La escuela de los momiosPachuca v Santos Laguna
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pachuca (Local)
Predicción 68.36%1.46momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -1.57%
Kelly -5.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.41%68.33%68.31%70.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.351.361.4378.74%73.83%73.53%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Santos Laguna (Visitante)
Predicción 13.41%7.46momio equitativo
EV +7.55%
Ventaja +0.942%
Kelly +1.08%
Crecimiento +0.081%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.03%13.38%13.42%14.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.006.786.508.0216.67%14.74%15.38%12.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 18.23%5.49momio equitativo
EV +0.056%
Ventaja +0.010%
Kelly +0.012%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.24%18.29%18.27%20.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.334.904.855.4923.09%20.42%20.62%18.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.40%EV -6.34%E -4.63%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 8.02I 12.47%NM 12.03%EV +7.55%E +0.942%K +1.08%G +0.081% | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.57%EV +0.056%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.92%EV -5.66%E -4.10%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.37%EV +4.60%E +0.590%K +0.677%G +0.031% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.71%EV -0.673%E -0.124%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.92%EV -5.66%E -4.10%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.37%EV +4.60%E +0.590%K +0.677%G +0.031% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.71%EV -0.673%E -0.124%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 00:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.43%EV -5.66%E -4.10%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.59%EV +2.05%E +0.270%K +0.311%G +0.006% | 5.33I 18.76%NM 17.98%EV -2.86%E -0.537%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 00:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -9.08%E -6.82%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +0.579%E +0.077%K +0.089%G +0.001% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -4.32%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 00:48 |
| FanDuel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -9.76%E -7.39%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +0.579%E +0.077%K +0.089%G +0.001% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -3.41%E -0.643%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.08%E -6.82%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +0.579%E +0.077%K +0.089%G +0.001% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 00:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.94%EV -5.66%E -4.10%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.77%EV -0.092%E -0.012%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.29%EV -5.23%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 00:35 |
| Betsson | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.40%EV -6.34%E -4.63%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -0.762%E -0.103%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -9.79%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.40%EV -6.34%E -4.63%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -0.762%E -0.103%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -9.79%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 00:49 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.33%EV -9.08%E -6.82%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.54%EV -2.77%E -0.383%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.13%EV -13.43%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -7.71%E -5.71%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.86%EV -3.44%E -0.478%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 00:49 |
| GTbets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.64%EV -2.92%E -2.06%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.16I 13.97%NM 13.41%EV -3.98%E -0.556%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.94%EV -7.60%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 00:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.34%E -4.63%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -6.13%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -4.32%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.71%E -5.71%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -6.13%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -4.32%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 00:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.81%EV -7.02%E -5.17%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -6.13%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.01%EV -11.61%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -8.39%E -6.26%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.13%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| BetUS | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.81%EV -9.08%E -6.82%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -6.13%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.12%EV -7.96%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -11.13%E -8.56%K -37.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -6.13%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.30%EV -11.13%E -8.56%K -37.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -6.13%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.20%EV -21.09%E -4.87%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-12 00:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -2.24%E -1.57%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -9.48%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -10.70%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -2.24%E -1.57%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -9.48%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -10.70%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -9.48%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -12.52%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 00:34 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -12.52%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -12.52%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -12.52%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -12.52%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -12.52%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| betPARX | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -12.52%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -5.66%E -4.10%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 00:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -5.66%E -4.10%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -12.52%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 00:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -5.66%E -4.10%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -13.43%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -7.02%E -5.17%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.70%EV -9.08%E -6.82%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.24%EV -3.41%E -0.643%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 00:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.02%E -5.17%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -12.52%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 00:55 |
| William Hill | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -7.71%E -5.71%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -16.16%E -3.51%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 00:49 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -9.08%E -6.82%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.16%E -3.51%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -9.08%E -6.82%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.16%E -3.51%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -9.08%E -6.82%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.16%E -3.51%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -11.13%E -8.56%K -37.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -12.52%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.45%EV -12.49%E -9.76%K -44.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.48%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.07%EV -11.61%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-12 00:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.58%EV -7.02%E -5.17%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.15%EV -14.17%E -2.21%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.27%EV -14.34%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 00:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.05%EV -8.39%E -6.26%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.04%EV -14.17%E -2.21%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -13.43%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-12 00:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.88%EV -11.81%E -9.15%K -40.72%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.68%EV -14.17%E -2.21%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.44%EV -13.43%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-12 00:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 67.82%EV -13.18%E -10.38%K -48.80%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.46%EV -14.17%E -2.21%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.72%EV -16.16%E -3.51%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.47%EV -9.76%E -7.39%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.04%EV -16.18%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -17.99%E -4.00%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.47%EV -9.76%E -7.39%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.04%EV -16.18%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -17.99%E -4.00%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-12 00:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -9.08%E -6.82%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -19.54%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -7.02%E -5.17%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -19.54%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -17.99%E -4.00%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-12 00:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -7.02%E -5.17%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -19.54%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -17.99%E -4.00%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-12 00:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.48%EV -11.13%E -8.56%K -37.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -19.54%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.90%EV -10.70%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-12 00:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.97% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 13.01% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 17.02% | -0.1% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.34% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40% | 0.8% | 2026-04-12 00:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.34% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40% | 0.8% | 2026-04-12 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.96% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.74% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30% | 1.4% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.96% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.74% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30% | 1.4% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.08% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.41% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.52% | 1.9% | 2026-04-12 00:55 |