Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Juárez v Tijuana

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 23:00 UTC

Final: FC Juárez 1–1 Tijuana

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Juárez (Local)

Prediction 33.11%3.02fair odd
EV +6.63%
Edge +2.06%
Kelly +2.99%
Growth +0.198%

assuming max odds 3.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.78%33.09%33.17%34.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.792.803.2238.46%35.81%35.71%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tijuana (Visit)

Prediction 38.63%2.59fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -0.736%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.39%38.64%38.60%40.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.222.362.382.5445.05%42.30%42.02%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.25%3.54fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -0.734%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.07%28.27%28.23%29.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.263.303.4533.33%30.65%30.30%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Juárez (Local): 33.11%; Tijuana (Visit): 38.63%; Draw: 28.25%. For FC Juárez (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.63%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.78%EV +6.63%E +2.06%K +2.99%G +0.198%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.41%EV -7.90%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 22:55
GTbets🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.74%EV -2.64%E -0.899%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.71%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.54%EV -7.62%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 22:55
Pinnacle🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 33.23%EV -3.64%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.07%EV -1.87%E -0.736%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.70%EV -4.79%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-10 22:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -4.63%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 22:50
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -4.63%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 22:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -4.63%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -4.63%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 22:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.81%EV -5.29%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.07%EV -1.87%E -0.736%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.11%EV -2.81%E -0.818%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-10 21:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.81%EV -5.29%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.07%EV -1.87%E -0.736%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.11%EV -2.81%E -0.818%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-10 21:45
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -5.62%E -1.97%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 22:55
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -5.62%E -1.97%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 22:50
BetUS🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.62%E -1.97%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 22:55
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -5.62%E -1.97%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 22:45
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.62%E -1.97%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -10.37%E -4.47%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 22:11
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.62%E -1.97%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -10.37%E -4.47%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 22:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.62%E -1.97%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -10.37%E -4.47%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 22:10
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.62%E -1.97%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -10.37%E -4.47%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 22:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.62%E -1.97%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -10.37%E -4.47%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 22:10
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.62%E -1.97%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -10.37%E -4.47%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 22:10
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.62%E -1.97%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -10.37%E -4.47%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 22:11
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -5.62%E -1.97%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 22:45
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.28%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 22:44
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.28%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 22:45
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.28%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-10 22:40
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -7.28%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.16%EV -6.51%E -2.69%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.59%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 22:45
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -7.28%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.16%EV -6.51%E -2.69%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.59%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 22:45
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.28%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 22:50
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 22:10
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -2.53%E -0.734%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 22:45
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -13.07%E -5.81%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.59%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 22:11
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -13.07%E -5.81%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.59%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 22:10
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -13.07%E -5.81%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.59%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 22:10
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.24%E -5.08%K -7.62%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-10 22:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 32.15%EV -9.60%E -3.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.54%EV -14.23%E -6.41%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.31%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-10 22:49
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 22:50
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.59%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-10 21:45
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -15.24%E -5.08%K -7.62%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-10 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -15.24%E -5.08%K -7.62%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-10 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -15.24%E -5.08%K -7.62%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-10 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.60%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.47%EV -13.85%E -6.21%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.94%EV -11.01%E -3.49%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-10 22:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 32.92%EV -11.59%E -4.34%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.72%EV -12.30%E -5.42%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-10 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -12.91%E -4.91%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-10 22:45
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -13.24%E -5.05%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-10 22:55
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.25%EV -13.24%E -5.05%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -9.59%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-10 22:45
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -13.24%E -5.05%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-10 22:45
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -13.90%E -5.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-10 22:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-10-10 22:55
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-10-10 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-10-10 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-10-10 22:50
Smarkets◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.36%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46%1.8%2026-10-10 22:55
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-10-10 22:40