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Monterrey v Pachuca
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Monterrey (Local)
Prediction 59.51%1.68fair odd
EV -0.019%
Edge -0.011%
Kelly -0.027%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.51%59.52%59.34%61.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.571.571.6868.03%63.81%63.69%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pachuca (Visit)
Prediction 18.43%5.43fair odd
EV +4.13%
Edge +0.731%
Kelly +0.888%
Growth +0.037%
assuming max odds 5.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.08%18.41%18.59%20.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.874.905.6523.81%20.53%20.41%17.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.06%4.53fair odd
EV -0.744%
Edge -0.165%
Kelly -0.212%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.66%22.07%22.07%23.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.104.134.5027.03%24.37%24.24%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Monterrey (Local): 59.51%; Pachuca (Visit): 18.43%; Draw: 22.06%. For Pachuca (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.43. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.13%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%EV -6.57%E -4.18%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.08%EV +4.13%E +0.731%K +0.888%G +0.037% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.45%EV -0.744%E -0.165%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-19 00:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%EV -6.57%E -4.18%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.08%EV +4.13%E +0.731%K +0.888%G +0.037% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.45%EV -0.744%E -0.165%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-19 00:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.21%EV -4.78%E -2.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.55%EV +1.18%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.25%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-19 00:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.46%EV -4.78%E -2.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%EV -0.476%E -0.088%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.92%EV -8.46%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-19 00:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -0.476%E -0.088%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -5.15%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-19 00:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -6.57%E -4.18%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV -2.32%E -0.438%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -6.26%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-19 00:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.34%EV -7.76%E -5.00%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -2.32%E -0.438%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.01%EV -6.26%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-19 00:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -5.37%E -3.38%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -3.24%E -0.617%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.36%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-19 00:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.49%EV -7.76%E -5.00%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -3.24%E -0.617%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.65%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 00:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.85%EV -12.52%E -8.51%K -26.63%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -4.16%E -0.800%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -2.95%E -0.670%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-19 00:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -5.37%E -3.38%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.15%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-19 00:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.57%E -4.18%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-19 01:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.57%E -4.18%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.36%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-19 00:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.01%EV -7.76%E -5.00%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -4.05%E -0.932%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-19 00:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.76%E -5.00%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-19 00:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.76%E -5.00%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -7.36%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-19 00:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.73%E -7.15%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-19 00:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.73%E -7.15%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-19 00:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.90%EV -2.99%E -1.84%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.28%EV -8.22%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -2.95%E -0.670%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-19 00:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.13%EV -1.80%E -1.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.94I 20.24%NM 19.41%EV -8.95%E -1.81%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.46%EV -5.82%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-19 00:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.53%EV -0.019%E -0.011%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.73%EV -9.69%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.74%EV -6.26%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-19 00:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.53%EV -0.019%E -0.011%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.73%EV -9.69%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.74%EV -6.26%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-19 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.71%EV -5.97%E -3.78%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -9.69%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.35%EV -8.46%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-19 01:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.71%EV -5.97%E -3.78%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -9.69%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.35%EV -8.46%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-19 00:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.95%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -9.69%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -5.15%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-19 00:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%EV -8.35%E -5.42%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -9.69%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.36%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-19 00:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.06%EV -8.35%E -5.42%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.75%EV -10.61%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-19 00:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.53%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.18%E -4.26%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-19 00:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.53%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.18%E -4.26%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-19 00:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.53%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.18%E -4.26%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-19 00:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.53%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.18%E -4.26%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-19 00:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -6.57%E -4.18%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -12.46%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.36%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-19 00:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -10.73%E -7.15%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -12.46%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-19 00:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.17%EV -11.92%E -8.05%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.83%EV -14.30%E -3.08%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.00%EV -12.21%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-19 00:48 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -3.59%E -2.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-19 00:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -3.59%E -2.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-19 00:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -3.59%E -2.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-19 00:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -3.59%E -2.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-19 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -3.59%E -2.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-19 00:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -3.59%E -2.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-19 00:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -3.59%E -2.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-19 00:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -7.76%E -5.00%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -13.98%E -3.58%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-19 00:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-19 00:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.57%E -4.18%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -17.06%E -3.79%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -13.98%E -3.58%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-18 23:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.21%EV -10.14%E -6.71%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%EV -17.06%E -3.79%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.25%EV -12.87%E -3.26%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-19 00:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.51%EV -5.97%E -3.78%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -18.91%E -4.30%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -15.08%E -3.92%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-19 00:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.51%EV -5.97%E -3.78%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -18.91%E -4.30%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -15.08%E -3.92%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-19 00:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.67%EV -6.57%E -4.18%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.22%EV -18.91%E -4.30%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.11%EV -15.08%E -3.92%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-19 00:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.52%EV -7.16%E -4.59%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.27%EV -19.83%E -4.56%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -16.18%E -4.26%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-19 00:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 56.57%EV -10.14%E -6.71%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.34%EV -22.59%E -5.38%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.09%EV -18.39%E -4.97%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-10-19 00:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.05% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12% | 0.7% | 2026-10-19 00:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.05% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12% | 0.7% | 2026-10-19 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.87% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.07% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06% | 1.0% | 2026-10-19 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-10-19 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.85% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53% | 2.1% | 2026-10-19 00:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.93% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.41% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.66% | 2.6% | 2026-10-19 01:00 |