L’École des cotes

FC Juárez v Tijuana

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 03:06 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Juárez (Local)

Prévision 56.48%1.77cote équitable
EV -1.73%
Avantage -0.993%
Kelly -2.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.99%56.34%56.55%58.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.651.651.7465.79%60.75%60.61%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tijuana (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.73%5.07cote équitable
EV -0.781%
Avantage -0.155%
Kelly -0.194%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.03%19.93%19.56%21.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.504.405.0324.39%22.23%22.73%19.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.80%4.20cote équitable
EV +0.898%
Avantage +0.212%
Kelly +0.277%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.82%23.73%23.89%26.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.833.854.2430.30%26.09%25.97%23.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.94%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.24%EV -0.781%E -0.155%K -0.194%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.82%EV +0.898%E +0.212%K +0.277%G +0.002%3.3%2026-04-10 22:15
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.94%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.24%EV -0.781%E -0.155%K -0.194%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.82%EV +0.898%E +0.212%K +0.277%G +0.002%3.3%2026-04-10 22:15
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.50%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.28%EV -1.18%E -0.235%K -0.293%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.22%EV -1.01%E -0.242%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 02:55
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.03%EV -7.38%E -4.50%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -1.37%E -0.275%K -0.343%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.93%EV -1.24%E -0.300%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 22:34
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.16%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV -5.32%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.83%EV -4.10%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 02:50
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -5.32%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 02:54
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 02:55
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.73%EV -1.73%E -0.993%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 03:05
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.73%EV -1.73%E -0.993%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 03:05
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.29%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 03:00
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.29%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 03:05
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -7.29%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 02:55
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -13.21%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 02:40
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.92%EV -7.94%E -4.87%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.55%EV -6.24%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 03:00
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -3.35%E -0.683%K -0.858%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 03:05
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.32%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 02:35
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 21:55
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 02:45
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.16%EV -1.73%E -0.993%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.04%EV -5.52%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.80%EV -7.91%E -2.04%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 22:01
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.15%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -15.18%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 02:20
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -13.21%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 03:05
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -13.21%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 03:05
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -13.21%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 03:05
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -13.21%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 03:05
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -13.21%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 03:05
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 03:05
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 54.90%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -17.15%E -4.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 03:00
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 02:45
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 02:45
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 53.99%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -16.17%E -3.80%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 02:20
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -14.19%E -3.26%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 03:05
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 02:45
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -9.64%E -6.02%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 02:50
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -17.15%E -4.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 02:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -15.18%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 03:05
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -15.18%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 03:05
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.70%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV -16.17%E -3.80%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 03:05
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.67%EV -9.64%E -6.02%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -14.59%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 02:55
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.63%EV -10.76%E -6.81%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -17.15%E -4.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 02:40
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.64%EV -12.46%E -8.04%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -13.21%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 02:40
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -14.59%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 02:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -14.59%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 02:45
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.94%EV -11.33%E -7.22%K -19.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.19%EV -14.19%E -3.26%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.87%EV -12.43%E -3.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 02:39
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 54.53%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -19.13%E -4.66%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -13.14%E -3.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 03:05
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.53%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -19.13%E -4.66%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -13.14%E -3.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 03:05
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -17.15%E -4.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 02:40
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 54.63%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.94%EV -17.15%E -4.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 02:40
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.63%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.94%EV -17.15%E -4.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 02:40
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.63%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.94%EV -17.15%E -4.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 02:40
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 56.57%EV -14.15%E -9.31%K -27.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.54%EV -13.21%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-11 03:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -11.33%E -7.22%K -19.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%EV -21.47%E -6.51%K -9.34%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-11 02:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.32%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-04-11 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-04-11 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-04-11 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.25%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%1.6%2026-04-11 03:05
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.93%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%2.1%2026-04-11 03:05
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.53%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-04-11 03:05