Sign in with Sole Account
Language:English
León v América
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
León (Local)
Prediction 28.32%3.53fair odd
EV +2.79%
Edge +0.767%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.030%
assuming max odds 3.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.03%28.27%28.37%30.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.203.203.6335.09%31.25%31.25%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
América (Visit)
Prediction 45.05%2.22fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.819%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.47%45.15%44.93%47.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.062.062.1852.63%48.61%48.54%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.63%3.75fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.395%
Kelly -0.541%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%26.58%26.70%28.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.473.503.7032.26%28.78%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: León (Local): 28.32%; América (Visit): 45.05%; Draw: 26.63%. For León (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.42%EV +2.79%E +0.767%K +1.06%G +0.030% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.56%EV -7.19%E -3.49%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.02%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-18 00:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.07%EV +1.09%E +0.304%K +0.423%G +0.005% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.24%EV -5.84%E -2.79%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.69%EV -3.59%E -0.992%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.54%EV -0.612%E -0.174%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60%EV -4.49%E -2.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-17 08:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.54%EV -0.612%E -0.174%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60%EV -4.49%E -2.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-17 08:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -0.896%E -0.256%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -14.40%E -7.58%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.64%E -3.73%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%EV -5.14%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%EV -5.39%E -2.57%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -5.14%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -5.39%E -2.57%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.78%EV -5.99%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 11:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -5.14%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -6.29%E -3.02%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -5.14%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -6.29%E -3.02%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 00:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -5.14%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -7.64%E -3.73%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-16 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.39%E -2.57%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-17 08:57 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.39%E -2.57%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.64%E -3.73%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-18 00:48 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.26%EV -7.13%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.44%EV -2.69%E -1.24%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.30%EV -2.79%E -0.765%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 12:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.05%EV -7.13%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.24%EV -10.35%E -5.20%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.70%EV -4.66%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -17.44%E -5.63%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-18 00:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -17.44%E -5.63%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-18 00:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -17.44%E -5.63%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-18 00:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -17.44%E -5.63%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-18 00:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.01%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.04%EV -1.79%E -0.819%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%EV -1.46%E -0.395%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-16 15:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.01%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.04%EV -1.79%E -0.819%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%EV -1.46%E -0.395%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-16 15:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.39%E -2.57%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -1.46%E -0.395%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 08:28 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.39%E -2.57%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-18 00:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -7.64%E -3.73%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 00:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -10.81%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.29%E -3.02%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -1.46%E -0.395%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 08:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -7.64%E -3.73%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-17 08:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-17 08:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-17 08:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.85%EV -11.70%E -5.97%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 26.80%EV -12.65%E -3.86%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-18 00:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -13.64%E -4.47%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -5.39%E -2.57%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-12 21:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -13.64%E -4.47%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -5.39%E -2.57%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-12 21:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -13.64%E -4.47%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -5.39%E -2.57%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-12 21:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -13.64%E -4.47%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -5.39%E -2.57%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-12 21:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -13.64%E -4.47%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -5.39%E -2.57%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-12 21:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -13.64%E -4.47%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -5.39%E -2.57%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-12 21:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -13.64%E -4.47%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -5.39%E -2.57%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-12 21:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -13.64%E -4.47%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.46%EV -10.80%E -5.45%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-18 00:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-17 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-18 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.62%EV -7.19%E -3.49%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-18 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.62%EV -7.19%E -3.49%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-18 00:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.62%EV -7.19%E -3.49%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-18 00:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-17 08:56 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -12.15%E -6.23%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-18 00:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -16.47%E -5.58%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.47%EV -8.09%E -3.97%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-16 08:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.02%EV -19.30%E -6.77%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 43.65%EV -11.70%E -5.97%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.33%EV -13.44%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-10-18 00:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 1.5% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 1.5% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 1.5% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.85% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52% | 1.9% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |