L’École des cotesGuadalajara v Pumas
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Guadalajara (Local)
Prévision 62.20%1.61cote équitable
EV -4.83%
Avantage -3.16%
Kelly -9.12%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.22%62.24%62.18%64.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.471.451.5372.46%68.25%68.97%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Pumas (Visiteur)
Prévision 17.05%5.86cote équitable
EV +6.58%
Avantage +1.05%
Kelly +1.25%
Croissance +0.083%
avec la cote maximale 6.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.00%16.95%17.03%18.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.805.565.506.2520.83%17.99%18.18%16.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 20.75%4.82cote équitable
EV -1.87%
Avantage -0.395%
Kelly -0.501%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.73
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.80%20.80%20.79%22.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.364.404.7326.67%22.94%22.73%21.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.86%EV -7.32%E -4.91%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV +6.58%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.083% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -5.60%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.71%EV -7.32%E -4.91%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV +6.58%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.083% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -6.64%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.71%EV -7.32%E -4.91%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV +6.58%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.083% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -6.64%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| Unibet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.65%EV -9.19%E -6.29%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.23%EV +4.02%E +0.660%K +0.789%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.81%EV -9.81%E -6.76%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV +4.02%E +0.660%K +0.789%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.81%EV -9.81%E -6.76%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV +4.02%E +0.660%K +0.789%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.81%EV -9.81%E -6.76%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV +4.02%E +0.660%K +0.789%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| Casumo | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.81%EV -9.81%E -6.76%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV +4.02%E +0.660%K +0.789%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| betPARX | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.81%EV -9.81%E -6.76%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV +4.02%E +0.660%K +0.789%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -10.43%E -7.24%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV +4.02%E +0.660%K +0.789%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -11.05%E -7.73%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.00%EV +4.02%E +0.660%K +0.789%G +0.032% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.03%EV -9.75%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 01:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -11.05%E -7.73%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV +2.32%E +0.386%K +0.464%G +0.011% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -10.79%E -2.51%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -11.05%E -7.73%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV +2.32%E +0.386%K +0.464%G +0.011% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -10.79%E -2.51%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.83%EV -12.30%E -8.72%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV +2.32%E +0.386%K +0.464%G +0.011% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -11.83%E -2.78%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-06 01:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.18%EV -4.83%E -3.16%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.38%EV +0.613%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.44%EV -1.87%E -0.395%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-06 01:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.18%EV -4.83%E -3.16%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.38%EV +0.613%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.44%EV -1.87%E -0.395%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-06 01:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.06%EV -9.81%E -6.76%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.74%EV +0.613%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -4.57%E -0.993%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 01:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.74%EV -4.83%E -3.16%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.35%EV +0.101%E +0.017%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.91%EV -4.77%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 01:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.88%EV -4.83%E -3.16%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.56%EV -0.922%E -0.159%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.56%EV -2.91%E -0.621%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 01:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.84%EV -14.16%E -10.26%K -37.27%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.19%EV -1.09%E -0.188%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.97%EV -12.87%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.84%EV -14.16%E -10.26%K -37.27%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.19%EV -1.09%E -0.188%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.97%EV -12.87%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -6.70%E -4.47%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -1.95%E -0.338%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 01:18 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 60.00%EV +3.88%E +2.32%K +5.78%G +0.224% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.73%EV -3.65%E -0.646%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.27%EV -6.64%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | -0.2% | 2026-04-06 01:54 |
| GTbets | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.26%EV -5.45%E -3.59%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.75%EV -3.65%E -0.646%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.98%EV -6.43%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-05 17:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.08%E -4.02%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -4.57%E -0.993%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 01:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.70%E -4.47%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.57%E -0.993%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 01:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.70%E -4.47%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.64%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 16:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.67%EV -6.70%E -4.47%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -10.79%E -2.51%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 01:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -8.57%E -5.83%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -6.64%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 01:20 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -9.81%E -6.76%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.49%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.95%EV -10.17%E -2.35%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 16:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -10.43%E -7.24%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.17%E -2.35%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-06 01:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.32%E -4.91%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.00%EV -7.06%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.82%EV -7.68%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 01:10 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -5.45%E -3.59%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -7.91%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -7.68%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 01:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -5.45%E -3.59%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -7.91%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -7.68%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 01:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -4.83%E -3.16%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -10.47%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.64%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 01:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.70%E -4.47%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -10.47%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -11.83%E -2.78%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 01:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -10.43%E -7.24%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -10.47%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -12.87%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-06 01:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.33%EV -12.30%E -8.72%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.23%EV -13.03%E -2.55%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.44%EV -10.79%E -2.51%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-06 01:40 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -4.83%E -3.16%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -14.73%E -2.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -10.17%E -2.35%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 01:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.97%EV -8.57%E -5.83%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -14.73%E -2.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -4.57%E -0.993%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 01:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.43%E -7.24%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -14.73%E -2.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -10.17%E -2.35%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-05 16:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.65%EV -11.68%E -8.22%K -27.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.51%EV -14.73%E -2.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.84%EV -12.87%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-06 01:38 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.43%E -7.24%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.73%E -2.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.01%E -4.25%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-05 09:00 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.43%E -7.24%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.73%E -2.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.01%E -4.25%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-05 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.43%E -7.24%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.73%E -2.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.01%E -4.25%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-05 09:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.43%E -7.24%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.73%E -2.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.01%E -4.25%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-05 09:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 61.84%EV -13.54%E -9.74%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.19%EV -14.73%E -2.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.97%EV -14.94%E -3.64%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-06 01:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 60.48%EV -12.92%E -9.23%K -32.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.94%EV -14.73%E -2.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.58%EV -22.20%E -5.92%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -18.15%E -3.78%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.87%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-06 01:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -18.15%E -3.78%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.87%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-06 01:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.17%EV -10.43%E -7.24%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -18.15%E -3.78%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -10.79%E -2.51%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-06 01:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.31% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.31% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.31% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 01:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.31% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 01:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.91% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.28% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81% | 2.3% | 2026-04-06 01:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.90% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.15% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.95% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 01:55 |