L’École des cotes

León v Santos Laguna

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 01:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

León (Local)

Prévision 57.55%1.74cote équitable
EV -4.47%
Avantage -2.69%
Kelly -6.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.34%57.53%57.52%59.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.591.581.6666.23%62.80%63.29%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Santos Laguna (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.99%5.00cote équitable
EV +0.949%
Avantage +0.188%
Kelly +0.234%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 5.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.84%19.99%20.11%21.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.664.725.0523.81%21.45%21.19%19.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.46%4.45cote équitable
EV -2.51%
Avantage -0.579%
Kelly -0.752%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.68%22.49%22.38%24.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.084.144.3429.41%24.51%24.15%23.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.59%EV -5.05%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.14%EV +0.949%E +0.188%K +0.234%G +0.002%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.27%EV -2.51%E -0.579%K -0.752%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 15:50
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.59%EV -5.05%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.14%EV +0.949%E +0.188%K +0.234%G +0.002%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.27%EV -2.51%E -0.579%K -0.752%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 15:50
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.95%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -0.051%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -3.41%E -0.793%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-20 05:35
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.95%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -0.051%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -3.41%E -0.793%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-20 05:35
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.36%EV -5.05%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.30%EV -0.251%E -0.050%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.34%EV -3.19%E -0.739%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 00:45
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.08%EV -5.62%E -3.43%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.24%EV -1.05%E -0.212%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 05:34
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.87%EV -9.08%E -5.74%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -2.05%E -0.418%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-20 05:35
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -2.05%E -0.418%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -2.05%E -0.418%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 05:35
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -2.05%E -0.418%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -2.05%E -0.418%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 05:35
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -2.05%E -0.418%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 05:35
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.18%EV -10.23%E -6.56%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -2.05%E -0.418%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-20 05:35
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.18%EV -10.23%E -6.56%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -2.05%E -0.418%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-20 05:35
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.91%EV -4.47%E -2.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.74%EV -2.65%E -0.544%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV -3.41%E -0.793%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 00:55
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.49%EV -8.50%E -5.35%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.05%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 00:54
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -11.38%E -7.39%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -4.05%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -11.38%E -7.39%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -4.05%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -11.38%E -7.39%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -4.05%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-20 05:35
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.37%EV -5.05%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.93%EV -5.05%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.70%EV -6.33%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 00:35
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -5.05%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 00:55
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.05%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 00:29
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -9.08%E -5.74%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -5.05%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 12:59
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.15%EV -12.53%E -8.24%K -24.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -5.05%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-20 05:35
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.22%EV -5.05%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.92%EV -5.25%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.86%EV -7.23%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 00:54
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.34%EV -5.05%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -6.05%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 00:25
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -5.05%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -6.05%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.74%EV -6.78%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 00:30
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -5.05%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -6.05%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.74%EV -6.78%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 00:35
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV -6.05%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 00:40
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%EV -6.05%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -9.03%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 00:38
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -5.05%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -8.05%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 00:25
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -8.05%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 00:55
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -8.05%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 00:55
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 57.24%EV -8.50%E -5.35%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.00%EV -9.05%E -1.99%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 00:45
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -5.05%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.05%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 00:24
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -10.05%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 00:35
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -10.05%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-22 00:55
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.63%EV -9.08%E -5.74%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 00:55
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -15.76%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 00:30
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -15.76%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 00:35
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -15.76%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 00:30
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -15.76%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 00:30
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -13.44%E -3.10%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -12.40%E -3.18%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-22 00:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.45%EV -11.95%E -7.81%K -22.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.59%EV -13.44%E -3.10%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.95%EV -23.63%E -6.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%17.9%2026-02-22 00:50
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.36%EV -10.23%E -6.56%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.69%EV -15.04%E -3.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.96%EV -13.97%E -3.65%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-22 00:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -16.04%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-22 00:30
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -16.04%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-22 00:25
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -16.04%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-21 12:45
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.09%EV -11.38%E -7.39%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -16.04%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-22 00:55
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 56.92%EV -13.10%E -8.68%K -25.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.46%EV -16.04%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.62%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%16.4%2026-02-22 00:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.58%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-02-22 00:55
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.58%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-02-22 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.73%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.4%2026-02-22 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.73%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.4%2026-02-22 00:55
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.23%2.3%2026-02-22 00:55