Language:English
FC Juárez v Atlas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Juárez (Local)
Prediction 45.99%2.17fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -0.959%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.51%45.94%46.08%47.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.002.002.1353.19%50.12%50.00%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlas (Visit)
Prediction 25.60%3.91fair odd
EV +2.38%
Edge +0.595%
Kelly +0.793%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.20%25.60%25.54%27.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.583.584.0030.30%27.94%27.93%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.42%3.52fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -0.570%
Kelly -0.802%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.45%28.46%28.38%29.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.253.283.4533.90%30.81%30.49%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Juárez (Local): 45.99%; Atlas (Visit): 25.60%; Draw: 28.42%. For Atlas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.38%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.99%EV -5.26%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.20%EV +2.38%E +0.595%K +0.793%G +0.019% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.81%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 02:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -2.74%E -0.721%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.35%EV -8.94%E -4.52%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -2.74%E -0.721%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 02:58 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.05%EV -9.40%E -4.77%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.52%EV -3.25%E -0.860%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.43%EV -7.36%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 02:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 03:02 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.64%EV -9.86%E -5.03%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.39%E -0.996%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 02:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.42%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.58%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -3.39%E -0.996%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 03:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.42%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.58%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -3.39%E -0.996%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 03:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.67%EV -6.18%E -3.03%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -1.97%E -0.570%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.67%EV -6.18%E -3.03%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -1.97%E -0.570%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 03:01 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.22%EV -6.18%E -3.03%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.55%EV -5.55%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.23%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 02:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -8.94%E -4.52%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 02:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.44%EV -10.32%E -5.29%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 02:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -9.86%E -5.03%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.32%E -5.29%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.06%EV -2.04%E -0.959%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.96%EV -8.88%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.98%EV -2.53%E -0.739%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 02:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -4.34%E -2.09%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -9.14%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 02:58 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -4.34%E -2.09%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -9.14%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 02:57 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -10.32%E -5.29%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -9.14%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -10.78%E -5.56%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -9.14%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.32%E -5.29%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -10.32%E -5.29%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -11.24%E -5.82%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.32%E -5.29%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -10.32%E -5.29%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-02-28 02:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -10.32%E -5.29%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -10.32%E -5.29%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-02-28 02:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -10.32%E -5.29%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-02-28 02:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.51%EV -4.80%E -2.32%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -11.70%E -3.39%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 02:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -13.54%E -7.20%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.74%EV -8.94%E -4.52%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.21%EV -13.49%E -3.99%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.05%EV -13.33%E -4.37%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-28 03:02 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 44.96%EV -11.70%E -6.09%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.77%EV -14.26%E -4.26%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.26%EV -16.17%E -5.48%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 45.74%EV -13.54%E -7.20%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.06%EV -15.54%E -4.71%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.20%EV -13.33%E -4.37%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-02-28 03:01 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.76% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.18% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.1% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.1% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.08% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35% | 2.2% | 2026-02-28 03:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.74% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 03:02 |