Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mazatlán FC v Pachuca

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 01:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mazatlán FC (Local)

Prévision 28.21%3.55cote équitable
EV +8.59%
Avantage +2.23%
Kelly +3.01%
Croissance +0.259%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.75%27.91%28.37%29.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.403.343.8533.33%29.40%29.94%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pachuca (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.29%2.26cote équitable
EV -1.22%
Avantage -0.549%
Kelly -0.995%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.86%44.61%44.11%49.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.802.022.052.2355.56%49.49%48.78%44.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.50%3.64cote équitable
EV +0.375%
Avantage +0.103%
Kelly +0.141%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.96%27.48%27.52%28.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.363.403.6533.33%29.74%29.41%27.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Mazatlán FC (Local) : 28.21% ; Pachuca (Visiteur) : 44.29% ; Match nul : 27.50%. Pour Mazatlán FC (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.55. 16 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.85, soit une espérance positive de +8.59%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.00%EV -13.63%E -6.99%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.18%EV +0.375%E +0.103%K +0.141%G +0.001%4.7%2026-02-28 01:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV +7.18%E +1.89%K +2.56%G +0.184%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.10%EV -14.51%E -7.52%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +0.375%E +0.103%K +0.141%G +0.001%5.5%2026-02-28 00:59
Svenska Spel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV +7.18%E +1.89%K +2.56%G +0.184%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.10%EV -14.51%E -7.52%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +0.375%E +0.103%K +0.141%G +0.001%5.5%2026-02-28 00:59
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV +5.77%E +1.54%K +2.10%G +0.121%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.97%EV -15.84%E -8.34%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -2.38%E -0.669%K -0.931%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 01:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV +5.77%E +1.54%K +2.10%G +0.121%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.11%EV -16.28%E -8.62%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -2.38%E -0.669%K -0.931%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 00:59
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV +5.77%E +1.54%K +2.10%G +0.121%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.11%EV -16.28%E -8.62%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -2.38%E -0.669%K -0.931%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 00:59
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV +5.77%E +1.54%K +2.10%G +0.121%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.11%EV -16.28%E -8.62%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -2.38%E -0.669%K -0.931%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 00:59
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV +5.77%E +1.54%K +2.10%G +0.121%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.11%EV -16.28%E -8.62%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -2.38%E -0.669%K -0.931%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 01:00
1xBet🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 25.69%EV +5.21%E +1.40%K +1.91%G +0.099%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.53%EV -8.75%E -4.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -5.13%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 00:59
Coolbet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV +4.36%E +1.18%K +1.62%G +0.070%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -10.53%E -5.21%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 00:59
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV +4.36%E +1.18%K +1.62%G +0.070%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.94%EV -16.28%E -8.62%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -2.38%E -0.669%K -0.931%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 00:47
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV +4.36%E +1.18%K +1.62%G +0.070%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -16.73%E -8.90%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 01:00
TABtouch🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV +4.36%E +1.18%K +1.62%G +0.070%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -16.73%E -8.90%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 00:59
LiveScore Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV +2.95%E +0.808%K +1.11%G +0.033%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -17.61%E -9.47%K -20.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 00:59
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV +1.54%E +0.428%K +0.592%G +0.009%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.91%EV -18.50%E -10.05%K -22.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -5.13%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 01:00
LeoVegas🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV +0.130%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -20.27%E -11.26%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -7.88%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 00:59
LowVig.ag🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 27.44%EV -0.716%E -0.204%K -0.284%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%EV -5.21%E -2.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.20%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 00:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 27.44%EV -0.716%E -0.204%K -0.284%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%EV -5.21%E -2.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.20%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 00:59
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -1.28%E -0.366%K -0.512%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 00:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -1.28%E -0.366%K -0.512%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -7.87%E -3.78%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 01:00
GTbets🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.26%EV -2.41%E -0.696%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.49%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.24%EV -8.15%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 00:59
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 00:59
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 01:00
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 00:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 27.79%EV -5.79%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.41%EV -7.42%E -3.55%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.79%EV -8.15%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 00:59
Pinnacle🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 29.14%EV -6.36%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.38%EV -1.22%E -0.549%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.48%EV -3.20%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 00:59
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 00:59
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 00:59
Fliff🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -11.41%E -5.71%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 01:00
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.13%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 00:59
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -7.87%E -3.78%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.88%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 00:59
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -11.41%E -5.71%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -12.00%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 00:59
Coral🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -11.41%E -5.71%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -12.00%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 00:59
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -9.74%E -3.04%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.13%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 01:00
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.74%E -3.04%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 01:00
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.74%E -3.04%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 00:58
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.74%E -3.04%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -12.00%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 01:00
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.74%E -3.04%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -12.00%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 01:00
Everygame🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -11.15%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 00:58
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 00:59
Betclic (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-28 01:00
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-28 00:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-28 00:59
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.24%EV -13.97%E -4.58%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.06%EV -11.41%E -5.71%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.71%EV -17.50%E -5.83%K -8.75%G +0.000%16.1%2026-02-28 01:00
NetBet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.19%EV -13.97%E -4.58%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.08%EV -13.63%E -6.99%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-28 00:59
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -15.38%E -5.13%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-28 01:00
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -15.38%E -5.13%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -11.41%E -5.71%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -17.50%E -5.83%K -8.75%G +0.000%16.7%2026-02-28 01:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -15.38%E -5.13%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -11.41%E -5.71%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -17.50%E -5.83%K -8.75%G +0.000%16.7%2026-02-28 01:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-02-28 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-02-28 00:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88%1.0%2026-02-28 01:00
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-02-28 01:00
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-02-28 00:59