La escuela de los momios

FC Juárez v Tigres

Inicio: 2026-03-23 01:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Juárez (Local)

Predicción 28.87%3.46momio equitativo
EV -1.84%
Ventaja -0.542%
Kelly -0.768%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.41%28.86%28.92%30.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.213.203.4034.48%31.18%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tigres (Visitante)

Predicción 43.31%2.31momio equitativo
EV -3.41%
Ventaja -1.53%
Kelly -2.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.67%43.30%43.24%45.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.102.102.2352.36%47.57%47.62%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.82%3.59momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -0.671%
Kelly -0.939%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.07%27.83%27.84%29.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.303.303.5134.72%30.35%30.30%28.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -1.84%E -0.542%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.98%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.56%EV -2.36%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-23 00:45
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -1.84%E -0.542%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%EV -3.85%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.08%EV -4.30%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 16:04
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -1.84%E -0.542%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%EV -3.85%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.08%EV -4.30%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 16:05
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -1.84%E -0.542%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-23 00:04
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -1.84%E -0.542%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.21%E -5.47%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-23 00:34
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.29%E -0.981%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 00:19
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.29%E -0.981%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 00:19
Coolbet3.34I 29.94%NM 28.50%EV -3.58%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.58%E -2.56%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.83%EV -4.86%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 20:54
GTbets3.33I 30.03%NM 28.98%EV -3.86%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.28%EV -3.41%E -1.53%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.73%EV -3.19%E -0.917%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-23 00:34
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 00:19
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 00:19
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 00:19
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 00:19
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 00:19
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 00:19
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-23 00:45
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -13.38%E -6.69%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-23 00:34
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 00:05
1xBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.49%EV -7.31%E -3.42%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.87%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 00:44
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 00:05
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.91%E -4.77%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-23 00:19
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.91%E -4.77%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-23 00:19
Marathon Bet3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.69%EV -8.18%E -3.86%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.73%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-23 00:45
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -5.58%E -2.56%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 00:45
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -5.58%E -2.56%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 00:44
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 00:43
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-23 00:09
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-23 00:44
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.50%EV -8.61%E -4.08%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-23 00:43
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.50%EV -8.61%E -4.08%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-23 00:44
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.09%EV -10.78%E -5.23%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-23 00:19
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.09%EV -10.78%E -5.23%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-23 00:19
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.33%EV -11.64%E -5.71%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-23 00:19
Fliff3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -11.21%E -5.47%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-23 00:19
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -13.38%E -6.69%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-23 00:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -17.27%E -9.04%K -18.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -19.88%E -6.90%K -10.58%G +0.000%18.3%2026-03-23 00:44
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 16:04
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-23 00:19
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-23 00:44
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.21%E -5.47%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-23 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.21%E -5.47%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-23 00:05
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.42%EV -14.68%E -7.45%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.35%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-23 00:19
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -11.95%E -3.92%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 16:04
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -11.21%E -5.47%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-22 16:00
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.84%EV -11.21%E -5.47%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -12.37%E -3.93%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-23 00:40
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -16.54%E -5.51%K -8.27%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-22 23:59
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -16.54%E -5.51%K -8.27%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-22 23:59
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -16.54%E -5.51%K -8.27%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-23 00:00
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -16.54%E -5.51%K -8.27%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-23 00:00
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.71%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.50%EV -14.24%E -7.19%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.79%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-23 00:14
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -16.28%E -5.61%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -11.21%E -5.47%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-22 16:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-23 00:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-23 00:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-23 00:44
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-23 00:45
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-03-23 00:44
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.16%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%3.1%2026-03-23 00:34