L’École des cotes

Atlas v Monterrey

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 01:00 UTC

Score final : Atlas 0–0 Monterrey

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlas (Local)

Prévision 33.63%2.97cote équitable
EV +1.22%
Avantage +0.405%
Kelly +0.606%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 3.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.90%33.59%33.66%34.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.772.803.0139.22%36.13%35.71%33.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Monterrey (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.89%2.57cote équitable
EV -1.60%
Avantage -0.631%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.17%38.99%38.91%41.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.162.322.302.5346.30%43.05%43.48%39.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.48%3.64cote équitable
EV -1.90%
Avantage -0.533%
Kelly -0.740%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.41%27.41%27.43%29.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.353.403.5734.72%29.84%29.41%28.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV +1.22%E +0.405%K +0.606%G +0.007%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.21%EV -9.38%E -4.02%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.89%EV -1.90%E -0.533%K -0.740%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 00:55
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -0.800%E -0.271%K -0.410%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.72%EV -9.38%E -4.02%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 00:30
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -0.800%E -0.271%K -0.410%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.72%EV -9.38%E -4.02%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 00:30
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -11.32%E -4.97%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 00:30
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -11.32%E -4.97%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 00:29
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -11.32%E -4.97%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 00:30
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -11.32%E -4.97%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 00:30
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -11.32%E -4.97%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 00:30
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -11.32%E -4.97%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 00:30
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -11.32%E -4.97%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 00:30
Pinnacle2.87I 34.84%NM 33.74%EV -3.49%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.27%EV -1.60%E -0.631%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.99%EV -4.93%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 00:50
GTbets2.87I 34.84%NM 33.18%EV -3.49%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.13%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 10:59
Coolbet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.27%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.15%EV -5.49%E -2.26%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.58%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 00:29
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -12.49%E -5.55%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 00:30
BetOnline.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -5.17%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.35%EV -1.99%E -0.788%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.38%EV -3.00%E -0.850%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 00:30
LowVig.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -5.17%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.35%EV -1.99%E -0.788%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.38%EV -3.00%E -0.850%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 00:25
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.04%EV -5.17%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -7.43%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 00:55
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 33.04%EV -5.17%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -7.43%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 00:54
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 00:34
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 00:09
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 00:50
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 00:53
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 00:30
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.60%E -3.66%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 00:55
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.62%EV -13.27%E -5.95%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.62%EV -13.27%E -5.95%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 00:30
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -14.43%E -6.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 00:29
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 11:04
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 00:10
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.60%E -3.66%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 00:55
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 32.06%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.82%EV -15.99%E -7.40%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-12 00:30
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.06%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.82%EV -15.99%E -7.40%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-12 00:30
Marathon Bet2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82%EV -7.86%E -2.87%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -7.67%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 00:40
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 00:14
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.60%E -3.66%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 16:14
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -7.43%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 00:10
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -12.49%E -5.55%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-12 00:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -12.49%E -5.55%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-12 00:35
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 00:55
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 00:55
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -8.60%E -3.66%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 00:54
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 11:04
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -14.43%E -6.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 00:35
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -11.56%E -4.40%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.17%EV -11.56%E -4.40%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.46%EV -14.43%E -6.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -20.86%E -7.24%K -11.10%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-11 16:25
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -11.90%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 00:20
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -11.90%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 00:25
Betclic (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.46%EV -11.90%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.31%EV -13.27%E -5.95%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.23%EV -11.52%E -3.58%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-12 00:34
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.57%E -4.83%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 00:24
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.41%EV -14.25%E -5.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.00%EV -12.49%E -5.55%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 11:04
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 33.80%EV -14.25%E -5.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 38.83%EV -13.65%E -6.15%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.37%EV -13.44%E -4.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-12 00:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.83%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.6%2026-04-12 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.83%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.6%2026-04-12 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.83%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.6%2026-04-12 00:55
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.83%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.6%2026-04-12 00:49
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.90%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.40%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.69%1.7%2026-04-12 00:25
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%3.0%2026-04-12 00:35