The School of Odds
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Atlético San Luis v Atlas

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 01:00 UTC

Final: Atlético San Luis 0–1 Atlas

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético San Luis (Local)

Prediction 41.02%2.44fair odd
EV +4.60%
Edge +1.80%
Kelly +2.96%
Growth +0.136%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.55%40.89%41.04%41.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.292.252.5546.51%43.70%44.35%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlas (Visit)

Prediction 32.72%3.06fair odd
EV +0.124%
Edge +0.041%
Kelly +0.060%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.71%32.86%32.69%35.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.762.753.0641.15%36.28%36.36%32.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.26%3.81fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.334%
Kelly -0.455%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.23%26.24%26.28%27.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.473.453.7631.75%28.84%28.99%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlético San Luis (Local): 41.02%; Atlas (Visit): 32.72%; Draw: 26.26%. For Atlético San Luis (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%EV +4.60%E +1.80%K +2.96%G +0.136%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.18%EV -10.02%E -3.64%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-31 00:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%EV +4.60%E +1.80%K +2.96%G +0.136%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.18%EV -10.02%E -3.64%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-31 00:25
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -0.326%E -0.134%K -0.228%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.28%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 00:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -0.326%E -0.134%K -0.228%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.28%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 00:25
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -0.326%E -0.134%K -0.228%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.28%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -0.326%E -0.134%K -0.228%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.28%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 00:25
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -0.326%E -0.134%K -0.228%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.28%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 00:25
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -0.326%E -0.134%K -0.228%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.28%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 00:25
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -0.326%E -0.134%K -0.228%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.28%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 00:25
GTbets🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -2.38%E -0.999%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.17%EV -9.69%E -3.51%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 00:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.67%EV -2.38%E -0.999%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.16%EV -16.56%E -6.50%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 00:25
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.67%EV -2.38%E -0.999%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.16%EV -16.56%E -6.50%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.67%EV -2.38%E -0.999%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.16%EV -16.56%E -6.50%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 00:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.12%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -3.48%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12%EV -2.83%E -0.765%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-31 00:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.12%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -3.48%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12%EV -2.83%E -0.765%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-31 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.55%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.30%EV -18.20%E -7.28%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.15%EV -14.65%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-31 00:25
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.70%EV -4.43%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.75%EV +0.124%E +0.041%K +0.060%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.55%EV -3.88%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-31 00:45
Coolbet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.91%EV -4.84%E -2.09%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -5.11%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 00:35
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -5.11%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -4.14%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 00:30
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.11%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 00:34
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.11%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 00:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.02%E -3.64%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 00:25
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.92%EV -6.07%E -2.65%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.54%EV -3.48%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.53%EV -1.26%E -0.334%K -0.455%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-31 00:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 37.56%EV -6.48%E -2.84%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 35.25%EV -20.49%E -8.43%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.19%EV -17.28%E -5.48%K -8.04%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-31 00:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.76%EV -7.30%E -3.23%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.50%EV -10.02%E -3.64%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.73%EV -5.98%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 00:25
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.11%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 00:49
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.11%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 00:50
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -3.48%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 00:34
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.11%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 00:35
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.11%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 00:50
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -6.75%E -2.37%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 00:45
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -10.02%E -3.64%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.77%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 00:50
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 00:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -13.29%E -5.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 00:25
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.51%EV -8.94%E -4.03%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -5.11%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -9.40%E -2.72%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 00:25
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.51%EV -8.94%E -4.03%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -5.11%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -9.40%E -2.72%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 00:25
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -5.11%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 00:50
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -10.02%E -3.64%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-31 00:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -10.02%E -3.64%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-31 00:45
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.02%E -3.64%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-31 00:40
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -14.27%E -5.45%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-31 00:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.54%EV -10.99%E -5.07%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.20%EV -13.29%E -5.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -12.02%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-31 00:40
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -11.81%E -5.49%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-31 00:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -11.81%E -5.49%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-31 00:50
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -11.81%E -5.49%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-31 00:50
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -11.81%E -5.49%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-31 00:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -11.81%E -5.49%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-31 00:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -11.81%E -5.49%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-31 00:50
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.81%E -5.49%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.70%EV -14.27%E -5.45%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-31 00:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.82%EV -11.81%E -5.49%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.37%EV -13.95%E -5.30%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-31 00:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-10-31 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-10-31 00:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.76%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-10-31 00:50
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.76%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-10-31 00:50
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.0%2026-10-31 00:25
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.60%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.45%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.96%2.7%2026-10-31 00:50