Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético San Luis v Pumas

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 01:00 UTC

Final: Atlético San Luis 0–2 Pumas

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético San Luis (Local)

Prediction 32.34%3.09fair odd
EV +5.44%
Edge +1.67%
Kelly +2.41%
Growth +0.131%

assuming max odds 3.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.48%32.48%32.21%33.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.892.903.2638.17%34.60%34.48%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pumas (Visit)

Prediction 41.83%2.39fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.63%41.71%41.95%44.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.152.3350.00%46.20%46.51%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.83%3.87fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -0.909%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.85%25.81%25.84%27.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.513.553.7432.26%28.50%28.17%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlético San Luis (Local): 32.34%; Pumas (Visit): 41.83%; Draw: 25.83%. For Atlético San Luis (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.48%EV +5.44%E +1.67%K +2.41%G +0.131%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.89%EV -8.40%E -3.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -6.76%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 00:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV +1.88%E +0.597%K +0.874%G +0.016%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.91%EV -9.65%E -4.47%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -5.72%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 00:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV +1.88%E +0.597%K +0.874%G +0.016%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.91%EV -9.65%E -4.47%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -5.72%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 00:55
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV +0.263%E +0.085%K +0.125%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -11.32%E -5.34%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -8.31%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 00:55
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV +0.263%E +0.085%K +0.125%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -11.32%E -5.34%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -8.31%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 00:55
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV +0.263%E +0.085%K +0.125%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -11.32%E -5.34%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -8.31%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 00:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV +0.263%E +0.085%K +0.125%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -11.32%E -5.34%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -8.31%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 00:55
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV +0.263%E +0.085%K +0.125%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -11.32%E -5.34%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -8.31%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 00:55
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -1.35%E -0.444%K -0.661%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.93%EV -13.00%E -6.25%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -9.60%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 00:55
GTbets🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.21%EV -1.68%E -0.552%K -0.822%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.73%EV -7.14%E -3.22%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.06%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 23:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -2.97%E -0.990%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.99%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.82%EV -3.40%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 00:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -2.97%E -0.990%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.99%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.82%EV -3.40%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 00:35
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -2.97%E -0.990%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.79%EV -13.83%E -6.72%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -2.97%E -0.990%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.79%EV -13.83%E -6.72%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 00:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -2.97%E -0.990%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.03%EV -14.67%E -7.19%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 00:55
Pinnacle🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.66%EV -4.27%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.49%EV -2.54%E -1.09%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.85%EV -3.40%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 00:45
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.22%EV -4.59%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.24%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.55%EV -3.92%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 22:35
BetUS🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -4.59%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 00:55
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -5.56%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -7.14%E -3.22%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.31%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 00:50
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -5.56%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -7.14%E -3.22%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.31%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 00:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 31.83%EV -5.88%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.30%EV -8.40%E -3.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.87%EV -7.53%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 00:35
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.21%E -2.14%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 00:44
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.21%E -2.14%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 00:35
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -6.21%E -2.14%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.31%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 00:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -6.21%E -2.14%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.31%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 00:15
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -6.21%E -2.14%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.31%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 00:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -6.21%E -2.14%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.73%EV -16.34%E -8.17%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -13.47%E -4.02%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-18 00:55
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -6.85%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 00:45
SportsBet🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.30%EV -7.18%E -2.50%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.60%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 00:45
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.82%E -2.74%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 00:45
Everygame🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -7.82%E -2.74%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 00:55
Fliff🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -7.82%E -2.74%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.60%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 00:45
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -9.44%E -3.37%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.43%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 00:35
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.91%EV -9.44%E -3.37%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.14%EV -6.31%E -2.81%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -8.31%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 00:44
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.44%E -3.37%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 00:45
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.44%E -3.37%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.60%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 00:45
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -11.06%E -4.02%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.60%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 00:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -11.06%E -4.02%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -5.72%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 00:40
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.06%E -4.02%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 00:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.06%E -4.02%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 00:35
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.06%E -4.02%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -14.76%E -4.47%K -6.42%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-18 00:54
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.06%E -4.02%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -14.76%E -4.47%K -6.42%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-18 00:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.06%E -4.02%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -14.76%E -4.47%K -6.42%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-18 00:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.06%E -4.02%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -14.76%E -4.47%K -6.42%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-18 00:55
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.06%E -4.02%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -14.76%E -4.47%K -6.42%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-18 00:45
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.94%EV -11.06%E -4.02%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -12.16%E -5.79%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -13.47%E -4.02%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-18 00:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -11.06%E -4.02%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -14.25%E -6.95%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-18 00:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 32.15%EV -11.70%E -4.29%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.19%EV -13.00%E -6.25%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.66%EV -11.66%E -3.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 00:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -12.67%E -4.69%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.01%EV -14.25%E -6.95%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.10%EV -14.76%E -4.47%K -6.42%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-18 00:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -12.67%E -4.69%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -12.16%E -5.79%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -19.93%E -6.43%K -9.49%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-18 00:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -14.29%E -5.39%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.80%EV -12.16%E -5.79%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -9.60%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 00:40
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.70%EV -15.26%E -5.83%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -9.60%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-18 00:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-04-18 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-04-18 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-04-18 00:50
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-04-18 00:55
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79%2.0%2026-04-18 00:50
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 31.41%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.86%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%5.1%2026-04-18 00:55