مدرسة الاحتمالات

Puebla v FC Juárez

البداية: 2026-04-04 01:02 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Puebla (المضيف)

التنبؤ 37.79%2.65السعر العادل
EV +2.03%
الأفضلية +0.753%
Kelly +1.20%
النمو +0.024%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.82%37.58%37.81%38.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.282.492.502.7043.86%40.20%40.00%37.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC Juárez (الضيف)

التنبؤ 34.94%2.86السعر العادل
EV -3.22%
الأفضلية -1.16%
Kelly -1.82%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.98%35.13%34.92%37.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.382.562.552.7742.02%39.01%39.22%36.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.27%3.67السعر العادل
EV -0.460%
الأفضلية -0.126%
Kelly -0.174%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.48%27.29%27.27%29.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.333.353.6534.72%30.04%29.85%27.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.19%EV +2.03%E +0.753%K +1.20%G +0.024%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.26%EV -10.90%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 00:59
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.19%EV +2.03%E +0.753%K +1.20%G +0.024%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.26%EV -10.90%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 00:59
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV +0.142%E +0.054%K +0.086%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -12.65%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 00:59
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV +0.142%E +0.054%K +0.086%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -12.65%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 01:00
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV +0.142%E +0.054%K +0.086%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -12.65%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 01:00
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV +0.142%E +0.054%K +0.086%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -12.65%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 00:59
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV +0.142%E +0.054%K +0.086%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.21%EV -13.35%E -5.38%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 00:52
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -0.613%E -0.233%K -0.376%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -10.90%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 01:00
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 37.18%EV -1.75%E -0.672%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.34%EV -7.06%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.48%EV -0.460%E -0.126%K -0.174%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 01:00
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 37.18%EV -1.75%E -0.672%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.34%EV -7.06%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.48%EV -0.460%E -0.126%K -0.174%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 01:00
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -1.75%E -0.672%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -13.35%E -5.38%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 01:00
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -1.75%E -0.672%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -12.65%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 01:00
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -1.75%E -0.672%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -12.65%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 01:00
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 37.80%EV -3.26%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.94%EV -3.22%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.26%EV -3.19%E -0.898%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 00:59
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -3.64%E -1.43%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -10.90%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 01:00
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -3.64%E -1.43%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -13.35%E -5.38%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -3.64%E -1.43%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -14.40%E -5.88%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 01:00
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -3.64%E -1.43%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.03%EV -15.10%E -6.21%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 00:59
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 37.84%EV -4.01%E -1.58%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.08%EV -4.27%E -1.56%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.08%EV -3.19%E -0.898%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 00:59
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.41%EV -5.53%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.92%EV -3.92%E -1.42%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -1.82%E -0.507%K -0.701%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 01:00
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.53%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.66%E -2.10%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 01:00
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -5.53%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -7.41%E -2.80%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 00:59
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.53%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.16%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 01:00
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -5.53%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -12.65%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 01:00
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -5.53%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -16.84%E -7.08%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -12.73%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-04 00:59
GTbets2.49I 40.16%NM 37.20%EV -5.90%E -2.37%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -9.16%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.17%EV -7.01%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 00:59
Marathon Bet2.46I 40.65%NM 37.66%EV -7.04%E -2.86%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.69%EV -6.71%E -2.51%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 00:59
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.42%E -3.03%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.66%E -2.10%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 00:58
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.42%E -3.03%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.46%E -3.23%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 00:59
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.42%E -3.03%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.16%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 00:59
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -7.42%E -3.03%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.90%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 01:00
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -9.31%E -3.88%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.66%E -2.10%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 00:59
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.31%E -3.88%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -5.66%E -2.10%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 01:00
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.31%E -3.88%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.16%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 01:00
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.31%E -3.88%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.16%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 01:00
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.31%E -3.88%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.16%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 00:59
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.31%E -3.88%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.16%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 00:59
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -9.31%E -3.88%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -9.16%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-04 01:00
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -9.31%E -3.88%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -12.65%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-04 00:59
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -9.31%E -3.88%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -12.65%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-04 00:59
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 36.77%EV -10.06%E -4.23%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -12.65%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-04 01:00
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.77%EV -10.06%E -4.23%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -12.65%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-04 01:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 35.49%EV -10.06%E -4.23%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.19%EV -16.15%E -6.73%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.32%EV -21.46%E -7.45%K -11.41%G +0.000%18.4%2026-04-04 00:59
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -11.19%E -4.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -9.16%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 01:00
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.08%E -5.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.16%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 00:59
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -13.08%E -5.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.71%EV -12.65%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.55%EV -14.10%E -4.47%K -6.56%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-04 01:00
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -13.08%E -5.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.33%EV -14.40%E -5.88%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.05%EV -12.73%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-04 00:58
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.47%EV -13.08%E -5.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.17%EV -14.40%E -5.88%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.36%EV -14.10%E -4.47%K -6.56%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-04 00:59
Betclic (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 38.46%EV -13.84%E -6.07%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.39%EV -10.90%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.15%EV -11.91%E -3.69%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-04 00:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38%1.1%2026-04-04 01:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38%1.1%2026-04-04 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38%1.1%2026-04-04 01:01
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.24%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.1%2026-04-04 01:01
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 39.08%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.80%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%4.9%2026-04-04 01:00
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 37.67%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%7.9%2026-04-04 01:00