Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético San Luis v Atlas

2026-10-31 01:00 UTC — Liga MX

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético San Luis (Local)

Prediction 42.01%2.38fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -3.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.73%42.01%42.01%42.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.172.182.2848.78%46.04%45.87%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlas (Visit)

Prediction 31.05%3.22fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -0.698%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.71%31.05%31.05%31.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.942.953.1536.36%33.99%33.90%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.94%3.71fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -0.839%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.87%26.94%26.94%27.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.383.403.6031.75%29.60%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atlético San Luis (Local): 42.01%; Atlas (Visit): 31.05%; Draw: 26.94%. For Atlas (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.15, with an expected value of -2.20%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -4.21%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%EV -2.20%E -0.698%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.87%EV -3.02%E -0.839%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-24 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -4.21%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%EV -2.20%E -0.698%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.87%EV -3.02%E -0.839%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-24 14:20
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.41%E -3.86%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -8.41%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.41%E -3.86%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -8.41%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 14:20
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.41%E -3.86%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -8.41%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.41%E -3.86%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -8.41%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 14:20
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.41%E -3.86%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -8.41%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 14:20
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.41%E -3.86%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -8.41%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 14:20
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.41%E -3.86%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -8.41%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.81%EV -10.09%E -4.71%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.58%E -3.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-24 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.81%EV -10.09%E -4.71%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.58%E -3.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-24 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.81%EV -10.09%E -4.71%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.58%E -3.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-24 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.73%EV -10.93%E -5.16%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -11.51%E -4.04%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.45%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-24 14:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.73%EV -13.87%E -6.77%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -14.62%E -5.32%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.16%EV -15.14%E -4.81%K -7.04%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-24 14:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 41.19%2.78I 35.97%NM 30.23%2.94I 34.01%NM 28.58%19.0%2026-10-24 18:40