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.48%27.29%27.27%29.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.333.353.6534.72%30.04%29.85%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.19%EV +2.03%E +0.753%K +1.20%G +0.024% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.26%EV -10.90%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 00:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.19%EV +2.03%E +0.753%K +1.20%G +0.024% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.26%EV -10.90%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 00:59 |
| Unibet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV +0.142%E +0.054%K +0.086%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -12.65%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 00:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV +0.142%E +0.054%K +0.086%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -12.65%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV +0.142%E +0.054%K +0.086%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -12.65%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 01:00 |
| betPARX | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV +0.142%E +0.054%K +0.086%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -12.65%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 00:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV +0.142%E +0.054%K +0.086%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.21%EV -13.35%E -5.38%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 00:52 |
| Casumo | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -0.613%E -0.233%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -10.90%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.18%EV -1.75%E -0.672%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.34%EV -7.06%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.48%EV -0.460%E -0.126%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.18%EV -1.75%E -0.672%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.34%EV -7.06%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.48%EV -0.460%E -0.126%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 01:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -1.75%E -0.672%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -13.35%E -5.38%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -1.75%E -0.672%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -12.65%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 01:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -1.75%E -0.672%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -12.65%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 01:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.80%EV -3.26%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.94%EV -3.22%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.26%EV -3.19%E -0.898%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-04 00:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -3.64%E -1.43%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -10.90%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 01:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -3.64%E -1.43%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -13.35%E -5.38%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -3.64%E -1.43%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -14.40%E -5.88%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-04 01:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -3.64%E -1.43%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.03%EV -15.10%E -6.21%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-04 00:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.84%EV -4.01%E -1.58%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.08%EV -4.27%E -1.56%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.08%EV -3.19%E -0.898%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 00:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.41%EV -5.53%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.92%EV -3.92%E -1.42%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -1.82%E -0.507%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.53%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.66%E -2.10%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 01:00 |
| BetUS | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -5.53%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -7.41%E -2.80%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 00:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.53%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.16%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 01:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -5.53%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -12.65%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-04 01:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -5.53%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -16.84%E -7.08%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -12.73%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-04 00:59 |
| GTbets | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.20%EV -5.90%E -2.37%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -9.16%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.17%EV -7.01%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 00:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.66%EV -7.04%E -2.86%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.69%EV -6.71%E -2.51%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 00:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.42%E -3.03%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.66%E -2.10%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 00:58 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.42%E -3.03%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.46%E -3.23%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 00:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.42%E -3.03%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.16%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 00:59 |
| Fliff | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -7.42%E -3.03%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.90%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 01:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -9.31%E -3.88%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.66%E -2.10%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 00:59 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.31%E -3.88%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -5.66%E -2.10%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 01:00 |
| Betsson | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.31%E -3.88%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.16%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 01:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.31%E -3.88%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.16%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 01:00 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.31%E -3.88%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.16%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 00:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.31%E -3.88%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.16%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 00:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -9.31%E -3.88%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -9.16%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-04 01:00 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -9.31%E -3.88%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -12.65%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-04 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -9.31%E -3.88%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -12.65%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-04 00:59 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.77%EV -10.06%E -4.23%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -12.65%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-04 01:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.77%EV -10.06%E -4.23%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -12.65%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-04 01:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.49%EV -10.06%E -4.23%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.19%EV -16.15%E -6.73%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.32%EV -21.46%E -7.45%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 18.4% | 2026-04-04 00:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -11.19%E -4.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -9.16%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 01:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.08%E -5.69%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.16%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-04 00:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -13.08%E -5.69%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.71%EV -12.65%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.55%EV -14.10%E -4.47%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-04 01:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -13.08%E -5.69%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.33%EV -14.40%E -5.88%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.05%EV -12.73%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-04 00:58 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.47%EV -13.08%E -5.69%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.17%EV -14.40%E -5.88%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.36%EV -14.10%E -4.47%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-04 00:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.46%EV -13.84%E -6.07%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.39%EV -10.90%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.15%EV -11.91%E -3.69%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-04 00:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.58% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 01:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.58% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.58% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 01:01 |
| Kalshi | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.24% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48% | 2.1% | 2026-04-04 01:01 |
| Smarkets | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.08% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.80% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 01:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.67% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 01:00 |