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Monterrey v Atlético San Luis

2026-08-31 02:00 UTC — Liga MX

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Monterrey (Local)

Prediction 53.58%1.87fair odd
EV -6.23%
Edge -3.56%
Kelly -8.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.20%53.58%53.58%53.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.701.721.7562.11%58.72%58.14%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlético San Luis (Visit)

Prediction 22.48%4.45fair odd
EV -5.59%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.40%22.48%22.48%22.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.044.104.2026.32%24.76%24.39%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.94%4.18fair odd
EV -5.44%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.82%23.94%23.94%24.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.803.853.9528.17%26.32%25.97%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Monterrey (Local): 53.58%; Atlético San Luis (Visit): 22.48%; Draw: 23.94%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.18. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.95, with an expected value of -5.44%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.23%E -3.56%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.44%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 02:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.23%E -3.56%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.44%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 02:45
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.84%E -4.56%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -7.84%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 02:44
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.84%E -4.56%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -7.84%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 02:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.84%E -4.56%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -7.84%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 02:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.84%E -4.56%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -7.84%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 02:45
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.84%E -4.56%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -7.84%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 02:45
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.84%E -4.56%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -7.84%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 02:45
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.84%E -4.56%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -7.84%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 02:44
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.21%EV -9.98%E -5.94%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -11.21%E -2.84%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.43%E -3.09%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 02:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.20%EV -10.52%E -6.30%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -12.33%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -11.43%E -3.09%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-21 02:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.20%EV -10.52%E -6.30%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -12.33%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -11.43%E -3.09%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-21 02:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.20%EV -10.52%E -6.30%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -12.33%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -11.43%E -3.09%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-21 02:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 53.27%EV -13.73%E -8.53%K -22.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.57%EV -14.58%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.16%EV -15.02%E -4.23%K -5.89%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-21 02:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 36.30%1.56I 64.10%NM 38.86%2.44I 40.98%NM 24.84%65.0%2026-08-21 07:09

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