La escuela de los momiosEspañol
León v Necaxa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
León (Local)
Predicción 45.01%2.22momio equitativo
EV -1.88%
Ventaja -0.862%
Kelly -1.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.21%45.18%44.86%47.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.872.052.062.1853.48%48.71%48.54%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Necaxa (Visitante)
Predicción 28.48%3.51momio equitativo
EV +3.94%
Ventaja +1.08%
Kelly +1.49%
Crecimiento +0.059%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.05%28.41%28.58%29.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.183.153.6533.90%31.41%31.75%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.51%3.77momio equitativo
EV -0.308%
Ventaja -0.082%
Kelly -0.112%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.69%26.42%26.56%28.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.453.503.7633.33%28.96%28.57%26.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV +3.94%E +1.08%K +1.49%G +0.059% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -4.55%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 00:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.94%EV +1.38%E +0.387%K +0.538%G +0.007% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.94%EV -5.61%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 00:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.88%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.44%EV +0.237%E +0.067%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.68%EV -0.308%E -0.082%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.88%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.44%EV +0.237%E +0.067%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.68%EV -0.308%E -0.082%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-01 01:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.24%EV -5.93%E -2.84%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.77%EV -0.902%E -0.259%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -1.37%E -0.368%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-01 01:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.18%E -0.935%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.64%EV -8.63%E -4.25%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.62%EV -7.73%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 00:59 |
| BetUS | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.80%EV -9.53%E -4.74%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 00:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| GTbets | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.65%EV -6.31%E -1.92%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.47%EV -5.61%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.55%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.88%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 01:00 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.88%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Bovada | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -8.18%E -4.01%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -12.23%E -6.27%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.85%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-01 01:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.73%EV -1.88%E -0.862%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.79%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -4.55%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.73%EV -1.88%E -0.862%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.79%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -4.55%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.85%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.85%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.53%EV -15.83%E -8.47%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -4.55%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -12.23%E -6.27%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -12.50%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-01 01:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.53%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 00:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.18%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Fliff | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.85%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.41%EV -3.23%E -1.50%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.92%EV -11.15%E -3.57%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 01:02 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -4.58%E -2.16%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -4.58%E -2.16%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -4.58%E -2.16%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 01:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -4.58%E -2.16%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -4.58%E -2.16%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -4.58%E -2.16%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| TABtouch | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.53%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.50%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-01 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.50%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-01 01:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -14.03%E -7.35%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -20.46%E -6.82%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.96%EV -12.23%E -6.27%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.47%EV -12.29%E -3.99%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -12.50%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-01 01:03 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.77%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -13.15%E -4.31%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -8.53%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 01:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.77%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -13.15%E -4.31%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -8.53%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.62%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -9.85%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.83%E -4.26%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.83%E -4.26%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.83%E -4.26%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.83%E -4.26%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.67%EV -11.78%E -6.01%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.19%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -11.18%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-01 01:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 44.51%EV -13.13%E -6.80%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.64%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -15.16%E -4.74%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-01 01:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.71%EV -9.08%E -4.50%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -15.99%E -5.42%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -11.18%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-01 01:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.75% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Matchbook | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.75% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90% | 1.6% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90% | 1.6% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Smarkets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.08% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40% | 2.4% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |