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Cruz Azul v FC Juárez
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cruz Azul (Local)
Prediction 73.19%1.37fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -5.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.56%73.26%73.08%76.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.261.261.3484.03%79.40%79.37%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Juárez (Visit)
Prediction 10.02%9.98fair odd
EV +5.22%
Edge +0.497%
Kelly +0.550%
Growth +0.029%
assuming max odds 10.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.70%9.97%10.02%11.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.179.0010.5012.50%10.90%11.11%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.79%5.96fair odd
EV +0.905%
Edge +0.151%
Kelly +0.181%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 6.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.22%16.77%16.89%17.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.445.406.0120.00%18.39%18.52%16.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cruz Azul (Local): 73.19%; FC Juárez (Visit): 10.02%; Draw: 16.79%. For FC Juárez (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.98. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.22%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.60%EV -4.85%E -3.73%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.24%EV +5.22%E +0.497%K +0.550%G +0.029% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.16%EV +0.737%E +0.123%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 3.1% | 2026-10-18 03:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.60%EV -4.85%E -3.73%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.24%EV +5.22%E +0.497%K +0.550%G +0.029% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.16%EV +0.737%E +0.123%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 3.1% | 2026-10-18 03:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -12.17%E -10.14%K -60.86%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV +5.22%E +0.497%K +0.550%G +0.029% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV +0.737%E +0.123%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 02:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.20%EV -6.32%E -4.94%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 10.40I 9.62%NM 9.13%EV +4.22%E +0.406%K +0.449%G +0.019% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.66%EV -4.30%E -0.754%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-18 02:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.59%EV -5.59%E -4.33%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 10.23I 9.78%NM 9.41%EV +2.52%E +0.246%K +0.273%G +0.007% | 6.01I 16.64%NM 16.01%EV +0.905%E +0.151%K +0.181%G +0.002% | 3.9% | 2026-10-18 02:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.64%EV -3.39%E -2.57%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.40%EV +2.22%E +0.217%K +0.241%G +0.005% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.96%EV -10.34%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-18 02:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.85%E -3.73%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.65%EV +0.212%E +0.021%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09%EV +0.737%E +0.123%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-10-18 01:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.85%E -3.73%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.65%EV +0.212%E +0.021%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09%EV +0.737%E +0.123%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-10-18 01:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.75%EV -9.25%E -7.46%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV +0.212%E +0.021%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -2.62%E -0.452%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-18 02:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.00%EV -7.78%E -6.18%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.48%EV -2.79%E -0.288%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 15:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.00%EV -7.78%E -6.18%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.48%EV -2.79%E -0.288%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 15:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.52%EV -5.59%E -4.33%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV -4.80%E -0.505%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -3.46%E -0.602%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 21:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -5.59%E -4.33%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -4.80%E -0.505%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-18 03:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -5.59%E -4.33%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -4.80%E -0.505%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-18 03:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.83%EV -7.05%E -5.55%K -26.11%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -4.80%E -0.505%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -3.46%E -0.602%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 00:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -6.32%E -4.94%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -4.80%E -0.505%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-18 03:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.44%EV -7.78%E -6.18%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.80%E -0.505%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-18 03:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.51%E -6.81%K -34.05%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -4.80%E -0.505%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-18 02:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.27%EV -5.59%E -4.33%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 9.45I 10.58%NM 10.00%EV -5.30%E -0.561%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.73%EV -5.14%E -0.910%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-18 03:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.85%EV -1.93%E -1.44%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.42I 10.62%NM 10.22%EV -5.60%E -0.595%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 5.37I 18.62%NM 17.93%EV -9.84%E -1.83%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-17 15:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -5.59%E -4.33%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.15%EV -7.30%E -0.790%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-17 21:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.17%EV -8.51%E -6.81%K -34.05%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.05%EV -8.81%E -0.968%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.78%EV -8.50%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-18 03:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -8.51%E -6.81%K -34.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -9.81%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -3.46%E -0.602%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 23:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.19%EV -9.25%E -7.46%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -9.81%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -0.942%E -0.160%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 22:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.31%EV -7.05%E -5.55%K -26.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -9.81%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-17 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.78%E -6.18%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -9.81%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -9.34%E -1.73%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 03:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.78%E -6.18%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -9.81%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -9.34%E -1.73%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 03:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.78%E -6.18%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -9.81%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -9.34%E -1.73%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 03:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.78%E -6.18%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -9.81%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -9.34%E -1.73%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 03:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.78%E -6.18%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -9.81%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -9.34%E -1.73%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 03:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.78%E -6.18%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -9.81%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -9.34%E -1.73%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 03:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -9.25%E -7.46%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -9.81%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -9.34%E -1.73%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-18 03:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -12.17%E -10.14%K -60.86%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -9.81%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-18 02:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -12.17%E -10.14%K -60.86%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -9.81%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-18 02:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -5.59%E -4.33%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -14.82%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-18 02:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.83%EV -6.32%E -4.94%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -14.82%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -11.02%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-18 02:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.36%EV -9.25%E -7.46%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV -14.82%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-18 03:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.36%EV -9.25%E -7.46%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV -14.82%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-18 03:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.36%EV -9.25%E -7.46%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV -14.82%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-18 03:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -8.51%E -6.81%K -34.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -14.82%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-17 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -8.51%E -6.81%K -34.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -14.82%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-17 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -8.51%E -6.81%K -34.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -14.82%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-17 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -8.51%E -6.81%K -34.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -14.82%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-17 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -8.51%E -6.81%K -34.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -14.82%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-17 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -8.51%E -6.81%K -34.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -14.82%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-17 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.40%EV -9.98%E -8.11%K -43.38%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -14.82%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -12.69%E -2.44%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-18 03:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -10.71%E -8.78%K -48.68%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -14.82%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-18 02:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 72.57%EV -12.90%E -10.84%K -67.92%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.16%EV -14.82%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.27%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-10-18 03:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.26%EV -11.44%E -9.46%K -54.48%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.60%EV -17.33%E -2.10%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.14%EV -14.37%E -2.82%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-18 02:43 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.21%EV -10.71%E -8.78%K -48.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.01%EV -19.83%E -2.48%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.78%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-17 22:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.47% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-10-18 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.12% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34% | 1.8% | 2026-10-18 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.12% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34% | 1.8% | 2026-10-18 03:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.83% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.70% | 1.9% | 2026-10-18 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.74% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.50% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.76% | 2.3% | 2026-10-18 03:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.21% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.04% | 3.9% | 2026-10-18 03:05 |