La escuela de los momios

Atlas v Monterrey

Inicio: 2026-04-12 01:00 UTC

Final: Atlas 0–0 Monterrey

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlas (Local)

Predicción 33.63%2.97momio equitativo
EV +1.22%
Ventaja +0.405%
Kelly +0.606%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.01

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.90%33.59%33.66%34.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.772.803.0139.22%36.13%35.71%33.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Monterrey (Visitante)

Predicción 38.89%2.57momio equitativo
EV -1.60%
Ventaja -0.631%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.17%38.99%38.91%41.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.162.322.302.5346.30%43.05%43.48%39.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.48%3.64momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -0.533%
Kelly -0.740%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.41%27.41%27.43%29.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.353.403.5734.72%29.84%29.41%28.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV +1.22%E +0.405%K +0.606%G +0.007%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.21%EV -9.38%E -4.02%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.89%EV -1.90%E -0.533%K -0.740%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 00:55
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -0.800%E -0.271%K -0.410%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.72%EV -9.38%E -4.02%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 00:30
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -0.800%E -0.271%K -0.410%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.72%EV -9.38%E -4.02%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 00:30
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -11.32%E -4.97%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 00:30
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -11.32%E -4.97%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 00:29
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -11.32%E -4.97%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 00:30
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -11.32%E -4.97%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 00:30
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -11.32%E -4.97%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 00:30
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -11.32%E -4.97%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 00:30
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -11.32%E -4.97%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 00:30
Pinnacle2.87I 34.84%NM 33.74%EV -3.49%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.27%EV -1.60%E -0.631%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.99%EV -4.93%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 00:50
GTbets2.87I 34.84%NM 33.18%EV -3.49%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.13%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 10:59
Coolbet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.27%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.15%EV -5.49%E -2.26%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.58%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 00:29
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -12.49%E -5.55%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 00:30
BetOnline.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -5.17%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.35%EV -1.99%E -0.788%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.38%EV -3.00%E -0.850%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 00:30
LowVig.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -5.17%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.35%EV -1.99%E -0.788%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.38%EV -3.00%E -0.850%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 00:25
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.04%EV -5.17%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -7.43%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 00:55
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 33.04%EV -5.17%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -7.43%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 00:54
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 00:34
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 00:09
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 00:50
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 00:53
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 00:30
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.60%E -3.66%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 00:55
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.62%EV -13.27%E -5.95%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.62%EV -13.27%E -5.95%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 00:30
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -14.43%E -6.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 00:29
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 11:04
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 00:10
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.60%E -3.66%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 00:55
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 32.06%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.82%EV -15.99%E -7.40%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-12 00:30
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.06%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.82%EV -15.99%E -7.40%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-12 00:30
Marathon Bet2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82%EV -7.86%E -2.87%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -7.67%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 00:40
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 00:14
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.60%E -3.66%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 16:14
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -7.43%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 00:10
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -12.49%E -5.55%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-12 00:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -12.49%E -5.55%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-12 00:35
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 00:55
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 00:55
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -8.60%E -3.66%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 00:54
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 11:04
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -14.43%E -6.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 00:35
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -11.56%E -4.40%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.17%EV -11.56%E -4.40%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.46%EV -14.43%E -6.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -20.86%E -7.24%K -11.10%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-11 16:25
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -11.90%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 00:20
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -11.90%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 00:25
Betclic (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.46%EV -11.90%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.31%EV -13.27%E -5.95%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.23%EV -11.52%E -3.58%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-12 00:34
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.57%E -4.83%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 00:24
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.41%EV -14.25%E -5.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.00%EV -12.49%E -5.55%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 11:04
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 33.80%EV -14.25%E -5.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 38.83%EV -13.65%E -6.15%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.37%EV -13.44%E -4.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-12 00:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.83%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.6%2026-04-12 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.83%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.6%2026-04-12 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.83%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.6%2026-04-12 00:55
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.83%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.6%2026-04-12 00:49
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.90%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.40%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.69%1.7%2026-04-12 00:25
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%3.0%2026-04-12 00:35