A Escola das Odds

Atlas v Cruz Azul

Início: 2026-05-03 03:15 UTC

Final: Atlas 2–3 Cruz Azul

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Atlas (Local)

Previsão 22.02%4.54odd justa
EV +5.49%
Vantagem +1.15%
Kelly +1.45%
Crescimento +0.080%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.04%21.96%22.02%23.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.854.184.204.7925.97%23.92%23.81%20.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cruz Azul (Visitante)

Previsão 49.05%2.04odd justa
EV -2.88%
Vantagem -1.46%
Kelly -2.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.61%49.09%49.05%50.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.751.861.851.9857.14%53.71%54.05%50.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.93%3.46odd justa
EV -1.64%
Vantagem -0.483%
Kelly -0.684%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.09%28.95%28.93%30.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.183.203.4034.72%31.45%31.25%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet4.79I 20.88%NM 20.04%EV +5.49%E +1.15%K +1.45%G +0.080%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.79%EV -7.30%E -3.86%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.18%EV -4.82%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 03:10
Coolbet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV +1.31%E +0.284%K +0.363%G +0.005%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.85%EV -7.30%E -3.86%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.26%EV -1.64%E -0.483%K -0.684%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 21:55
Pinnacle4.49I 22.27%NM 21.54%EV -1.12%E -0.249%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.34%EV -3.87%E -1.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.13%EV -3.96%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 03:05
GTbets4.43I 22.57%NM 21.45%EV -2.44%E -0.550%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.75%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.54%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 02:49
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -3.10%E -0.704%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.78%EV -2.88%E -1.46%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -4.54%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 03:10
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -3.10%E -0.704%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.78%EV -2.88%E -1.46%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -4.54%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 03:10
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.10%E -0.704%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 03:04
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -4.20%E -0.966%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.03%EV -7.30%E -3.86%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -3.09%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 02:40
ATG (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -4.20%E -0.966%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.03%EV -7.30%E -3.86%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -3.09%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 02:40
BetUS4.35I 22.99%NM 21.66%EV -4.20%E -0.966%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 03:05
SportsBet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.81%E -3.58%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 03:05
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -4.54%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 03:05
Marathon Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.83%EV -8.77%E -4.72%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.61%EV -6.27%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 03:05
Unibet (UK)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.87%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 02:46
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.97%EV -8.77%E -4.72%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -4.54%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 02:40
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.10%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -4.54%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 02:40
Casumo4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.10%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -4.54%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 02:40
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.10%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -4.54%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 02:40
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.10%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -4.54%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 02:40
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.10%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -4.54%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 02:40
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 02:40
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.04%EV -7.79%E -4.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.87%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 03:10
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 03:05
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.32%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 03:05
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 02:40
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -10.73%E -5.90%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 02:40
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -10.73%E -5.90%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 02:40
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -10.32%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 03:05
Fliff4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.87%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 03:10
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -10.32%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 02:50
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -8.60%E -2.07%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.48%EV -5.83%E -3.04%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 03:05
Betsson4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -8.60%E -2.07%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.48%EV -5.83%E -3.04%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 03:05
Bet Victor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.71%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.44%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 03:09
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -9.71%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 01:41
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -9.71%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.96%EV -11.71%E -6.51%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 02:35
Unibet (FR)4.05I 24.69%NM 21.66%EV -10.81%E -2.67%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.57%EV -13.18%E -7.45%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -11.77%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-03 02:46
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.08%EV -5.83%E -3.04%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 03:05
Bet Right4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.95%EV -8.28%E -4.43%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 02:25
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.08%EV -8.77%E -4.72%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 02:50
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 01:30
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -13.21%E -4.40%K -6.61%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-03 02:50
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.61%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -16.11%E -5.55%K -8.48%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-03 03:10
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.61%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -16.11%E -5.55%K -8.48%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-03 03:10
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.61%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -16.11%E -5.55%K -8.48%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-03 03:10
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.61%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -16.11%E -5.55%K -8.48%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-03 03:10
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.81%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -10.32%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-03 02:40
PMU (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.81%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -10.32%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-03 02:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.69%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.19%EV -11.71%E -6.51%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.12%EV -16.69%E -5.79%K -8.88%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-03 03:05
Betclic (FR)3.98I 25.13%NM 22.04%EV -12.35%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.01%EV -12.20%E -6.82%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.95%EV -12.35%E -4.07%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-03 02:50
NetBet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 21.76%EV -13.01%E -3.29%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.11%EV -14.17%E -8.09%K -18.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.13%EV -14.66%E -4.97%K -7.52%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-03 03:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.11%E -3.62%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -10.32%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 02:50
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.11%E -3.62%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -10.32%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 02:50
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -15.21%E -3.95%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.82%EV -11.71%E -6.51%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -10.32%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-03 02:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.91%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-05-03 03:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.68%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93%1.7%2026-05-03 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.68%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93%1.7%2026-05-03 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.68%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93%1.7%2026-05-03 03:05
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.24%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.16%2.4%2026-05-03 03:10
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.30%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.1%2026-05-03 03:05