La scuola delle quote

Pachuca v Pumas

Inizio: 2026-05-13 20:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

22 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Pachuca (Casa)

Previsione 43.77%2.28quota equa
EV -3.71%
Vantaggio -1.69%
Kelly -3.09%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.06%43.77%43.59%45.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.72%47.62%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pumas (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.10%3.44quota equa
EV -2.82%
Vantaggio -0.843%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.34

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.05%29.08%29.14%29.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.153.203.3433.33%31.71%31.30%29.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.13%3.69quota equa
EV -2.32%
Vantaggio -0.644%
Kelly -0.891%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.88%27.15%27.27%28.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.383.403.6032.26%29.59%29.41%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (22 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.10%EV -4.85%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.66%EV -6.66%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 12:59
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.10%EV -5.46%E -2.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.19%EV -7.18%E -2.25%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.71%EV -8.83%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 13:00
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 15:04
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.10%E -2.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 18:20
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.29%EV -6.33%E -2.96%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -7.47%E -2.35%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.57%EV -8.83%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-11 12:59
Bovada2.14I 46.73%NM 42.96%EV -6.33%E -2.96%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 17:19
GTbets2.13I 46.95%NM 43.98%EV -6.77%E -3.18%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.05%EV -2.82%E -0.843%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -9.10%E -2.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 15:22
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.82%EV -7.21%E -3.40%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -3.98%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -2.32%E -0.644%K -0.891%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 16:49
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -8.09%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.98%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -2.32%E -0.644%K -0.891%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 15:47
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.09%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 16:50
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -8.09%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -12.71%E -4.24%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -15.88%E -5.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-11 10:24
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -8.09%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -12.71%E -4.24%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -15.88%E -5.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-11 10:24
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -8.09%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -12.71%E -4.24%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -15.88%E -5.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-11 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -8.09%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -12.71%E -4.24%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -15.88%E -5.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-11 13:59
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -8.96%E -4.31%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.67%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 15:50
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -8.96%E -4.31%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.67%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 15:49
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -10.27%E -5.01%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.44%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -2.32%E -0.644%K -0.891%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 15:50
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -10.27%E -5.01%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 15:50
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.27%E -5.01%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.71%E -4.24%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-11 15:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -12.46%E -6.23%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-11 15:46
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -12.46%E -6.23%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-11 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -12.46%E -6.23%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -12.71%E -4.24%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -15.88%E -5.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-11 15:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 43.43%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%5.6%2026-05-11 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%8.0%2026-05-11 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%8.0%2026-05-11 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%8.0%2026-05-11 15:05
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 42.16%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%9.8%2026-05-11 14:34