The School of Odds
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FC Juárez v Querétaro

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 01:00 UTC

Final: FC Juárez 3–1 Querétaro

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Juárez (Local)

Prediction 31.78%3.15fair odd
EV +3.27%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.45%
Growth +0.048%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.24%31.56%31.82%32.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.922.903.2536.36%34.25%34.48%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Querétaro (Visit)

Prediction 41.31%2.42fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.707%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.07%41.43%41.31%43.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.242.3847.62%44.72%44.64%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.91%3.72fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.483%
Kelly -0.665%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.09%27.01%26.87%28.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.343.403.6533.33%29.92%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Juárez (Local): 31.78%; Querétaro (Visit): 41.31%; Draw: 26.91%. For FC Juárez (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.15. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV +3.27%E +1.01%K +1.45%G +0.048%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -9.95%E -4.56%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 15:44
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +0.095%E +0.030%K +0.044%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.72%EV -1.68%E -0.707%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-31 00:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +0.095%E +0.030%K +0.044%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.72%EV -1.68%E -0.707%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-31 00:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.76%EV -3.40%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.26%EV -3.34%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.97%EV -3.65%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-30 23:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.76%EV -3.40%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.26%EV -3.34%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.97%EV -3.65%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-30 23:45
Pinnacle🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 32.04%EV -3.72%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.14%EV -2.51%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.82%EV -2.57%E -0.710%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-31 00:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-30 00:50
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -13.87%E -4.34%K -6.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 00:15
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -13.87%E -4.34%K -6.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 00:15
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -13.87%E -4.34%K -6.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 00:15
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -13.87%E -4.34%K -6.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 00:15
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -13.87%E -4.34%K -6.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 00:15
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -13.87%E -4.34%K -6.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 00:15
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -13.87%E -4.34%K -6.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 00:14
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -13.25%E -6.31%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-30 20:05
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -6.26%E -2.12%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -4.45%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-30 01:00
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -6.26%E -2.12%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-29 10:10
BetUS🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -6.26%E -2.12%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 00:34
GTbets🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.98%EV -6.26%E -2.12%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.74%EV -6.64%E -2.94%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV -3.38%E -0.941%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 01:51
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.26%E -2.12%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 16:09
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -6.26%E -2.12%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -8.29%E -3.74%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-30 11:30
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -6.26%E -2.12%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -8.29%E -3.74%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-30 11:28
1xBet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.66%EV -6.58%E -2.24%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.03%EV -3.34%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -1.76%E -0.483%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-31 00:50
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 00:35
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 00:50
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -4.99%E -2.17%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 00:49
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 10:05
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-26 07:15
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-31 00:00
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -9.12%E -4.14%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 00:05
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.12%E -4.14%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-30 23:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.12%E -4.14%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -16.57%E -5.34%K -7.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 00:15
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.12%E -4.14%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -16.57%E -5.34%K -7.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 00:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.12%E -4.14%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -16.57%E -5.34%K -7.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 00:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -8.48%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -7.88%E -3.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-30 02:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.77%EV -8.48%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.65%EV -9.95%E -4.56%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.58%EV -16.57%E -5.34%K -7.89%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-31 00:15
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.03%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.12%E -4.14%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-30 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.03%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.12%E -4.14%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 00:45
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.03%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.12%E -4.14%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-30 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.03%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.12%E -4.14%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-30 15:50
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.03%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -11.18%E -5.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-31 00:05
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.03%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -9.12%E -4.14%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -16.57%E -5.34%K -7.89%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-30 16:10
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.03%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -9.12%E -4.14%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -16.57%E -5.34%K -7.89%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-30 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.03%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -9.12%E -4.14%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -16.57%E -5.34%K -7.89%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-30 16:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.03%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -9.12%E -4.14%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -16.57%E -5.34%K -7.89%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-30 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -11.03%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.80%EV -13.25%E -6.31%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.85%EV -11.99%E -3.67%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-31 00:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -11.03%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 40.59%EV -12.42%E -5.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -19.26%E -6.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-31 00:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 31.84%EV -11.98%E -4.32%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.02%EV -11.18%E -5.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -12.53%E -3.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-30 13:15
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -12.62%E -4.59%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.18%E -5.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-29 06:04
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -12.62%E -4.59%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -9.12%E -4.14%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -12.53%E -3.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-29 11:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-10-30 21:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.7%2026-10-31 00:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.7%2026-10-31 00:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.7%2026-10-31 00:50
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.7%2026-10-31 00:45
Smarkets◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%2.8%2026-10-31 00:45