La escuela de los momios

León v Santos Laguna

Inicio: 2026-02-22 01:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

León (Local)

Predicción 57.55%1.74momio equitativo
EV -4.47%
Ventaja -2.69%
Kelly -6.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.34%57.53%57.52%59.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.591.581.6666.23%62.80%63.29%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Santos Laguna (Visitante)

Predicción 19.99%5.00momio equitativo
EV +0.949%
Ventaja +0.188%
Kelly +0.234%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.84%19.99%20.11%21.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.664.725.0523.81%21.45%21.19%19.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.46%4.45momio equitativo
EV -2.51%
Ventaja -0.579%
Kelly -0.752%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.68%22.49%22.38%24.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.084.144.3429.41%24.51%24.15%23.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.59%EV -5.05%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.14%EV +0.949%E +0.188%K +0.234%G +0.002%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.27%EV -2.51%E -0.579%K -0.752%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 15:50
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.59%EV -5.05%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.14%EV +0.949%E +0.188%K +0.234%G +0.002%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.27%EV -2.51%E -0.579%K -0.752%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 15:50
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.95%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -0.051%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -3.41%E -0.793%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-20 05:35
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.95%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -0.051%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -3.41%E -0.793%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-20 05:35
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.36%EV -5.05%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.30%EV -0.251%E -0.050%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.34%EV -3.19%E -0.739%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 00:45
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.08%EV -5.62%E -3.43%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.24%EV -1.05%E -0.212%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 05:34
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.87%EV -9.08%E -5.74%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -2.05%E -0.418%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-20 05:35
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -2.05%E -0.418%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -2.05%E -0.418%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 05:35
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -2.05%E -0.418%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -2.05%E -0.418%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 05:35
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -2.05%E -0.418%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 05:35
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.18%EV -10.23%E -6.56%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -2.05%E -0.418%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-20 05:35
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.18%EV -10.23%E -6.56%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -2.05%E -0.418%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-20 05:35
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.91%EV -4.47%E -2.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.74%EV -2.65%E -0.544%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV -3.41%E -0.793%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 00:55
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.49%EV -8.50%E -5.35%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.05%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 00:54
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -11.38%E -7.39%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -4.05%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -11.38%E -7.39%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -4.05%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -11.38%E -7.39%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -4.05%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-20 05:35
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.37%EV -5.05%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.93%EV -5.05%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.70%EV -6.33%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 00:35
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -5.05%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 00:55
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.05%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 00:29
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -9.08%E -5.74%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -5.05%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 12:59
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.15%EV -12.53%E -8.24%K -24.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -5.05%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-20 05:35
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.22%EV -5.05%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.92%EV -5.25%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.86%EV -7.23%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 00:54
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.34%EV -5.05%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -6.05%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 00:25
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -5.05%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -6.05%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.74%EV -6.78%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 00:30
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -5.05%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -6.05%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.74%EV -6.78%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 00:35
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV -6.05%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 00:40
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%EV -6.05%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -9.03%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 00:38
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -5.05%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -8.05%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 00:25
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -8.05%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 00:55
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -8.05%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 00:55
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 57.24%EV -8.50%E -5.35%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.00%EV -9.05%E -1.99%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 00:45
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -5.05%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.05%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 00:24
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -10.05%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 00:35
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -10.05%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-22 00:55
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.63%EV -9.08%E -5.74%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 00:55
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -15.76%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 00:30
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -15.76%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 00:35
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -15.76%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 00:30
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -15.76%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 00:30
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -13.44%E -3.10%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -12.40%E -3.18%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-22 00:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.45%EV -11.95%E -7.81%K -22.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.59%EV -13.44%E -3.10%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.95%EV -23.63%E -6.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%17.9%2026-02-22 00:50
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.36%EV -10.23%E -6.56%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.69%EV -15.04%E -3.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.96%EV -13.97%E -3.65%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-22 00:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -16.04%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-22 00:30
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -16.04%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-22 00:25
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -16.04%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-21 12:45
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.09%EV -11.38%E -7.39%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -16.04%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-22 00:55
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 56.92%EV -13.10%E -8.68%K -25.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.46%EV -16.04%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.62%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%16.4%2026-02-22 00:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.58%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-02-22 00:55
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.58%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-02-22 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.73%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.4%2026-02-22 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.73%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.4%2026-02-22 00:55
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.23%2.3%2026-02-22 00:55