Language:English
León v FC Juárez
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
León (Local)
Prediction 62.17%1.61fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -4.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.25%61.99%62.26%63.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.501.501.5770.42%66.57%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Juárez (Visit)
Prediction 15.70%6.37fair odd
EV +2.84%
Edge +0.433%
Kelly +0.511%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 6.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.61%15.84%15.64%18.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.585.506.5521.74%17.92%18.18%15.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.13%4.52fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -0.753%
Kelly -0.977%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.36%22.17%22.09%23.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.074.034.3727.03%24.57%24.84%22.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: León (Local): 62.17%; FC Juárez (Visit): 15.70%; Draw: 22.13%. For FC Juárez (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.37. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.84%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.19%EV -4.26%E -2.77%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.62%EV +2.84%E +0.433%K +0.511%G +0.015% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.19%EV -8.60%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-28 00:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.31%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV +2.05%E +0.316%K +0.373%G +0.008% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -4.84%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-28 00:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.81%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 6.32I 15.82%NM 15.20%EV -0.772%E -0.122%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.99%EV -3.29%E -0.753%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-28 00:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.40%EV -3.64%E -2.35%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.47%EV -1.87%E -0.299%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 22.13%EV -3.29%E -0.753%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-28 00:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.40%EV -3.64%E -2.35%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.47%EV -1.87%E -0.299%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 22.13%EV -3.29%E -0.753%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-28 00:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.48%EV -4.26%E -2.77%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.40%EV -1.87%E -0.299%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%EV -3.73%E -0.858%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-28 00:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.39%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -2.66%E -0.428%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-28 00:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.07%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 6.16I 16.23%NM 15.11%EV -3.28%E -0.533%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 22.82%EV -9.71%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-28 00:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -8.61%E -5.86%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.21%EV -5.01%E -0.828%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -8.16%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-28 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.70%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -5.80%E -0.966%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -3.73%E -0.858%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-28 00:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.80%E -0.966%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.18%E -0.964%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-28 00:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.80%E -0.966%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-28 00:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.80%E -0.966%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-27 22:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.80%E -0.966%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-27 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -7.99%E -5.40%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -5.80%E -0.966%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-28 00:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.80%E -0.966%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-28 01:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.85%E -6.80%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -5.80%E -0.966%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -4.84%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-28 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -7.37%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -10.37%E -2.56%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-28 00:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -7.37%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -10.37%E -2.56%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-28 00:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -9.72%E -1.69%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-28 00:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.99%E -5.40%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.35%EV -12.08%E -2.16%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-28 00:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.37%EV -7.37%E -4.94%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.33%EV -12.08%E -2.16%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-28 00:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -13.65%E -2.48%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.84%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-28 01:02 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.65%E -2.48%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-27 22:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.65%E -2.48%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-27 22:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.48%E -7.28%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.65%E -2.48%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-28 00:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.48%E -7.28%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.65%E -2.48%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-28 00:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.48%E -7.28%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.65%E -2.48%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-28 00:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -10.48%E -7.28%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.65%E -2.48%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.69%E -3.51%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-28 00:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -10.48%E -7.28%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -13.65%E -2.48%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -15.91%E -4.19%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-28 00:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -10.48%E -7.28%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -13.65%E -2.48%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -15.91%E -4.19%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-28 00:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -10.48%E -7.28%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -13.65%E -2.48%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -15.91%E -4.19%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-28 00:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.57%EV -10.48%E -7.28%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -13.65%E -2.48%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.57%EV -18.12%E -4.90%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-09-28 01:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.74%EV -11.72%E -8.25%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.23%EV -15.22%E -2.82%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.03%EV -11.92%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-28 00:33 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.29%EV -11.10%E -7.76%K -25.81%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.23%EV -15.22%E -2.82%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -13.69%E -3.51%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-28 00:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.99%E -5.40%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -17.57%E -3.35%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-28 00:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -2.39%E -1.53%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -18.36%E -3.53%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-28 00:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -2.39%E -1.53%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -18.36%E -3.53%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-28 00:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -21.50%E -4.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-28 00:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -21.50%E -4.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-28 00:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -21.50%E -4.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-28 00:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -21.50%E -4.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-28 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -21.50%E -4.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-28 00:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -21.50%E -4.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-28 00:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -21.50%E -4.30%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-28 00:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -24.64%E -5.13%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.69%E -3.51%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-28 00:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -24.64%E -5.13%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.69%E -3.51%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-28 00:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -24.64%E -5.13%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.69%E -3.51%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-28 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.59%EV -6.12%E -4.06%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.43%EV -24.64%E -5.13%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.98%EV -14.80%E -3.84%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-28 00:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 58.25%EV -8.61%E -5.86%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.61%EV -27.78%E -6.04%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.14%EV -18.12%E -4.90%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-09-28 00:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.1% | 2026-09-28 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.1% | 2026-09-28 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.1% | 2026-09-28 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.1% | 2026-09-28 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.80% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53% | 2.1% | 2026-09-28 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.55% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40% | 3.8% | 2026-09-28 01:02 |