La escuela de los momiosGuadalajara v Pumas
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Guadalajara (Local)
Predicción 62.20%1.61momio equitativo
EV -4.83%
Ventaja -3.16%
Kelly -9.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.22%62.24%62.18%64.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.471.451.5372.46%68.25%68.97%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Pumas (Visitante)
Predicción 17.05%5.86momio equitativo
EV +6.58%
Ventaja +1.05%
Kelly +1.25%
Crecimiento +0.083%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.00%16.95%17.03%18.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.805.565.506.2520.83%17.99%18.18%16.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.75%4.82momio equitativo
EV -1.87%
Ventaja -0.395%
Kelly -0.501%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.80%20.80%20.79%22.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.364.404.7326.67%22.94%22.73%21.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.86%EV -7.32%E -4.91%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV +6.58%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.083% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -5.60%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.71%EV -7.32%E -4.91%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV +6.58%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.083% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -6.64%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.71%EV -7.32%E -4.91%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV +6.58%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.083% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -6.64%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| Unibet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.65%EV -9.19%E -6.29%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.23%EV +4.02%E +0.660%K +0.789%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.81%EV -9.81%E -6.76%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV +4.02%E +0.660%K +0.789%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.81%EV -9.81%E -6.76%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV +4.02%E +0.660%K +0.789%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.81%EV -9.81%E -6.76%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV +4.02%E +0.660%K +0.789%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| Casumo | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.81%EV -9.81%E -6.76%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV +4.02%E +0.660%K +0.789%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| betPARX | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.81%EV -9.81%E -6.76%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV +4.02%E +0.660%K +0.789%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -10.43%E -7.24%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV +4.02%E +0.660%K +0.789%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -11.05%E -7.73%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.00%EV +4.02%E +0.660%K +0.789%G +0.032% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.03%EV -9.75%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 01:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -11.05%E -7.73%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV +2.32%E +0.386%K +0.464%G +0.011% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -10.79%E -2.51%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -11.05%E -7.73%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV +2.32%E +0.386%K +0.464%G +0.011% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -10.79%E -2.51%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.83%EV -12.30%E -8.72%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV +2.32%E +0.386%K +0.464%G +0.011% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -11.83%E -2.78%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-06 01:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.18%EV -4.83%E -3.16%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.38%EV +0.613%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.44%EV -1.87%E -0.395%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-06 01:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.18%EV -4.83%E -3.16%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.38%EV +0.613%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.44%EV -1.87%E -0.395%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-06 01:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.06%EV -9.81%E -6.76%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.74%EV +0.613%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -4.57%E -0.993%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 01:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.74%EV -4.83%E -3.16%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.35%EV +0.101%E +0.017%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.91%EV -4.77%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 01:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.88%EV -4.83%E -3.16%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.56%EV -0.922%E -0.159%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.56%EV -2.91%E -0.621%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 01:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.84%EV -14.16%E -10.26%K -37.27%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.19%EV -1.09%E -0.188%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.97%EV -12.87%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.84%EV -14.16%E -10.26%K -37.27%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.19%EV -1.09%E -0.188%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.97%EV -12.87%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -6.70%E -4.47%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -1.95%E -0.338%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 01:18 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 60.00%EV +3.88%E +2.32%K +5.78%G +0.224% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.73%EV -3.65%E -0.646%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.27%EV -6.64%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | -0.2% | 2026-04-06 01:54 |
| GTbets | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.26%EV -5.45%E -3.59%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.75%EV -3.65%E -0.646%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.98%EV -6.43%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-05 17:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.08%E -4.02%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -4.57%E -0.993%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 01:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.70%E -4.47%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.57%E -0.993%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 01:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.70%E -4.47%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.64%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 16:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.67%EV -6.70%E -4.47%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -10.79%E -2.51%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 01:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -8.57%E -5.83%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -6.64%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 01:20 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -9.81%E -6.76%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.49%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.95%EV -10.17%E -2.35%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 16:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -10.43%E -7.24%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.17%E -2.35%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-06 01:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.32%E -4.91%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.00%EV -7.06%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.82%EV -7.68%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 01:10 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -5.45%E -3.59%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -7.91%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -7.68%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 01:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -5.45%E -3.59%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -7.91%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -7.68%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 01:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -4.83%E -3.16%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -10.47%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.64%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 01:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.70%E -4.47%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -10.47%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -11.83%E -2.78%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 01:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -10.43%E -7.24%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -10.47%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -12.87%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-06 01:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.33%EV -12.30%E -8.72%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.23%EV -13.03%E -2.55%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.44%EV -10.79%E -2.51%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-06 01:40 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -4.83%E -3.16%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -14.73%E -2.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -10.17%E -2.35%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 01:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.97%EV -8.57%E -5.83%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -14.73%E -2.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -4.57%E -0.993%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 01:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.43%E -7.24%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -14.73%E -2.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -10.17%E -2.35%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-05 16:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.65%EV -11.68%E -8.22%K -27.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.51%EV -14.73%E -2.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.84%EV -12.87%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-06 01:38 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.43%E -7.24%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.73%E -2.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.01%E -4.25%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-05 09:00 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.43%E -7.24%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.73%E -2.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.01%E -4.25%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-05 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.43%E -7.24%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.73%E -2.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.01%E -4.25%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-05 09:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.43%E -7.24%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.73%E -2.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.01%E -4.25%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-05 09:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 61.84%EV -13.54%E -9.74%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.19%EV -14.73%E -2.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.97%EV -14.94%E -3.64%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-06 01:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 60.48%EV -12.92%E -9.23%K -32.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.94%EV -14.73%E -2.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.58%EV -22.20%E -5.92%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -18.15%E -3.78%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.87%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-06 01:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -18.15%E -3.78%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.87%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-06 01:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.17%EV -10.43%E -7.24%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -18.15%E -3.78%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -10.79%E -2.51%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-06 01:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.31% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.31% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.31% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 01:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.31% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 01:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.91% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.28% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81% | 2.3% | 2026-04-06 01:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.90% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.15% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.95% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 01:55 |