L’École des cotes

FC Juárez v Tigres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-23 01:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Juárez (Local)

Prévision 28.87%3.46cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -0.542%
Kelly -0.768%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.41%28.86%28.92%30.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.213.203.4034.48%31.18%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tigres (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.31%2.31cote équitable
EV -3.41%
Avantage -1.53%
Kelly -2.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.67%43.30%43.24%45.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.102.102.2352.36%47.57%47.62%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.82%3.59cote équitable
EV -2.36%
Avantage -0.671%
Kelly -0.939%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.07%27.83%27.84%29.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.303.303.5134.72%30.35%30.30%28.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -1.84%E -0.542%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.98%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.56%EV -2.36%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-23 00:45
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -1.84%E -0.542%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%EV -3.85%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.08%EV -4.30%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 16:04
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -1.84%E -0.542%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%EV -3.85%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.08%EV -4.30%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 16:05
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -1.84%E -0.542%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-23 00:04
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -1.84%E -0.542%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.21%E -5.47%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-23 00:34
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.29%E -0.981%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 00:19
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.29%E -0.981%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 00:19
Coolbet3.34I 29.94%NM 28.50%EV -3.58%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.58%E -2.56%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.83%EV -4.86%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 20:54
GTbets3.33I 30.03%NM 28.98%EV -3.86%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.28%EV -3.41%E -1.53%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.73%EV -3.19%E -0.917%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-23 00:34
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 00:19
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 00:19
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 00:19
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 00:19
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 00:19
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 00:19
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-23 00:45
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -13.38%E -6.69%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-23 00:34
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 00:05
1xBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.49%EV -7.31%E -3.42%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.87%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 00:44
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 00:05
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.91%E -4.77%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-23 00:19
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.91%E -4.77%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-23 00:19
Marathon Bet3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.69%EV -8.18%E -3.86%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.73%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-23 00:45
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -5.58%E -2.56%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 00:45
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -5.58%E -2.56%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 00:44
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 00:43
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-23 00:09
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-23 00:44
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.50%EV -8.61%E -4.08%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-23 00:43
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.50%EV -8.61%E -4.08%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-23 00:44
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.09%EV -10.78%E -5.23%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-23 00:19
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.09%EV -10.78%E -5.23%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-23 00:19
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.33%EV -11.64%E -5.71%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-23 00:19
Fliff3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -11.21%E -5.47%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-23 00:19
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -13.38%E -6.69%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-23 00:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -17.27%E -9.04%K -18.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -19.88%E -6.90%K -10.58%G +0.000%18.3%2026-03-23 00:44
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 16:04
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-23 00:19
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-23 00:44
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.21%E -5.47%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-23 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.21%E -5.47%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-23 00:05
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.42%EV -14.68%E -7.45%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.35%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-23 00:19
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -11.95%E -3.92%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 16:04
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -11.21%E -5.47%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-22 16:00
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.84%EV -11.21%E -5.47%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -12.37%E -3.93%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-23 00:40
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -16.54%E -5.51%K -8.27%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-22 23:59
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -16.54%E -5.51%K -8.27%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-22 23:59
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -16.54%E -5.51%K -8.27%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-23 00:00
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -16.54%E -5.51%K -8.27%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-23 00:00
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.71%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.50%EV -14.24%E -7.19%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.79%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-23 00:14
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -16.28%E -5.61%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -11.21%E -5.47%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-22 16:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-23 00:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-23 00:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-23 00:44
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-23 00:45
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-03-23 00:44
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.16%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%3.1%2026-03-23 00:34