Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Monterrey v Atlético San Luis

Kickoff: 2026-08-31 02:10 UTC

Final: Monterrey 1–3 Atlético San Luis

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Monterrey (Local)

Prediction 51.36%1.95fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -4.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.89%51.25%51.41%53.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.811.821.8758.14%55.16%54.95%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlético San Luis (Visit)

Prediction 24.18%4.14fair odd
EV +5.68%
Edge +1.30%
Kelly +1.69%
Growth +0.096%

assuming max odds 4.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.96%24.26%24.15%26.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.723.754.3730.30%26.85%26.67%22.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.46%4.09fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.417%
Kelly -0.555%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.55%24.49%24.44%26.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.723.754.0229.41%26.91%26.67%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Monterrey (Local): 51.36%; Atlético San Luis (Visit): 24.18%; Draw: 24.46%. For Atlético San Luis (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.14. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.37, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.68%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.44%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV +5.68%E +1.30%K +1.69%G +0.096%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.59%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 01:59
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.94%EV -4.47%E -2.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.03%EV -2.78%E -0.692%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.03%EV -1.68%E -0.417%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-31 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.96%E -2.12%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%EV -3.27%E -0.817%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-31 02:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.96%E -2.12%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%EV -3.27%E -0.817%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-31 02:05
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.27%E -0.817%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 02:03
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.27%E -0.817%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 02:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.27%E -0.817%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 02:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -11.66%E -6.78%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -3.27%E -0.817%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -4.61%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 02:05
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -4.48%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 02:05
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -4.48%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 02:05
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.75%EV -3.96%E -2.12%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.21%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.04%EV -7.30%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 01:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -8.07%E -4.51%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.00%EV -6.65%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.25%EV -6.57%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 01:59
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.89%E -1.79%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -4.61%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 02:05
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -6.89%E -1.79%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -10.72%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 02:05
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -3.96%E -2.12%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 01:55
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 02:04
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.61%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 02:05
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 01:55
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -10.12%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-31 02:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -10.12%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-31 02:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -10.12%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-31 02:05
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -10.12%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-31 02:05
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 01:49
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 02:05
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -10.52%E -2.84%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 02:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -3.96%E -2.12%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -11.73%E -3.21%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -5.83%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 01:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -3.96%E -2.12%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -11.73%E -3.21%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -5.83%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 01:55
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.96%EV -5.50%E -2.99%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -12.94%E -3.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 01:55
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -12.94%E -3.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 01:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -12.94%E -3.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 01:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -12.94%E -3.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 01:55
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -12.94%E -3.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 01:55
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -12.94%E -3.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 01:55
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -12.94%E -3.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 01:55
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -12.94%E -3.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 02:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -12.94%E -3.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 02:05
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.78%EV -5.50%E -2.99%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -14.15%E -3.99%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 01:45
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -15.36%E -4.39%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-31 01:45
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.68%EV -7.04%E -3.89%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.36%E -4.39%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -10.72%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 01:55
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.36%E -4.39%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-31 02:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.60%EV -8.07%E -4.51%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.74%EV -16.57%E -4.80%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 01:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.60%EV -8.07%E -4.51%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.74%EV -16.57%E -4.80%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 01:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.60%EV -8.07%E -4.51%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.74%EV -16.57%E -4.80%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 01:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.22%EV -8.58%E -4.82%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -16.57%E -4.80%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -15.62%E -4.53%K -6.37%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-31 02:05
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -17.78%E -5.23%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -16.84%E -4.95%K -7.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 01:40
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -10.12%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -17.78%E -5.23%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-31 01:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.54%EV -11.15%E -6.45%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -20.20%E -6.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.49%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-31 01:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.6%2026-08-31 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-31 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-31 02:00
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.4%2026-08-31 02:05
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-08-31 02:05
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51%2.0%2026-08-31 02:05