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Necaxa v Atlas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Necaxa (Local)
Prediction 27.75%3.60fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.420%
Kelly -0.584%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.06%27.76%27.75%30.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.223.203.5535.71%31.04%31.25%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlas (Visit)
Prediction 46.54%2.15fair odd
EV +3.78%
Edge +1.70%
Kelly +3.07%
Growth +0.116%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.54%46.50%46.46%49.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.022.002.2354.05%49.42%50.00%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.71%3.89fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -0.603%
Kelly -0.819%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.65%25.74%25.79%26.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.523.503.8031.25%28.42%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Necaxa (Local): 27.75%; Atlas (Visit): 46.54%; Draw: 25.71%. For Atlas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.78%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -12.59%E -4.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.12%EV +3.78%E +1.70%K +3.07%G +0.116% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -6.15%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -12.59%E -4.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.12%EV +3.78%E +1.70%K +3.07%G +0.116% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -6.15%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-17 00:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -16.75%E -5.58%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -0.408%E -0.191%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -11.29%E -3.27%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 00:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -16.75%E -5.58%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -0.408%E -0.191%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -11.29%E -3.27%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -16.75%E -5.58%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -0.408%E -0.191%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -11.29%E -3.27%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 00:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -16.75%E -5.58%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -0.408%E -0.191%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -11.29%E -3.27%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 00:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -16.75%E -5.58%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -0.408%E -0.191%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -11.29%E -3.27%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -16.75%E -5.58%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -0.408%E -0.191%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -11.29%E -3.27%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -16.75%E -5.58%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -0.408%E -0.191%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -11.29%E -3.27%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -19.53%E -6.73%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.54%EV -2.27%E -1.08%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -13.86%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -19.53%E -6.73%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.54%EV -2.27%E -1.08%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -13.86%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -19.53%E -6.73%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.54%EV -2.27%E -1.08%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -13.86%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-17 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.77%EV -3.43%E -0.986%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.46%EV -3.20%E -1.54%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -3.58%E -0.954%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-17 00:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.77%EV -3.43%E -0.986%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.46%EV -3.20%E -1.54%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -3.58%E -0.954%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-17 00:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.75%EV -3.43%E -0.986%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.43%EV -3.20%E -1.54%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.82%EV -3.84%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-17 00:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV -1.49%E -0.420%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.41%EV -3.67%E -1.77%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.54%EV -6.92%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-17 00:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.49%EV -19.53%E -6.73%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.72%EV -3.67%E -1.77%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -15.15%E -4.59%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -8.43%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.60%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -2.29%E -0.603%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.20%EV -4.60%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -6.15%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 00:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.60%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 00:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.43%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.60%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.60%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -16.75%E -5.58%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -4.60%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.52%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -5.06%E -2.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.74%EV -10.26%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.27%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.16%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -4.86%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.86%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 00:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.86%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 00:53 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.43%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-17 00:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -15.15%E -4.59%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-17 00:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -22.30%E -7.97%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -17.72%E -5.54%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.43%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -7.85%E -3.97%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -2.88%E -0.822%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -8.78%E -4.48%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -2.88%E -0.822%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -9.25%E -4.74%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -9.25%E -4.74%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -6.15%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.25%E -4.74%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.25%E -4.74%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-17 00:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -9.25%E -4.74%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -15.15%E -4.59%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -9.25%E -4.74%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -15.15%E -4.59%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -9.25%E -4.74%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -15.15%E -4.59%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -9.25%E -4.74%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -15.15%E -4.59%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.91%EV -5.10%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -10.65%E -5.54%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.15%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -4.27%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -10.65%E -5.54%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -4.27%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -10.65%E -5.54%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -10.65%E -5.54%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -12.58%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -11.11%E -5.82%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -11.11%E -5.82%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.11%E -5.82%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-17 00:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -11.20%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.20%EV -11.58%E -6.09%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.36%EV -14.38%E -4.32%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-17 00:52 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -2.88%E -0.822%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -13.90%E -7.52%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -4.86%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.39% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64% | 1.3% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.39% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64% | 1.3% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.39% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64% | 1.3% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.06% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80% | 2.0% | 2026-10-17 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22% | 3.0% | 2026-10-17 00:50 |