La escuela de los momios

FC Juárez v Tijuana

Inicio: 2026-04-11 03:06 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Juárez (Local)

Predicción 56.48%1.77momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.993%
Kelly -2.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.99%56.34%56.55%58.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.651.651.7465.79%60.75%60.61%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tijuana (Visitante)

Predicción 19.73%5.07momio equitativo
EV -0.781%
Ventaja -0.155%
Kelly -0.194%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.03

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.03%19.93%19.56%21.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.504.405.0324.39%22.23%22.73%19.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.80%4.20momio equitativo
EV +0.898%
Ventaja +0.212%
Kelly +0.277%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.82%23.73%23.89%26.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.833.854.2430.30%26.09%25.97%23.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.94%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.24%EV -0.781%E -0.155%K -0.194%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.82%EV +0.898%E +0.212%K +0.277%G +0.002%3.3%2026-04-10 22:15
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.94%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.24%EV -0.781%E -0.155%K -0.194%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.82%EV +0.898%E +0.212%K +0.277%G +0.002%3.3%2026-04-10 22:15
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.50%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.28%EV -1.18%E -0.235%K -0.293%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.22%EV -1.01%E -0.242%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 02:55
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.03%EV -7.38%E -4.50%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -1.37%E -0.275%K -0.343%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.93%EV -1.24%E -0.300%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 22:34
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.16%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV -5.32%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.83%EV -4.10%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 02:50
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -5.32%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 02:54
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 02:55
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.73%EV -1.73%E -0.993%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 03:05
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.73%EV -1.73%E -0.993%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 03:05
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.29%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 03:00
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.29%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 03:05
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -7.29%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 02:55
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -13.21%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 02:40
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.92%EV -7.94%E -4.87%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.55%EV -6.24%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 03:00
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -3.35%E -0.683%K -0.858%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 03:05
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.32%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 02:35
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 21:55
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 02:45
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.16%EV -1.73%E -0.993%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.04%EV -5.52%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.80%EV -7.91%E -2.04%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 22:01
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.15%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -15.18%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 02:20
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -13.21%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 03:05
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -13.21%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 03:05
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -13.21%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 03:05
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -13.21%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 03:05
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -13.21%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 03:05
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 03:05
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 54.90%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -17.15%E -4.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 03:00
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 02:45
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 02:45
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 53.99%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -16.17%E -3.80%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 02:20
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -14.19%E -3.26%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 03:05
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 02:45
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -9.64%E -6.02%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 02:50
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -17.15%E -4.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 02:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -15.18%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 03:05
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -15.18%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 03:05
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.70%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV -16.17%E -3.80%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 03:05
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.67%EV -9.64%E -6.02%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -14.59%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 02:55
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.63%EV -10.76%E -6.81%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -17.15%E -4.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 02:40
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.64%EV -12.46%E -8.04%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -13.21%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 02:40
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -14.59%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 02:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -14.59%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 02:45
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.94%EV -11.33%E -7.22%K -19.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.19%EV -14.19%E -3.26%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.87%EV -12.43%E -3.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 02:39
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 54.53%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -19.13%E -4.66%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -13.14%E -3.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 03:05
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.53%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -19.13%E -4.66%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -13.14%E -3.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 03:05
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -17.15%E -4.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 02:40
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 54.63%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.94%EV -17.15%E -4.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 02:40
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.63%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.94%EV -17.15%E -4.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 02:40
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.63%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.94%EV -17.15%E -4.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 02:40
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 56.57%EV -14.15%E -9.31%K -27.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.54%EV -13.21%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-11 03:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -11.33%E -7.22%K -19.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%EV -21.47%E -6.51%K -9.34%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-11 02:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.32%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-04-11 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-04-11 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-04-11 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.25%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%1.6%2026-04-11 03:05
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.93%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%2.1%2026-04-11 03:05
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.53%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-04-11 03:05