مدرسة الاحتمالات

Pachuca v Toluca

البداية: 2026-05-10 23:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Pachuca 2–0 Toluca

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Pachuca (المضيف)

التنبؤ 34.65%2.89السعر العادل
EV +9.16%
الأفضلية +2.91%
Kelly +4.26%
النمو +0.390%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.97%34.65%34.61%35.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.742.703.1540.00%36.56%37.11%31.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Toluca (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.12%2.62السعر العادل
EV -1.66%
الأفضلية -0.643%
Kelly -1.05%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.58

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.57%38.09%38.14%43.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.072.342.382.5848.31%42.78%42.11%38.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.23%3.67السعر العادل
EV -1.98%
الأفضلية -0.549%
Kelly -0.760%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.07%27.26%27.26%28.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.383.403.6033.33%29.61%29.41%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.12%EV +9.16%E +2.91%K +4.26%G +0.390%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -16.90%E -7.75%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -1.98%E -0.549%K -0.760%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 22:54
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV +7.43%E +2.40%K +3.54%G +0.263%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.45%EV -18.43%E -8.61%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 22:54
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV +7.43%E +2.40%K +3.54%G +0.263%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.45%EV -18.43%E -8.61%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 22:54
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV +5.69%E +1.87%K +2.78%G +0.158%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -14.24%E -6.33%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -1.98%E -0.549%K -0.760%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV +5.69%E +1.87%K +2.78%G +0.158%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -19.95%E -9.50%K -18.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 22:54
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV +3.96%E +1.32%K +1.98%G +0.078%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -16.14%E -7.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 22:54
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV +3.96%E +1.32%K +1.98%G +0.078%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -16.14%E -7.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 22:55
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV +3.96%E +1.32%K +1.98%G +0.078%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -16.14%E -7.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 22:55
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV +3.96%E +1.32%K +1.98%G +0.078%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -16.14%E -7.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 22:55
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV +3.96%E +1.32%K +1.98%G +0.078%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.50%EV -21.10%E -10.19%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 22:54
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV +2.23%E +0.755%K +1.14%G +0.025%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -16.90%E -7.75%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 22:55
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV +0.496%E +0.171%K +0.261%G +0.001%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -18.05%E -8.39%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 22:55
GTbets2.86I 34.97%NM 33.37%EV -0.890%E -0.311%K -0.479%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.28%EV -7.38%E -3.04%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.35%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 22:39
Pinnacle2.83I 35.34%NM 34.24%EV -1.93%E -0.682%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.30%EV -3.56%E -1.41%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.45%EV -3.88%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-10 22:50
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%EV -2.97%E -1.06%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.96%EV -4.33%E -1.72%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 22:34
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -2.97%E -1.06%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.14%EV -20.72%E -9.96%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-10 22:55
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -2.97%E -1.06%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.14%EV -20.72%E -9.96%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-10 22:55
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -4.70%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.47%EV -1.66%E -0.643%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.38%EV -3.88%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 22:54
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -4.70%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.47%EV -1.66%E -0.643%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.38%EV -3.88%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 22:55
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -4.70%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -6.61%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 22:35
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.43%E -2.38%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -4.71%E -1.88%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 22:55
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.43%E -2.38%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -6.61%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 22:55
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.43%E -2.38%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 22:39
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.43%E -2.38%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 22:29
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 34.23%EV -6.43%E -2.38%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.76%E -3.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -8.78%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 22:53
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -6.43%E -2.38%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -12.33%E -5.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -8.78%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 22:55
1xBet2.69I 37.17%NM 34.45%EV -6.78%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.13%EV -7.38%E -3.04%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.42%EV -7.97%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 22:54
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -7.13%E -2.66%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -3.94%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -8.78%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 22:54
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -7.13%E -2.66%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -3.94%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -8.78%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 22:54
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 34.73%EV -7.47%E -2.80%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.84%EV -6.61%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -7.97%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 22:54
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -8.17%E -3.08%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -4.71%E -1.88%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 22:49
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.81%EV -8.17%E -3.08%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -6.61%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.78%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 22:54
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -8.17%E -3.08%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -10.42%E -4.44%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 22:24
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.17%E -3.08%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -10.42%E -4.44%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-10 22:34
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -9.21%E -3.51%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.71%E -1.88%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 22:55
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -9.21%E -3.51%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -4.71%E -1.88%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 22:49
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.21%E -3.51%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -12.33%E -5.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 22:25
Betclic (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.54%EV -9.21%E -3.51%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.58%EV -15.38%E -6.93%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.87%EV -10.96%E -3.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-10 22:34
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.90%E -3.81%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -6.61%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-10 22:54
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.90%E -3.81%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -10.42%E -4.44%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-10 22:54
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.90%E -3.81%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 22:45
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.90%E -3.81%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.33%E -5.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-10 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.90%E -3.81%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.33%E -5.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-10 22:39
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -9.90%E -3.81%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -16.14%E -7.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-10 22:54
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.37%E -5.35%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-10 22:49
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -13.37%E -5.35%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.59%E -5.03%K -7.42%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-10 22:54
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -13.37%E -5.35%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.59%E -5.03%K -7.42%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-10 22:55
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -13.37%E -5.35%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.59%E -5.03%K -7.42%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-10 22:54
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -13.37%E -5.35%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.59%E -5.03%K -7.42%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-10 22:54
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -13.37%E -5.35%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -14.24%E -6.33%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -8.78%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-10 22:55
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.43%EV -13.37%E -5.35%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -14.24%E -6.33%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.32%EV -14.23%E -4.52%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-10 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.96%EV -13.37%E -5.35%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.74%EV -14.24%E -6.33%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -18.31%E -6.10%K -9.16%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-10 22:44
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%1.1%2026-05-10 22:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%1.1%2026-05-10 22:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%1.1%2026-05-10 22:54
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%1.1%2026-05-10 22:50
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 35.00%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.40%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60%2.1%2026-05-10 22:55
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.1%2026-05-10 22:55