La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Pachuca v Toluca
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Pachuca (Casa)
Previsione 34.65%2.89quota equa
EV +9.16%
Vantaggio +2.91%
Kelly +4.26%
Crescita +0.390%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.97%34.65%34.61%35.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.742.703.1540.00%36.56%37.11%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Toluca (Trasferta)
Previsione 38.12%2.62quota equa
EV -1.66%
Vantaggio -0.643%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.58
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.57%38.09%38.14%43.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.072.342.382.5848.31%42.78%42.11%38.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 27.23%3.67quota equa
EV -1.98%
Vantaggio -0.549%
Kelly -0.760%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.07%27.26%27.26%28.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.383.403.6033.33%29.61%29.41%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.12%EV +9.16%E +2.91%K +4.26%G +0.390% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -16.90%E -7.75%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -1.98%E -0.549%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 22:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV +7.43%E +2.40%K +3.54%G +0.263% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.45%EV -18.43%E -8.61%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 22:54 |
| Grosvenor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV +7.43%E +2.40%K +3.54%G +0.263% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.45%EV -18.43%E -8.61%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 22:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV +5.69%E +1.87%K +2.78%G +0.158% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -14.24%E -6.33%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -1.98%E -0.549%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV +5.69%E +1.87%K +2.78%G +0.158% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -19.95%E -9.50%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-10 22:54 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV +3.96%E +1.32%K +1.98%G +0.078% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -16.14%E -7.34%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 22:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV +3.96%E +1.32%K +1.98%G +0.078% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -16.14%E -7.34%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 22:55 |
| Casumo | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV +3.96%E +1.32%K +1.98%G +0.078% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -16.14%E -7.34%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 22:55 |
| betPARX | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV +3.96%E +1.32%K +1.98%G +0.078% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -16.14%E -7.34%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV +3.96%E +1.32%K +1.98%G +0.078% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.50%EV -21.10%E -10.19%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 22:54 |
| TABtouch | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV +2.23%E +0.755%K +1.14%G +0.025% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -16.90%E -7.75%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV +0.496%E +0.171%K +0.261%G +0.001% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -18.05%E -8.39%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-10 22:55 |
| GTbets | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.37%EV -0.890%E -0.311%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.28%EV -7.38%E -3.04%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.35%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 22:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.24%EV -1.93%E -0.682%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.30%EV -3.56%E -1.41%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.45%EV -3.88%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-10 22:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%EV -2.97%E -1.06%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.96%EV -4.33%E -1.72%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 22:34 |
| LeoVegas | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -2.97%E -1.06%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.14%EV -20.72%E -9.96%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-10 22:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -2.97%E -1.06%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.14%EV -20.72%E -9.96%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-10 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -4.70%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.47%EV -1.66%E -0.643%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.38%EV -3.88%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 22:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -4.70%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.47%EV -1.66%E -0.643%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.38%EV -3.88%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 22:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -4.70%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -6.61%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 22:35 |
| BetUS | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.43%E -2.38%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -4.71%E -1.88%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.43%E -2.38%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -6.61%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 22:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.43%E -2.38%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 22:39 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.43%E -2.38%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 22:29 |
| Bovada | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.23%EV -6.43%E -2.38%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.76%E -3.21%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -8.78%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 22:53 |
| Fliff | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -6.43%E -2.38%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -12.33%E -5.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -8.78%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-10 22:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.45%EV -6.78%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.13%EV -7.38%E -3.04%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.42%EV -7.97%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 22:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -7.13%E -2.66%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -3.94%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -8.78%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 22:54 |
| Betsson | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -7.13%E -2.66%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -3.94%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -8.78%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 22:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.73%EV -7.47%E -2.80%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.84%EV -6.61%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -7.97%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 22:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -8.17%E -3.08%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -4.71%E -1.88%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 22:49 |
| PlayUp | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.81%EV -8.17%E -3.08%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -6.61%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.78%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 22:54 |
| Bet Right | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -8.17%E -3.08%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -10.42%E -4.44%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.17%E -3.08%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -10.42%E -4.44%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 22:34 |
| Bet Victor | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -9.21%E -3.51%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.71%E -1.88%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 22:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -9.21%E -3.51%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -4.71%E -1.88%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 22:49 |
| betfred_uk | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.21%E -3.51%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -12.33%E -5.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 22:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.54%EV -9.21%E -3.51%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.58%EV -15.38%E -6.93%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 26.87%EV -10.96%E -3.35%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-10 22:34 |
| Everygame | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.90%E -3.81%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -6.61%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 22:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.90%E -3.81%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -10.42%E -4.44%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 22:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.90%E -3.81%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-10 22:45 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.90%E -3.81%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.33%E -5.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.90%E -3.81%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.33%E -5.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 22:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -9.90%E -3.81%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -16.14%E -7.34%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-10 22:54 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.37%E -5.35%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-10 22:49 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -13.37%E -5.35%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.59%E -5.03%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-10 22:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -13.37%E -5.35%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.59%E -5.03%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-10 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -13.37%E -5.35%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.59%E -5.03%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-10 22:54 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -13.37%E -5.35%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.59%E -5.03%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-10 22:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -13.37%E -5.35%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -14.24%E -6.33%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -8.78%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-10 22:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.43%EV -13.37%E -5.35%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -14.24%E -6.33%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.32%EV -14.23%E -4.52%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-10 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.96%EV -13.37%E -5.35%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.74%EV -14.24%E -6.33%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -18.31%E -6.10%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-10 22:44 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.19% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 22:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.19% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 22:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.19% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 22:54 |
| Matchbook | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.19% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.00% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.40% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60% | 2.1% | 2026-05-10 22:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48% | 2.1% | 2026-05-10 22:55 |