Language:English
FC Juárez v América
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Juárez (Local)
Prediction 19.02%5.26fair odd
EV -0.149%
Edge -0.028%
Kelly -0.035%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.71%19.31%18.98%22.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.624.605.2525.32%21.62%21.74%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
América (Visit)
Prediction 57.06%1.75fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.742%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.34%56.69%57.09%58.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.641.631.7365.36%60.94%61.54%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.92%4.18fair odd
EV +2.85%
Edge +0.663%
Kelly +0.864%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.52%24.00%23.93%25.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.793.804.3028.57%26.36%26.32%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Juárez (Local): 19.02%; América (Visit): 57.06%; Draw: 23.92%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.18. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.85%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.80%EV -2.05%E -0.398%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.68%EV -5.85%E -3.54%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +2.85%E +0.663%K +0.864%G +0.025% | 3.3% | 2026-08-22 02:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.80%EV -2.05%E -0.398%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.68%EV -5.85%E -3.54%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +2.85%E +0.663%K +0.864%G +0.025% | 3.3% | 2026-08-22 02:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -8.71%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.43%EV -5.85%E -3.54%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.83%EV -0.735%E -0.177%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-22 01:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.04I 19.84%NM 19.14%EV -4.14%E -0.822%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.43%EV -4.14%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -1.45%E -0.353%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-22 02:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -4.90%E -0.981%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 03:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.90%E -0.981%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 00:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.24%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -5.52%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 03:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.12%EV -7.76%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.65%EV -6.24%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 02:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -4.90%E -0.981%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.85%E -3.54%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 01:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.00%EV -6.81%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 02:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -4.90%E -0.981%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 02:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -1.10%E -0.212%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -10.41%E -6.63%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 02:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -16.32%E -3.71%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.27%EV -1.28%E -0.742%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -7.91%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -16.32%E -3.71%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.27%EV -1.28%E -0.742%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -7.91%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -6.81%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -7.91%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 03:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -6.81%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -7.91%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 03:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -4.90%E -0.981%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -7.91%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -0.149%E -0.028%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 02:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -0.149%E -0.028%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 02:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -0.149%E -0.028%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 03:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -14.41%E -3.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 03:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 01:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -22.02%E -5.37%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -2.42%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 02:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 02:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -12.51%E -2.72%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 02:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.53%EV -3.95%E -0.783%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -5.85%E -3.54%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.76%EV -9.59%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 01:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -19.17%E -4.51%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 03:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -19.17%E -4.51%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -19.17%E -4.51%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -19.17%E -4.51%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -19.17%E -4.51%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 03:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -19.17%E -4.51%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -12.51%E -2.72%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -12.51%E -2.72%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 01:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -12.51%E -2.72%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.17%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 02:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -22.02%E -5.37%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.62%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.53%EV -12.69%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.99%EV -12.51%E -2.72%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.08%EV -12.70%E -8.30%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.93%EV -12.69%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-22 02:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.25%EV -16.32%E -3.71%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.00%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.89%E -3.86%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-22 03:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -14.41%E -3.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -13.89%E -3.86%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 02:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -16.32%E -3.71%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -13.89%E -3.86%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-22 02:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -16.32%E -3.71%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -13.89%E -3.86%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-22 02:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -16.32%E -3.71%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -13.89%E -3.86%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-22 02:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -22.02%E -5.37%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.74%EV -5.85%E -3.54%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -13.89%E -3.86%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -22.02%E -5.37%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.74%EV -5.85%E -3.54%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -13.89%E -3.86%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -22.02%E -5.37%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.74%EV -5.85%E -3.54%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -13.89%E -3.86%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -16.28%E -4.65%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 03:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -23.92%E -5.98%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -16.28%E -4.65%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 02:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.75%EV -24.87%E -6.30%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 53.70%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -16.28%E -4.65%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.66% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.78% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56% | 1.9% | 2026-08-22 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.09% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.72% | 2.4% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.02% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63% | 2.7% | 2026-08-22 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.27% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.68% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.05% | 3.3% | 2026-08-22 03:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.17% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.44% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39% | 3.9% | 2026-08-22 03:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.71% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 03:10 |