The School of Odds
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Guadalajara v Atlante FC

2026-11-01 01:07 UTC — Liga MX

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Guadalajara (Local)

Prediction 63.71%1.57fair odd
EV -5.71%
Edge -3.86%
Kelly -11.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.86%63.80%63.76%64.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.431.431.4872.46%69.96%69.93%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlante FC (Visit)

Prediction 15.61%6.41fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -0.391%
Kelly -0.466%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.99%15.60%15.58%16.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.255.795.836.2519.05%17.26%17.14%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.68%4.83fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -0.637%
Kelly -0.810%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.98%20.60%20.66%21.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.394.454.6925.00%22.80%22.47%21.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Guadalajara (Local): 63.71%; Atlante FC (Visit): 15.61%; Draw: 20.68%. For Atlante FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.41. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 6.25, with an expected value of -2.44%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.35%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 02:39
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.35%EV -6.35%E -4.32%K -13.51%G +0.000%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.48%EV -4.63%E -0.758%K -0.906%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.17%EV -2.99%E -0.637%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-25 02:35
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.03%EV -6.35%E -4.32%K -13.51%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -2.44%E -0.391%K -0.466%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.92%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 02:35
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.42%EV -6.99%E -4.79%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 15.77%EV -8.38%E -1.43%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -7.95%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-25 06:20
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -2.44%E -0.391%K -0.466%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 02:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -6.35%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-25 02:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.46%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.95%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -9.47%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -7.95%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 06:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.35%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-25 02:50
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -14.15%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.13%E -3.13%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-25 02:35
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -9.54%E -6.72%K -22.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -6.35%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-25 02:35
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.00%EV -9.54%E -6.72%K -22.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -10.25%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 02:35
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.35%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -8.99%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-25 02:35
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.15%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -13.13%E -3.13%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-25 03:20
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.15%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -13.13%E -3.13%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-25 03:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.15%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -13.13%E -3.13%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-25 03:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.15%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -13.13%E -3.13%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-25 03:20
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.86%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.49%EV -18.05%E -3.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -17.26%E -4.32%K -5.75%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-25 02:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.47%EV -12.08%E -8.76%K -31.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.92%EV -14.15%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.61%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-25 02:33
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.47I 68.03%NM 64.77%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.23%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%5.0%2026-10-25 03:55