مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cruz Azul v Atlético San Luis

البداية: 2026-03-07 23:02 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cruz Azul (المضيف)

التنبؤ 65.83%1.52السعر العادل
EV -3.23%
الأفضلية -2.20%
Kelly -6.87%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.47

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
62.98%65.96%65.74%68.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.321.391.401.4775.76%71.73%71.43%68.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Atlético San Luis (الضيف)

التنبؤ 13.95%7.17السعر العادل
EV +4.61%
الأفضلية +0.615%
Kelly +0.710%
النمو +0.033%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
12.22%13.88%13.99%16.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.506.676.757.5018.18%15.00%14.81%13.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 20.22%4.95السعر العادل
EV +1.51%
الأفضلية +0.302%
Kelly +0.377%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.16%20.15%20.26%22.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.484.505.0225.00%22.30%22.22%19.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -7.84%E -5.60%K -19.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.61%E +0.615%K +0.710%G +0.033%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 23:00
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +4.61%E +0.615%K +0.710%G +0.033%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.93%E -0.611%K -0.772%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 22:59
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +4.61%E +0.615%K +0.710%G +0.033%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 22:59
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +4.61%E +0.615%K +0.710%G +0.033%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 23:00
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 67.72%EV -6.52%E -4.59%K -15.53%G +0.000%7.33I 13.64%NM 13.12%EV +2.24%E +0.306%K +0.354%G +0.008%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.16%EV +1.51%E +0.302%K +0.377%G +0.006%4.0%2026-03-07 22:59
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.61%EV -5.21%E -3.61%K -11.83%G +0.000%7.11I 14.06%NM 13.49%EV -0.828%E -0.116%K -0.135%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.90%EV -2.53%E -0.525%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 22:59
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 67.03%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.09%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 12.93%EV -1.66%E -0.236%K -0.275%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.04%EV -7.99%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 23:00
GTbets1.42I 70.42%NM 66.54%EV -6.52%E -4.59%K -15.53%G +0.000%7.01I 14.27%NM 13.48%EV -2.22%E -0.317%K -0.370%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 19.98%EV -4.35%E -0.920%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 22:59
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.29%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -2.36%E -0.337%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -4.96%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 22:59
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.29%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -2.36%E -0.337%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -4.96%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 22:59
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -7.18%E -5.09%K -17.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -2.36%E -0.337%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -7.18%E -5.09%K -17.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -2.36%E -0.337%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 22:59
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -7.18%E -5.09%K -17.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -2.36%E -0.337%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -7.18%E -5.09%K -17.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -2.36%E -0.337%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 23:00
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -7.18%E -5.09%K -17.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -2.36%E -0.337%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 22:59
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -7.18%E -5.09%K -17.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -2.36%E -0.337%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 22:59
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -6.52%E -4.59%K -15.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -2.36%E -0.337%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -13.05%E -3.03%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 23:00
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -2.36%E -0.337%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -19.11%E -4.78%K -6.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-07 23:00
Betsson1.36I 73.53%NM 66.86%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.09%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.37%EV -5.15%E -0.758%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 23:00
NordicBet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.86%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.09%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.37%EV -5.15%E -0.758%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 23:00
LowVig.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 66.07%EV -3.89%E -2.66%K -8.45%G +0.000%6.77I 14.77%NM 14.25%EV -5.57%E -0.823%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.69%EV -0.912%E -0.186%K -0.234%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 66.07%EV -3.89%E -2.66%K -8.45%G +0.000%6.77I 14.77%NM 14.25%EV -5.57%E -0.823%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.69%EV -0.912%E -0.186%K -0.234%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 22:59
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -3.23%E -2.20%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.35%EV -5.85%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%EV -0.912%E -0.186%K -0.234%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 22:59
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -7.84%E -5.60%K -19.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -5.85%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 22:48
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.84%E -5.60%K -19.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -5.85%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 22:59
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -7.84%E -5.60%K -19.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -5.85%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -11.02%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 23:00
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -9.81%E -7.16%K -26.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -5.85%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -5.85%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 22:59
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -7.18%E -5.09%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 13.93%EV -7.24%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.36%EV -7.99%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 22:59
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -5.21%E -3.61%K -11.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -9.34%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -6.52%E -4.59%K -15.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -9.34%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 22:59
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -6.52%E -4.59%K -15.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -9.34%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 23:00
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.84%E -5.60%K -19.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -9.34%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 23:00
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.84%E -5.60%K -19.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -9.34%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 22:59
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.03%EV -11.13%E -8.24%K -31.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -9.34%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.02%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-07 23:00
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 66.21%EV -12.45%E -9.36%K -37.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.55%EV -9.34%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.24%EV -12.03%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-07 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -12.45%E -9.36%K -37.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -9.34%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -19.11%E -4.78%K -6.37%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-07 22:59
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -7.84%E -5.60%K -19.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -12.82%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -11.02%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 22:59
Winamax (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -7.84%E -5.60%K -19.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -16.31%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -11.02%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-07 23:00
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.84%E -5.60%K -19.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -16.31%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.44%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 23:00
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -7.84%E -5.60%K -19.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -16.31%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -19.11%E -4.78%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-07 22:59
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 63.83%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.47%EV -16.31%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -19.11%E -4.78%K -6.37%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-07 23:00
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.83%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.47%EV -16.31%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -19.11%E -4.78%K -6.37%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-07 23:00
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.83%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.47%EV -16.31%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -19.11%E -4.78%K -6.37%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-07 23:00
NetBet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 65.18%EV -13.10%E -9.93%K -40.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.34%EV -16.31%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.48%EV -15.07%E -3.59%K -4.71%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-07 22:59
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -7.84%E -5.60%K -19.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -19.80%E -3.44%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -15.07%E -3.59%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 23:00
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.31%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.09%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.35%EV -20.49%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.34%EV -13.05%E -3.03%K -3.95%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-07 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -7.84%E -5.60%K -19.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -23.28%E -4.23%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -15.07%E -3.59%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-07 23:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.03%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%0.8%2026-03-07 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.03%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%0.8%2026-03-07 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.03%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%0.8%2026-03-07 23:00
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%2.0%2026-03-07 23:00
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 66.83%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.33%2.5%2026-03-07 23:00
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 64.30%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.21%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%13.5%2026-03-07 23:00