The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Monterrey v Tijuana

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 01:05 UTC

Final: Monterrey 3–3 Tijuana

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Monterrey (Local)

Prediction 59.81%1.67fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.795%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.10%59.78%59.55%62.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.531.531.6571.43%65.27%65.36%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tijuana (Visit)

Prediction 17.74%5.64fair odd
EV +6.41%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.082%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.19%17.83%17.94%19.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.185.226.0022.22%19.30%19.14%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.45%4.45fair odd
EV +3.29%
Edge +0.715%
Kelly +0.913%
Growth +0.030%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.12%22.40%22.51%23.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.124.104.6026.67%24.28%24.39%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Monterrey (Local): 59.81%; Tijuana (Visit): 17.74%; Draw: 22.45%. For Tijuana (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.64. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.68%EV -7.29%E -4.71%K -13.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.19%EV +6.41%E +1.07%K +1.28%G +0.082%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%EV +3.29%E +0.715%K +0.913%G +0.030%2.9%2026-11-01 00:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.68%EV -7.29%E -4.71%K -13.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.19%EV +6.41%E +1.07%K +1.28%G +0.082%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%EV +3.29%E +0.715%K +0.913%G +0.030%2.9%2026-11-01 00:25
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.54%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.73%EV +2.69%E +0.464%K +0.561%G +0.015%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.74%EV -4.35%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-01 00:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.45%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.92%EV +1.09%E +0.192%K +0.232%G +0.003%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.63%EV +0.144%E +0.032%K +0.042%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-01 00:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.45%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.92%EV +1.09%E +0.192%K +0.232%G +0.003%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.63%EV +0.144%E +0.032%K +0.042%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-01 00:45
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.02%EV -6.70%E -4.29%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.85%EV +0.206%E +0.036%K +0.044%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -3.45%E -0.802%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 13:15
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -0.681%E -0.122%K -0.148%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 00:39
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -7.29%E -4.71%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -2.45%E -0.446%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 01:00
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -7.89%E -5.12%K -14.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -2.45%E -0.446%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 00:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.15%EV -12.08%E -8.22%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -2.45%E -0.446%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -3.45%E -0.802%K -1.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 00:45
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -10.28%E -6.86%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -4.23%E -0.783%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -10.28%E -6.86%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -4.23%E -0.783%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 00:25
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -10.28%E -6.86%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -4.23%E -0.783%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 00:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -10.28%E -6.86%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -4.23%E -0.783%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 00:25
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -10.28%E -6.86%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -4.23%E -0.783%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 00:25
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -10.28%E -6.86%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -4.23%E -0.783%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 00:25
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -10.28%E -6.86%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -4.23%E -0.783%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 00:25
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -4.90%E -3.08%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -6.89%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 22:15
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -4.90%E -3.08%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -6.89%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 15:40
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -6.70%E -4.29%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -6.89%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 00:50
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -6.89%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 18:03
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -6.89%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 00:53
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.03%EV -12.08%E -8.22%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -6.89%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 00:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.03%EV -12.08%E -8.22%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -6.89%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.03%EV -12.08%E -8.22%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -6.89%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.42%EV -13.87%E -9.63%K -31.53%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.01%EV -7.78%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-01 00:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -7.29%E -4.71%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -9.55%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 15:40
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.77%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -9.55%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-01 00:45
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.88%EV -7.89%E -5.12%K -14.61%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.12%EV -9.73%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.01%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-01 01:00
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -1.31%E -0.795%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 19.02%EV -10.26%E -2.03%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.65%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-01 01:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -5.50%E -3.48%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -11.32%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 23:40
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.78%EV -5.50%E -3.48%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.32%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 00:55
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -7.89%E -5.12%K -14.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.32%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 23:30
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.28%E -6.86%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.32%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-31 21:10
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.28%E -6.86%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.32%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 00:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.28%E -6.86%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.32%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 00:50
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.28%E -6.86%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -11.32%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -14.68%E -3.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-01 00:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.18%EV -16.27%E -11.62%K -40.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.13%EV -11.32%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.69%EV -11.31%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%16.7%2026-11-01 00:25
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.39%EV -5.50%E -3.48%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.83%EV -13.10%E -2.67%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.78%EV -9.06%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-01 00:55
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -7.29%E -4.71%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.10%E -2.67%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 00:35
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -3.70%E -2.30%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -14.87%E -3.10%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 00:30
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.91%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -14.87%E -3.10%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -15.80%E -4.21%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-11-01 00:35
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.91%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -14.87%E -3.10%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -15.80%E -4.21%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-11-01 00:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.91%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -14.87%E -3.10%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -15.80%E -4.21%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-11-01 00:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.91%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -14.87%E -3.10%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -15.80%E -4.21%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-11-01 00:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.25%EV -11.48%E -7.76%K -23.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.27%EV -14.87%E -3.10%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-31 23:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.40%EV -10.28%E -6.86%K -20.57%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.84%EV -17.53%E -3.77%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.76%EV -13.55%E -3.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-01 00:35
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -20.19%E -4.49%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-01 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -20.19%E -4.49%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-01 00:30
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -20.19%E -4.49%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-31 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-11-01 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-11-01 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-11-01 00:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-11-01 00:40
Smarkets◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.19%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.42%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%1.5%2026-11-01 00:50
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57%1.9%2026-11-01 00:55

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