La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Mazatlán FC v Pachuca
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mazatlán FC (Local)
Predicción 28.21%3.55momio equitativo
EV +8.59%
Ventaja +2.23%
Kelly +3.01%
Crecimiento +0.259%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.75%27.91%28.37%29.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.403.343.8533.33%29.40%29.94%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Pachuca (Visitante)
Predicción 44.29%2.26momio equitativo
EV -1.22%
Ventaja -0.549%
Kelly -0.995%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%44.61%44.11%49.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.802.022.052.2355.56%49.49%48.78%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.50%3.64momio equitativo
EV +0.375%
Ventaja +0.103%
Kelly +0.141%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.96%27.48%27.52%28.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.363.403.6533.33%29.74%29.41%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.00%EV -13.63%E -6.99%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.18%EV +0.375%E +0.103%K +0.141%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 01:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV +7.18%E +1.89%K +2.56%G +0.184% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.10%EV -14.51%E -7.52%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +0.375%E +0.103%K +0.141%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV +7.18%E +1.89%K +2.56%G +0.184% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.10%EV -14.51%E -7.52%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +0.375%E +0.103%K +0.141%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| Unibet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV +5.77%E +1.54%K +2.10%G +0.121% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.97%EV -15.84%E -8.34%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -2.38%E -0.669%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV +5.77%E +1.54%K +2.10%G +0.121% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.11%EV -16.28%E -8.62%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -2.38%E -0.669%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| Grosvenor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV +5.77%E +1.54%K +2.10%G +0.121% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.11%EV -16.28%E -8.62%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -2.38%E -0.669%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| Casumo | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV +5.77%E +1.54%K +2.10%G +0.121% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.11%EV -16.28%E -8.62%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -2.38%E -0.669%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| betPARX | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV +5.77%E +1.54%K +2.10%G +0.121% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.11%EV -16.28%E -8.62%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -2.38%E -0.669%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 01:00 |
| 1xBet | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.69%EV +5.21%E +1.40%K +1.91%G +0.099% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.53%EV -8.75%E -4.25%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -5.13%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| Coolbet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV +4.36%E +1.18%K +1.62%G +0.070% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -10.53%E -5.21%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| BetRivers | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV +4.36%E +1.18%K +1.62%G +0.070% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.94%EV -16.28%E -8.62%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -2.38%E -0.669%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 00:47 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV +4.36%E +1.18%K +1.62%G +0.070% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -16.73%E -8.90%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 01:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV +4.36%E +1.18%K +1.62%G +0.070% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -16.73%E -8.90%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV +2.95%E +0.808%K +1.11%G +0.033% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -17.61%E -9.47%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV +1.54%E +0.428%K +0.592%G +0.009% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.91%EV -18.50%E -10.05%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -5.13%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-28 01:00 |
| LeoVegas | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV +0.130%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -20.27%E -11.26%K -25.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -7.88%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.44%EV -0.716%E -0.204%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%EV -5.21%E -2.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.20%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.44%EV -0.716%E -0.204%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%EV -5.21%E -2.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.20%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| BetUS | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -1.28%E -0.366%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -1.28%E -0.366%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -7.87%E -3.78%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 01:00 |
| GTbets | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.26%EV -2.41%E -0.696%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.49%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.24%EV -8.15%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| Bet Victor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| BetMGM | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 01:00 |
| Bet Right | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.79%EV -5.79%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.41%EV -7.42%E -3.55%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.79%EV -8.15%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| Pinnacle | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.14%EV -6.36%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.38%EV -1.22%E -0.549%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.48%EV -3.20%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| FanDuel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| Fliff | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -11.41%E -5.71%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 01:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.13%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| Bovada | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -7.87%E -3.78%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.88%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -11.41%E -5.71%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -12.00%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| Coral | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -11.41%E -5.71%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -12.00%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| Betsson | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -9.74%E -3.04%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.13%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 01:00 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.74%E -3.04%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 01:00 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.74%E -3.04%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 00:58 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.74%E -3.04%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -12.00%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 01:00 |
| NordicBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.74%E -3.04%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -12.00%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 01:00 |
| Everygame | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -11.15%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 00:58 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-02-28 01:00 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.24%EV -13.97%E -4.58%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.06%EV -11.41%E -5.71%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.71%EV -17.50%E -5.83%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-02-28 01:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.19%EV -13.97%E -4.58%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.08%EV -13.63%E -6.99%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -15.38%E -5.13%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-28 01:00 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -15.38%E -5.13%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -11.41%E -5.71%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -17.50%E -5.83%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-02-28 01:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -15.38%E -5.13%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -11.41%E -5.71%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -17.50%E -5.83%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-02-28 01:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.77% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-02-28 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 01:00 |
| Matchbook | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 01:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |