语言:简体中文
Guadalajara v Tijuana
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Guadalajara (主队)
预测 65.22%1.53公平赔率
EV -2.17%
优势 -1.44%
Kelly -4.33%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.50
博彩公司预测分布
61.66%65.35%65.32%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.381.441.441.5072.46%69.32%69.44%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
Tijuana (客队)
预测 14.73%6.79公平赔率
EV +0.198%
优势 +0.029%
Kelly +0.034%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 6.80
博彩公司预测分布
13.63%14.76%14.37%17.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.835.806.8020.00%17.15%17.24%14.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 20.04%4.99公平赔率
EV +5.22%
优势 +0.995%
Kelly +1.23%
增长率 +0.064%
假设最高赔率为 5.25
博彩公司预测分布
17.78%19.88%20.31%22.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.854.324.255.2525.97%23.14%23.53%19.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Guadalajara (主队)：65.22%；Tijuana (客队)：14.73%；平局：20.04%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.99。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.25，对应+5.22%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.69%E -6.21%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV +5.22%E +0.995%K +1.23%G +0.064% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 00:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.41%EV -7.38%E -5.20%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -14.54%E -2.51%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +0.212%E +0.042%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 01:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.50%EV -5.43%E -3.74%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -16.01%E -2.81%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -1.79%E -0.366%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 01:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -8.69%E -6.21%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -26.33%E -5.27%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -4.80%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 01:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.73%E -4.71%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -4.22%E -0.650%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.81%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 00:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.12%EV -8.69%E -6.21%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -26.33%E -5.27%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.21%EV -7.81%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-23 01:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -8.69%E -6.21%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -26.33%E -5.27%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-23 01:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.49%EV -5.43%E -3.74%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -12.82%E -2.95%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.82%EV -6.73%E -4.71%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.63%EV +0.198%E +0.029%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -13.82%E -3.21%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 01:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.82%EV -6.73%E -4.71%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.63%EV +0.198%E +0.029%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -13.82%E -3.21%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 01:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -2.17%E -1.44%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -10.12%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -14.82%E -3.49%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -2.17%E -1.44%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -10.12%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -14.82%E -3.49%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 01:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -2.17%E -1.44%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -10.12%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -14.82%E -3.49%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 01:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.54%EV -9.99%E -7.24%K -26.30%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.25%EV -7.91%E -1.27%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -15.82%E -3.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 00:13 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -3.47%E -2.34%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -14.54%E -2.51%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -17.83%E -4.35%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 01:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -3.47%E -2.34%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -14.54%E -2.51%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -17.83%E -4.35%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 01:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -3.47%E -2.34%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -14.54%E -2.51%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -17.83%E -4.35%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 01:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -3.47%E -2.34%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -14.54%E -2.51%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -17.83%E -4.35%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 01:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -3.47%E -2.34%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -14.54%E -2.51%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -17.83%E -4.35%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 01:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -6.08%E -4.22%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.90%EV -17.48%E -3.12%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -19.83%E -4.96%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 01:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -6.08%E -4.22%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.86%EV -17.48%E -3.12%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -20.83%E -5.27%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 01:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -6.08%E -4.22%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.86%EV -17.48%E -3.12%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -20.83%E -5.27%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 01:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.83%EV -6.73%E -4.71%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.79%EV -17.48%E -3.12%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.38%EV -20.83%E -5.27%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-23 01:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 61.96%EV -9.99%E -7.24%K -26.30%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 15.83%EV -20.43%E -3.78%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.21%EV -22.84%E -5.93%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-08-23 01:14 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.02% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 01:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.42% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.33% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.24% | 1.9% | 2026-08-23 01:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.42% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.33% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.24% | 1.9% | 2026-08-23 01:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.72% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.66% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63% | 1.9% | 2026-08-23 01:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.10% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.75% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.15% | 2.4% | 2026-08-23 01:15 |