L’École des cotes

Pachuca v Santos Laguna

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 01:00 UTC

Score final : Pachuca 4–2 Santos Laguna

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pachuca (Local)

Prévision 68.36%1.46cote équitable
EV -2.24%
Avantage -1.57%
Kelly -5.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.41%68.33%68.31%70.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.271.351.361.4378.74%73.83%73.53%69.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Santos Laguna (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.41%7.46cote équitable
EV +7.55%
Avantage +0.942%
Kelly +1.08%
Croissance +0.081%

avec la cote maximale 8.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.03%13.38%13.42%14.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.006.786.508.0216.67%14.74%15.38%12.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.23%5.49cote équitable
EV +0.056%
Avantage +0.010%
Kelly +0.012%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.24%18.29%18.27%20.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.904.855.4923.09%20.42%20.62%18.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 70.40%EV -6.34%E -4.63%K -17.14%G +0.000%8.02I 12.47%NM 12.03%EV +7.55%E +0.942%K +1.08%G +0.081%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.57%EV +0.056%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 00:50
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.92%EV -5.66%E -4.10%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.37%EV +4.60%E +0.590%K +0.677%G +0.031%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.71%EV -0.673%E -0.124%K -0.151%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-12 00:55
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.92%EV -5.66%E -4.10%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.37%EV +4.60%E +0.590%K +0.677%G +0.031%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.71%EV -0.673%E -0.124%K -0.151%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-12 00:55
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.43%EV -5.66%E -4.10%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.59%EV +2.05%E +0.270%K +0.311%G +0.006%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.98%EV -2.86%E -0.537%K -0.661%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 00:55
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -9.08%E -6.82%K -27.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +0.579%E +0.077%K +0.089%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -4.32%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 00:48
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -9.76%E -7.39%K -30.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +0.579%E +0.077%K +0.089%G +0.001%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -3.41%E -0.643%K -0.792%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 00:40
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.08%E -6.82%K -27.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +0.579%E +0.077%K +0.089%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 00:55
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.94%EV -5.66%E -4.10%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.77%EV -0.092%E -0.012%K -0.014%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.29%EV -5.23%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 00:35
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 68.40%EV -6.34%E -4.63%K -17.14%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -0.762%E -0.103%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -9.79%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 00:50
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.40%EV -6.34%E -4.63%K -17.14%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -0.762%E -0.103%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -9.79%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 00:49
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 68.33%EV -9.08%E -6.82%K -27.50%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.54%EV -2.77%E -0.383%K -0.444%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.13%EV -13.43%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 00:50
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -7.71%E -5.71%K -22.02%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.86%EV -3.44%E -0.478%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 00:49
GTbets1.42I 70.42%NM 67.64%EV -2.92%E -2.06%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.16I 13.97%NM 13.41%EV -3.98%E -0.556%K -0.646%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.94%EV -7.60%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 00:55
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.34%E -4.63%K -17.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -6.13%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -4.32%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 00:50
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.71%E -5.71%K -22.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -6.13%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -4.32%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 00:54
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 67.81%EV -7.02%E -5.17%K -19.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -6.13%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.01%EV -11.61%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 00:50
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -8.39%E -6.26%K -24.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.13%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 00:50
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 68.81%EV -9.08%E -6.82%K -27.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -6.13%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.12%EV -7.96%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 00:50
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -11.13%E -8.56%K -37.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -6.13%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.30%EV -11.13%E -8.56%K -37.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -6.13%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.20%EV -21.09%E -4.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-12 00:55
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -2.24%E -1.57%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -9.48%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -10.70%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 00:40
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -2.24%E -1.57%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -9.48%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -10.70%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 00:40
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -9.48%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -12.52%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 00:34
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -12.52%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 00:40
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -12.52%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 00:40
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -12.52%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 00:40
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -12.52%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 00:40
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -12.52%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 00:40
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -12.52%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 00:40
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -5.66%E -4.10%K -14.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 00:49
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -5.66%E -4.10%K -14.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -12.52%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 00:25
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -5.66%E -4.10%K -14.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -13.43%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 00:50
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -7.02%E -5.17%K -19.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 00:50
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.70%EV -9.08%E -6.82%K -27.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.24%EV -3.41%E -0.643%K -0.792%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 00:55
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.02%E -5.17%K -19.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -12.52%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 00:55
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -7.71%E -5.71%K -22.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -16.16%E -3.51%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 00:49
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -9.08%E -6.82%K -27.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.16%E -3.51%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 00:50
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -9.08%E -6.82%K -27.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.16%E -3.51%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 00:40
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -9.08%E -6.82%K -27.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.16%E -3.51%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 00:40
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -11.13%E -8.56%K -37.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -12.52%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-12 00:40
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 68.45%EV -12.49%E -9.76%K -44.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.48%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.07%EV -11.61%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-12 00:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.58%EV -7.02%E -5.17%K -19.51%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.15%EV -14.17%E -2.21%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.27%EV -14.34%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 00:49
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.05%EV -8.39%E -6.26%K -24.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.04%EV -14.17%E -2.21%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -13.43%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 00:55
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.88%EV -11.81%E -9.15%K -40.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.68%EV -14.17%E -2.21%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.44%EV -13.43%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-12 00:55
NetBet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 67.82%EV -13.18%E -10.38%K -48.80%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.46%EV -14.17%E -2.21%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.72%EV -16.16%E -3.51%K -4.49%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-12 00:40
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 66.47%EV -9.76%E -7.39%K -30.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.04%EV -16.18%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -17.99%E -4.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 00:50
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.47%EV -9.76%E -7.39%K -30.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.04%EV -16.18%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -17.99%E -4.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 00:49
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -9.08%E -6.82%K -27.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -19.54%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 00:50
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -7.02%E -5.17%K -19.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -19.54%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -17.99%E -4.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 00:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -7.02%E -5.17%K -19.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -19.54%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -17.99%E -4.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 00:35
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.48%EV -11.13%E -8.56%K -37.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -19.54%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.90%EV -10.70%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 00:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 69.97%7.69I 13.00%NM 13.01%5.88I 17.01%NM 17.02%-0.1%2026-04-12 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.34%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40%0.8%2026-04-12 00:55
Matchbook1.39I 71.94%NM 71.34%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40%0.8%2026-04-12 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 70.96%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.74%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30%1.4%2026-04-12 00:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 70.96%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.74%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30%1.4%2026-04-12 00:50
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 71.08%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.41%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.52%1.9%2026-04-12 00:55