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Guadalajara v Tijuana

Inizio: 2026-08-23 01:30 UTC

Finale: Guadalajara 5–2 Tijuana

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

24 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Guadalajara (Casa)

Previsione 65.22%1.53quota equa
EV -2.17%
Vantaggio -1.44%
Kelly -4.33%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.66%65.35%65.32%66.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.381.441.441.5072.46%69.32%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Tijuana (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.73%6.79quota equa
EV +0.198%
Vantaggio +0.029%
Kelly +0.034%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.63%14.76%14.37%17.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.835.806.8020.00%17.15%17.24%14.71%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 20.04%4.99quota equa
EV +5.22%
Vantaggio +0.995%
Kelly +1.23%
Crescita +0.064%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.78%19.88%20.31%22.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.854.324.255.2525.97%23.14%23.53%19.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Guadalajara (Casa): 65.22%; Tijuana (Trasferta): 14.73%; Pareggio: 20.04%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.99. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.25, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +5.22%.

Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.69%E -6.21%K -21.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV +5.22%E +0.995%K +1.23%G +0.064%7.1%2026-08-23 00:54
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.41%EV -7.38%E -5.20%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -14.54%E -2.51%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +0.212%E +0.042%K +0.053%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 01:09
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.50%EV -5.43%E -3.74%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -16.01%E -2.81%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -1.79%E -0.366%K -0.460%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 01:10
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -8.69%E -6.21%K -21.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -26.33%E -5.27%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -4.80%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-23 01:09
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.73%E -4.71%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -4.22%E -0.650%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.81%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 00:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.12%EV -8.69%E -6.21%K -21.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -26.33%E -5.27%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.21%EV -7.81%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-23 01:09
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -8.69%E -6.21%K -21.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -26.33%E -5.27%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-23 01:09
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.49%EV -5.43%E -3.74%K -12.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -12.82%E -2.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 00:15
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.82%EV -6.73%E -4.71%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.63%EV +0.198%E +0.029%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -13.82%E -3.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 01:14
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.82%EV -6.73%E -4.71%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.63%EV +0.198%E +0.029%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -13.82%E -3.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 01:14
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -2.17%E -1.44%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -10.12%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -14.82%E -3.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -2.17%E -1.44%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -10.12%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -14.82%E -3.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 01:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -2.17%E -1.44%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -10.12%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -14.82%E -3.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 01:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.54%EV -9.99%E -7.24%K -26.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.25%EV -7.91%E -1.27%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -15.82%E -3.77%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 00:13
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -3.47%E -2.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -14.54%E -2.51%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -17.83%E -4.35%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 01:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -3.47%E -2.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -14.54%E -2.51%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -17.83%E -4.35%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 01:10
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -3.47%E -2.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -14.54%E -2.51%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -17.83%E -4.35%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 01:10
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -3.47%E -2.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -14.54%E -2.51%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -17.83%E -4.35%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 01:10
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -3.47%E -2.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -14.54%E -2.51%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -17.83%E -4.35%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 01:14
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -6.08%E -4.22%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.90%EV -17.48%E -3.12%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -19.83%E -4.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 01:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -6.08%E -4.22%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.86%EV -17.48%E -3.12%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -20.83%E -5.27%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 01:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -6.08%E -4.22%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.86%EV -17.48%E -3.12%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -20.83%E -5.27%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 01:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.83%EV -6.73%E -4.71%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.79%EV -17.48%E -3.12%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.38%EV -20.83%E -5.27%K -7.06%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 01:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 61.96%EV -9.99%E -7.24%K -26.30%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.83%EV -20.43%E -3.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.21%EV -22.84%E -5.93%K -8.01%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-23 01:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.02%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-08-23 01:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.42%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.33%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.24%1.9%2026-08-23 01:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.42%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.33%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.24%1.9%2026-08-23 01:15
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.72%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.66%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%1.9%2026-08-23 01:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.10%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.75%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.15%2.4%2026-08-23 01:15