La escuela de los momiosCruz Azul v Atlético San Luis
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cruz Azul (Local)
Predicción 65.83%1.52momio equitativo
EV -3.23%
Ventaja -2.20%
Kelly -6.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.98%65.96%65.74%68.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.391.401.4775.76%71.73%71.43%68.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Atlético San Luis (Visitante)
Predicción 13.95%7.17momio equitativo
EV +4.61%
Ventaja +0.615%
Kelly +0.710%
Crecimiento +0.033%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.22%13.88%13.99%16.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.676.757.5018.18%15.00%14.81%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.22%4.95momio equitativo
EV +1.51%
Ventaja +0.302%
Kelly +0.377%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.16%20.15%20.26%22.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.484.505.0225.00%22.30%22.22%19.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -7.84%E -5.60%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.61%E +0.615%K +0.710%G +0.033% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +4.61%E +0.615%K +0.710%G +0.033% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.93%E -0.611%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +4.61%E +0.615%K +0.710%G +0.033% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +4.61%E +0.615%K +0.710%G +0.033% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.72%EV -6.52%E -4.59%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 7.33I 13.64%NM 13.12%EV +2.24%E +0.306%K +0.354%G +0.008% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.16%EV +1.51%E +0.302%K +0.377%G +0.006% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.61%EV -5.21%E -3.61%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 7.11I 14.06%NM 13.49%EV -0.828%E -0.116%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.90%EV -2.53%E -0.525%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| Fliff | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.03%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 12.93%EV -1.66%E -0.236%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.04%EV -7.99%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| GTbets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.54%EV -6.52%E -4.59%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 7.01I 14.27%NM 13.48%EV -2.22%E -0.317%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 19.98%EV -4.35%E -0.920%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.29%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -2.36%E -0.337%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -4.96%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.29%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -2.36%E -0.337%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -4.96%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -7.18%E -5.09%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -2.36%E -0.337%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -7.18%E -5.09%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -2.36%E -0.337%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -7.18%E -5.09%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -2.36%E -0.337%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -7.18%E -5.09%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -2.36%E -0.337%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| Casumo | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -7.18%E -5.09%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -2.36%E -0.337%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -7.18%E -5.09%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -2.36%E -0.337%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -6.52%E -4.59%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -2.36%E -0.337%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -13.05%E -3.03%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -2.36%E -0.337%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -19.11%E -4.78%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| Betsson | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.86%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.37%EV -5.15%E -0.758%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.86%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.37%EV -5.15%E -0.758%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.07%EV -3.89%E -2.66%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 6.77I 14.77%NM 14.25%EV -5.57%E -0.823%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.69%EV -0.912%E -0.186%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.07%EV -3.89%E -2.66%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 6.77I 14.77%NM 14.25%EV -5.57%E -0.823%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.69%EV -0.912%E -0.186%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| BetUS | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -3.23%E -2.20%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.35%EV -5.85%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%EV -0.912%E -0.186%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -7.84%E -5.60%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -5.85%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 22:48 |
| TABtouch | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.84%E -5.60%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -5.85%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -7.84%E -5.60%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -5.85%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -11.02%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -9.81%E -7.16%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -5.85%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -5.85%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -7.18%E -5.09%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 13.93%EV -7.24%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.36%EV -7.99%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -5.21%E -3.61%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -9.34%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -6.52%E -4.59%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -9.34%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -6.52%E -4.59%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -9.34%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.84%E -5.60%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -9.34%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.84%E -5.60%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -9.34%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.03%EV -11.13%E -8.24%K -31.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -9.34%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.02%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.21%EV -12.45%E -9.36%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.55%EV -9.34%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.24%EV -12.03%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -12.45%E -9.36%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -9.34%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -19.11%E -4.78%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -7.84%E -5.60%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -12.82%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -11.02%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -7.84%E -5.60%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -16.31%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -11.02%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.84%E -5.60%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -16.31%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.44%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -7.84%E -5.60%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -16.31%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -19.11%E -4.78%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.83%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.47%EV -16.31%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -19.11%E -4.78%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.83%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.47%EV -16.31%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -19.11%E -4.78%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.83%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.47%EV -16.31%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -19.11%E -4.78%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 65.18%EV -13.10%E -9.93%K -40.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.34%EV -16.31%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.48%EV -15.07%E -3.59%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -7.84%E -5.60%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -19.80%E -3.44%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -15.07%E -3.59%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.31%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.35%EV -20.49%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.34%EV -13.05%E -3.03%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -7.84%E -5.60%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -23.28%E -4.23%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -15.07%E -3.59%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.03% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.03% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.03% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 2.0% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.83% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.33% | 2.5% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.30% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.21% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49% | 13.5% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |