La escuela de los momiosAtlas v Cruz Azul
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atlas (Local)
Predicción 22.02%4.54momio equitativo
EV +5.49%
Ventaja +1.15%
Kelly +1.45%
Crecimiento +0.080%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.04%21.96%22.02%23.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.854.184.204.7925.97%23.92%23.81%20.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cruz Azul (Visitante)
Predicción 49.05%2.04momio equitativo
EV -2.88%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -2.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.61%49.09%49.05%50.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.861.851.9857.14%53.71%54.05%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.93%3.46momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -0.483%
Kelly -0.684%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.09%28.95%28.93%30.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.183.203.4034.72%31.45%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.04%EV +5.49%E +1.15%K +1.45%G +0.080% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.79%EV -7.30%E -3.86%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.18%EV -4.82%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 03:10 |
| Coolbet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV +1.31%E +0.284%K +0.363%G +0.005% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.85%EV -7.30%E -3.86%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.26%EV -1.64%E -0.483%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 21:55 |
| Pinnacle | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.54%EV -1.12%E -0.249%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.34%EV -3.87%E -1.97%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.13%EV -3.96%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-03 03:05 |
| GTbets | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.45%EV -2.44%E -0.550%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.75%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.54%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 02:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -3.10%E -0.704%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.78%EV -2.88%E -1.46%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -4.54%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-03 03:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -3.10%E -0.704%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.78%EV -2.88%E -1.46%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -4.54%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-03 03:10 |
| FanDuel | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.10%E -0.704%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 03:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -4.20%E -0.966%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.03%EV -7.30%E -3.86%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -3.09%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 02:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -4.20%E -0.966%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.03%EV -7.30%E -3.86%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -3.09%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 02:40 |
| BetUS | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.66%EV -4.20%E -0.966%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 03:05 |
| SportsBet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.81%E -3.58%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 03:05 |
| DraftKings | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -4.54%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 03:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.83%EV -8.77%E -4.72%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.61%EV -6.27%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 03:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.87%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 02:46 |
| Unibet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.97%EV -8.77%E -4.72%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -4.54%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 02:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.10%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -4.54%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 02:40 |
| Casumo | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.10%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -4.54%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 02:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.10%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -4.54%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 02:40 |
| Grosvenor | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.10%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -4.54%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 02:40 |
| betPARX | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.10%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -4.54%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 02:40 |
| BetRivers | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 02:40 |
| Bovada | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.04%EV -7.79%E -4.14%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.87%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 03:10 |
| BetMGM | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 03:05 |
| Betway | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.32%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 03:05 |
| TABtouch | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 02:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -10.73%E -5.90%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 02:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -10.73%E -5.90%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 02:40 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -10.32%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 03:05 |
| Fliff | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.87%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 03:10 |
| Everygame | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -10.32%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-03 02:50 |
| NordicBet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -8.60%E -2.07%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.48%EV -5.83%E -3.04%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 03:05 |
| Betsson | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -8.60%E -2.07%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.48%EV -5.83%E -3.04%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 03:05 |
| Bet Victor | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.71%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.44%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 03:09 |
| Fanatics | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -9.71%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 01:41 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -9.71%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.96%EV -11.71%E -6.51%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 02:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.66%EV -10.81%E -2.67%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.57%EV -13.18%E -7.45%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -11.77%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-03 02:46 |
| PlayUp | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.08%EV -5.83%E -3.04%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 03:05 |
| Bet Right | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.95%EV -8.28%E -4.43%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 02:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.08%EV -8.77%E -4.72%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 02:50 |
| betfred_uk | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-03 01:30 |
| Sky Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -13.21%E -4.40%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-03 02:50 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.61%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -16.11%E -5.55%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-03 03:10 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.61%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -16.11%E -5.55%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-03 03:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.61%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -16.11%E -5.55%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-03 03:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.61%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -16.11%E -5.55%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-03 03:10 |
| LeoVegas | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.81%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -10.32%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-03 02:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.81%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -10.32%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-03 02:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.69%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.19%EV -11.71%E -6.51%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.12%EV -16.69%E -5.79%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-03 03:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.04%EV -12.35%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.01%EV -12.20%E -6.82%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 28.95%EV -12.35%E -4.07%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-03 02:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.76%EV -13.01%E -3.29%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.11%EV -14.17%E -8.09%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.13%EV -14.66%E -4.97%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-03 03:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.11%E -3.62%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -10.32%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-03 02:50 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.11%E -3.62%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -10.32%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-03 02:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -15.21%E -3.95%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.82%EV -11.71%E -6.51%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -10.32%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-03 02:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.68% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.68% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.68% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 03:05 |
| Smarkets | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.24% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.60% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.16% | 2.4% | 2026-05-03 03:10 |
| Kalshi | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.30% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.53% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17% | 3.1% | 2026-05-03 03:05 |