Language:English
Guadalajara v Querétaro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Guadalajara (Local)
Prediction 57.82%1.73fair odd
EV -4.02%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -6.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.93%57.74%58.00%60.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.581.571.6669.44%63.24%63.69%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Querétaro (Visit)
Prediction 18.93%5.28fair odd
EV +6.03%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.31%
Growth +0.079%
assuming max odds 5.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.04%18.95%18.79%20.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.945.005.6023.09%20.24%20.00%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.24%4.30fair odd
EV -0.048%
Edge -0.011%
Kelly -0.015%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.19%23.31%23.20%24.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.954.004.3027.78%25.33%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Guadalajara (Local): 57.82%; Querétaro (Visit): 18.93%; Draw: 23.24%. For Querétaro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.28. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.77%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +6.03%E +1.08%K +1.31%G +0.079% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -0.048%E -0.011%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-26 22:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.77%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +6.03%E +1.08%K +1.31%G +0.079% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -0.048%E -0.011%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-26 22:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.60%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV +0.346%E +0.065%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.27%EV -4.00%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-26 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.49%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 18.31%EV -0.222%E -0.042%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.20%EV -3.30%E -0.794%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-26 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.49%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 18.31%EV -0.222%E -0.042%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.20%EV -3.30%E -0.794%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-26 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -0.601%E -0.114%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -4.70%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 22:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -10.95%E -7.11%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -0.601%E -0.114%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-26 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -10.95%E -7.11%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -0.601%E -0.114%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-26 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -10.95%E -7.11%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -0.601%E -0.114%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-26 22:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -10.95%E -7.11%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -0.601%E -0.114%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-26 22:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -10.95%E -7.11%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -0.601%E -0.114%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-26 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -10.95%E -7.11%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -0.601%E -0.114%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-26 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -10.95%E -7.11%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -0.601%E -0.114%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-26 22:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.17%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.68%EV -2.12%E -0.409%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.16%EV -3.07%E -0.736%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-26 23:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.98%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.83%EV -4.39%E -0.869%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -4.70%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 22:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.77%EV -3.53%E -0.852%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 22:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 23:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 22:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 22:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -10.38%E -6.69%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -4.70%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-26 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.04%EV -12.11%E -7.97%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.95%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-26 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.04%EV -12.11%E -7.97%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.95%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-26 22:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.20%EV -12.69%E -8.40%K -24.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-26 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.52%EV -13.84%E -9.29%K -28.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.74%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-26 22:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.88%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.02%EV -5.52%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.10%EV -4.46%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.66%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -6.28%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -5.86%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.40%EV -8.06%E -5.07%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -7.23%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -4.70%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-26 23:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -7.48%E -4.68%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.23%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.51%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-26 22:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -7.48%E -4.68%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.23%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.51%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-26 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.84%EV -5.75%E -3.53%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -8.17%E -1.69%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -10.51%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-26 22:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.12%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 22:38 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -9.12%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-26 23:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.38%EV -16.74%E -11.62%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.81%EV -9.12%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-09-26 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.07%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-26 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.07%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -7.48%E -4.68%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.07%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.18%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-26 22:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.48%E -4.68%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -12.91%E -2.81%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-26 23:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -7.48%E -4.68%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -12.91%E -2.81%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-26 22:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.26%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -12.91%E -2.81%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -16.32%E -4.53%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-26 22:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.26%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -12.91%E -2.81%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -16.32%E -4.53%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-26 22:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.26%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -12.91%E -2.81%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -16.32%E -4.53%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-26 22:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.26%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -12.91%E -2.81%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -16.32%E -4.53%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-26 22:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.93%EV -7.48%E -4.68%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -14.00%E -3.78%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-26 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-26 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 56.92%EV -10.95%E -7.11%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.70%EV -15.75%E -3.54%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-26 22:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -16.69%E -3.79%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.07%EV -15.16%E -4.15%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-26 23:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -18.02%E -4.16%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-26 23:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 0.8% | 2026-09-26 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.51% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.51% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-09-26 22:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.41% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.63% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96% | 1.3% | 2026-09-26 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.21% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 1.7% | 2026-09-26 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.78% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.66% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56% | 1.9% | 2026-09-26 22:50 |