The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Pachuca v Tigres

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 23:00 UTC

Final: Pachuca 3–0 Tigres

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pachuca (Local)

Prediction 49.29%2.03fair odd
EV -0.426%
Edge -0.211%
Kelly -0.417%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.12%49.25%49.29%51.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.891.902.0256.50%52.91%52.63%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tigres (Visit)

Prediction 25.34%3.95fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.369%
Kelly -0.497%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.96%25.36%25.30%26.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.573.503.8930.77%27.99%28.57%25.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.37%3.94fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -0.810%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.61%25.39%25.41%26.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.563.553.8230.77%28.11%28.17%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pachuca (Local): 49.29%; Tigres (Visit): 25.34%; Draw: 25.37%. For Pachuca (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.02, with an expected value of -0.426%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -0.426%E -0.211%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-31 22:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -0.426%E -0.211%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-31 22:25
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.43%EV -2.40%E -1.21%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.13%EV -7.01%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.44%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-31 22:55
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.23%EV -2.40%E -1.21%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.09%EV -7.26%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.67%EV -5.63%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-31 22:20
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.71%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.92%EV -1.44%E -0.369%K -0.497%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.37%EV -3.09%E -0.810%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-31 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.51%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-31 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.51%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-31 22:50
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%EV -4.37%E -2.25%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 22:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 22:25
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 22:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 22:25
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 22:25
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 22:25
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 22:25
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -3.72%E -0.978%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-31 22:30
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 22:50
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 22:40
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.87%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 22:50
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 22:55
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 22:50
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 22:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 22:50
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -7.52%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.94%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 22:50
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.05%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -9.94%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.22%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 22:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.22%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 22:25
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.35%EV -6.83%E -3.62%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-31 22:25
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -7.33%E -3.90%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 22:35
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -7.33%E -3.90%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 22:34
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.33%E -3.90%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -10.05%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.12%EV -7.33%E -3.90%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -15.12%E -4.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -15.02%E -4.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-31 22:25
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -7.82%E -4.18%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.87%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 22:55
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -7.82%E -4.18%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.87%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.49%EV -8.31%E -4.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.29%EV -7.77%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 22:15
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -8.81%E -4.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-31 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -8.81%E -4.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-31 22:50
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.81%E -4.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-31 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.81%E -4.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-31 22:15
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-31 22:20
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-31 22:35
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -16.29%E -4.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-31 22:30
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -16.29%E -4.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-31 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -16.29%E -4.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-31 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -16.29%E -4.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-31 22:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.61%EV -10.78%E -5.95%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -12.48%E -3.62%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-31 22:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 47.31%EV -10.78%E -5.95%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.35%EV -17.65%E -5.43%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.35%EV -17.55%E -5.40%K -7.80%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-31 22:25
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.27%E -6.26%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-31 22:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.00%EV -11.76%E -6.57%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.57%EV -13.09%E -3.82%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.42%EV -12.48%E -3.62%K -5.09%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-31 22:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -12.75%E -7.20%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -3.72%E -0.978%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 22:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-10-31 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-10-31 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-10-31 22:55
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-10-31 22:55
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-10-31 22:50
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.01%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.33%2.5%2026-10-31 22:55